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Netherlands v Greece : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 13th Nov, 19:45 BST, Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam

Greece are on the road on Friday evening, as manager Ivan Jovanović takes his men to visit Netherlands and Xavier Hernández Creus at the Johan Cruijff Arena in the UEFA Nations League. Below we've got predictions for seventeen major betting markets, supporting stats including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds from leading bookmakers. Access it all via the tabs below.


Best Tip: Netherlands to win

A UEFA Nations League victory in front of their own fans for Xavier Hernández Creus's Netherlands side win in the win / draw / win market is what we're predicting. Stats suggest they're in strong form across a number of key metrics, and they should be too strong for their opponents. The odds from the bookmakers suggest so too, and when that happens you've got reason to feel confident. A Netherlands win is our recommendation, but we wouldn't expect a whitewash.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Netherlands are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 67% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.42.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Netherlands
67%
1.42-
Draw
19%
5.00-
Greece
14%
6.25-
Netherlands 2-0
10%
8.00-
Netherlands 2-1
10%
8.50-
Netherlands 1-0
9%
8.50-
Draw 1-1
9%
9.50-
Netherlands 3-0
8%
10.00-
Netherlands 3-1
7%
11.00-
Draw 2-2
5%
17.00-
Netherlands 4-0
4%
17.00-
Netherlands 4-1
4%
19.00-
Greece 2-1
4%
19.00-
Draw 0-0
4%
17.00-
Greece 1-0
4%
19.00-
Netherlands 3-2
3%
21.00-
Netherlands 5-0
2%
34.00-
Netherlands 4-2
2%
34.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
1.57-
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
2.35-
Home 1st Goal
58%
1.40-
Away 1st Goal
40%
2.88-
No 1st Goal
3%
17.00-
BTTS - Yes
55%
1.73-
BTTS - No
45%
2.00-
BTTS - Home Win
32%
2.88-
BTTS - Draw
14%
6.00-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
10.00-
Home/draw
86%
1.13-
Away/draw
33%
2.75-
Home/away
81%
1.17-
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1.17-
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
5.00-
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
2.38-
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
1.53-
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
4.00-
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
1.22-
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
9.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1.07-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.03-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
17.00-
Home DNB
80%
1.17-
Away DNB
27%
5.00-
Netherlands win to nil
35%
2.50-
Greece win to nil
6%
13.00-
Netherlands / Netherlands
41%
2.05-
Netherlands / Greece
2%
41.00-
Netherlands / Draw
6%
15.00-
Draw / Netherlands
19%
4.33-
Draw / Greece
6%
15.00-
Draw / Draw
11%
7.50-
Greece / Netherlands
4%
19.00-
Greece / Greece
7%
12.00-
Greece / Draw
4%
19.00-
Win / draw / win form
Netherlands 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
Goals: Scored
50
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
7
L
1
Greece 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Goal Statistics

Netherlands's forwards have been superb of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 3 consecutive UEFA Nations League matches. A PG of 2.3 suggests that run should continue on Friday evening.

Netherlands 1st Greece 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
19%
There is a 67% probability that Netherlands will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Greece scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+26
Netherlands have scored 26% more goals at home than predicted
+2
Greece’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.6
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Netherlands
PG (predicted goals)
Greece
2.3
0.9
Attack rating
40%
better
NED
GRE
view stats
Games scored19
12
Failed to score1
8
Scored first15
10
Goals scored50
30
Avg. goals scored2.5
1.5
Avg. shots per game12
11
Avg. shots per goal5
8
Conversion rate for21
13
Avg. XG for2.3
1.5
KickOff rating
+40%
Defence rating
6%
better
NED
GRE
view stats
Games conceded15
13
Clean sheets5
7
Conceded first5
7
Goals conceded18
24
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
14%
Avg. XG against0.8
1.3
KickOff rating
+6%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Netherlands v Greece will show here when available.

Netherlands UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
99142011
V Dijk V Dijk D DumfriesV Dijk 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Dijk  DEF99141
11
-
D Dumfries DEF801120
9
1
N Aké  DEF6253
4
-
T Reijnders MID3985
3
-
B Verbruggen GLK37
-
R Gravenberch MID3513
1
-
T Koopmeiners MID3343
3
-
M Ven DEF2811
1
-
J Timber DEF251
2
-
J Veerman MID2015
2
-
N Lang FWD1932
1
-
Q Timber MID171
1
-
J Frimpong DEF1512
-
M Flekken GLK12
-
J Hato DEF101
1
G Til MID1011
1
C Summerville FWD1022
2
-
J Zirkzee FWD821
-
K Taylor MID6
1
-
R Bommel FWD41
-
M Meerdink FWD42
-
G. Zechiël MID21
-
R Roefs GLK1
-
Greece UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
67191516
A BakasetasA BakasetasA BakasetasD Kourbelis
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Bakasetas MID821915
11
-
G Masouras FWD63128
4
-
V Pavlidis FWD61105
6
-
D Kourbelis MID5832
16
-
K Tsimikas DEF5524
7
-
O Vlachodimos GLK53
2
-
K Mavropanos DEF462
4
1
P Chatzidiakos DEF41
5
1
C Tzolis FWD37103
2
-
D Giannoulis DEF343
3
1
L Rota DEF291
5
-
P Retsos DEF27
6
-
F Ioannidis FWD2572
3
-
A Douvikas FWD2433
-
K Koulierakis DEF232
7
-
C Zafeiris MID211
6
-
G Vagiannidis DEF153
1
-
T Androutsos MID151
1
-
K. Karetsas MID1431
1
-
K Tzolakis GLK13
1
-
A. Tetteh FWD92
1
-
M Saliakas DEF7
2
-
C. Kostoulas FWD61
-
N Triantis MID5
-
C Mandas GLK3
-
A Kyziridis FWD2
-
International UEFA Nations League match betting previews, predictions and odds
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Austria v Ireland
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Romania v Poland
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Sun 15th Nov, 14:00
Cyprus v Montenegro
Sun 15th Nov, 14:00
Belarus v Albania
Sun 15th Nov, 17:00
Finland v San Marino
Sun 15th Nov, 17:00
Spain v England
Sun 15th Nov, 19:45
Belgium v Italy
Sun 15th Nov, 19:45
Croatia v Czech Rep
Sun 15th Nov, 19:45
France v Turkey
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Kazakhstan v Slovakia
Mon 16th Nov, 15:00
Faroes v Moldova
Mon 16th Nov, 15:00
Iceland v Luxembourg
Mon 16th Nov, 17:00
Estonia v Bulgaria
Mon 16th Nov, 17:00
Lithuania v Liechtenstein
Mon 16th Nov, 17:00
Gibraltar v Malta
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Switzerland v Scotland
Mon 16th Nov, 19:45
Macedonia v Slovenia
Mon 16th Nov, 19:45
Germany v Netherlands
Mon 16th Nov, 19:45
Greece v Serbia
Mon 16th Nov, 19:45
Israel v Austria
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45
Bosnia v Romania
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45
Ukraine v Georgia
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45
Ireland v Kosovo
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45
Poland v Sweden
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45
Wales v Portugal
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45
Denmark v Norway
Tue 17th Nov, 19:45
Hungary v N Ireland
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