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Albania v San Marino : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 6th Oct, 19:45 BST, Elbasan Arena, Elbasan

Rolando Maran's Albania side are on home soil in the UEFA Nations League on Tuesday evening, as Roberto Cevoli's San Marino arrive at the Elbasan Arena. It's our aim to give you everything you need to make a smart bet on this encounter, so we've delved into our 20+ year database and dug out the statistics that are most significant. Head-to-head and recent form is included, and these are used to generate our predictions. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are there to ensure you get the best price.


Best Tip: Albania to win

Studying the bookies' odds and collated stats regarding the two teams ahead of this UEFA Nations League fixture, a bet on win / draw / win for Albania to win on home turf is what we would suggest. We predict they'll be too strong for San Marino, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have the pedigree to do so. It could be a tighter than we expect, but Albania to win is the bet come Tuesday evening.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Albania
95%
1.03-
Draw
4%
17.00
19%
-
San Marino
1%
51.00
24%
-
Albania 3-0
15%
5.50
8%
-
Albania 4-0
15%
5.50
8%
-
Albania 5-0
12%
7.00-
Albania 2-0
12%
7.00
13%
-
Albania 6-0
8%
9.50-
Albania 1-0
6%
13.00
13%
-
Albania 7-0
4%
15.00-
Albania 3-1
4%
21.00
11%
-
Albania 4-1
4%
21.00
11%
-
Albania 5-1
3%
26.00
24%
-
Albania 2-1
3%
23.00-
Albania 8-0
2%
29.00
12%
-
Albania 6-1
2%
41.00
41%
-
Draw 1-1
2%
41.00-
Draw 0-0
2%
23.00
32%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
78%
1.22
4%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
21%
4.00
11%
-
Home 1st Goal
80%
1.08
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
19%
8.00
14%
-
No 1st Goal
1%
23.00
32%
-
BTTS - Yes
22%
4.33
15%
-
BTTS - No
77%
1.20
4%
-
BTTS - Home Win
20%
4.50
20%
-
BTTS - Draw
2%
23.00
12%
-
BTTS - Away Win
0%
51.00-
Home/draw
99%
--
Away/draw
4%
--
Home/away
96%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
91%
1.06
1%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
8%
8.00
6%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
60%
1.57
9%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
40%
2.25
14%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
40%
2.25
13%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
59%
1.57
9%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
24%
3.75
15%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
75%
1.25
6%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1.00-
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
23.00
32%
-
Home DNB
98%
1.01-
Away DNB
3%
17.00-
Albania win to nil
75%
1.22
5%
-
San Marino win to nil
0%
51.00-
Albania / Albania
69%
1.18
1%
-
Albania / San Marino
1%
126.00
17%
-
Albania / Draw
2%
41.00-
Draw / Albania
18%
4.50
10%
-
Draw / San Marino
2%
51.00-
Draw / Draw
4%
21.00-
San Marino / Albania
2%
41.00
21%
-
San Marino / San Marino
1%
81.00
21%
-
San Marino / Draw
2%
51.00-
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Win / draw / win form
Albania 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Albania2 - 0Belarus
Albania0 - 1Luxembourg
Albania0 - 1Israel
Albania0 - 2England
Albania4 - 2Jordan
Albania1 - 0Latvia
Albania0 - 0Serbia
Albania3 - 0Andorra
Albania1 - 2Ukraine
Albania0 - 0Czech Rep
Albania0 - 1Georgia
Albania0 - 1Spain
Albania3 - 1Azerbaijan
Albania3 - 0Liechtenstein
Albania0 - 3Chile
Albania0 - 0Faroes
Albania2 - 0Bulgaria
Albania3 - 0Czech Rep
Albania2 - 0Poland
Albania2 - 0Moldova
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAlbania1 - 2Finland
AAlbania3 - 0San Marino
HAlbania2 - 0Belarus
HAlbania0 - 1Luxembourg
HAlbania0 - 1Israel
AAlbania0 - 1Ukraine
AAlbania1 - 2Poland
HAlbania0 - 2England
AAlbania1 - 0Andorra
HAlbania4 - 2Jordan
AAlbania1 - 0Serbia
HAlbania1 - 0Latvia
AAlbania1 - 0Gibraltar
AAlbania1 - 1Latvia
HAlbania0 - 0Serbia
HAlbania3 - 0Andorra
AAlbania0 - 2England
HAlbania1 - 2Ukraine
HAlbania0 - 0Czech Rep
AAlbania1 - 0Georgia
San Marino 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
8
Conceded
59
Games: Scored
6 / 20
Conceded
20 / 20
Clean sheets
0 / 20
Failed to score
14 / 20
W
1
D
1
Lost
18
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Belarus4 - 0San Marino
Azerbaijan2 - 1San Marino
Romania7 - 1San Marino
Austria10 - 0San Marino
Malta3 - 1San Marino
Bosnia1 - 0San Marino
Cyprus2 - 0San Marino
Liechtenstein1 - 3San Marino
Andorra2 - 0San Marino
Gibraltar1 - 0San Marino
Moldova1 - 0San Marino
Slovakia4 - 0San Marino
Kazakhstan3 - 1San Marino
N Ireland3 - 0San Marino
Denmark4 - 0San Marino
Finland6 - 0San Marino
Slovenia2 - 0San Marino
St Lucia1 - 0San Marino
St Lucia1 - 1San Marino
Malta1 - 0San Marino
Goals: Scored
10
Conceded
67
Games: Scored
8 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
12 / 20
W
1
D
2
Lost
17
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASan Marino0 - 4Belarus
HSan Marino0 - 3Albania
HSan Marino0 - 7Finland
ASan Marino1 - 2Azerbaijan
HSan Marino1 - 2Bangladesh
HSan Marino0 - 0Andorra
HSan Marino1 - 2Faroes
ASan Marino1 - 7Romania
HSan Marino0 - 4Cyprus
ASan Marino0 - 10Austria
ASan Marino1 - 3Malta
HSan Marino0 - 6Bosnia
HSan Marino0 - 4Austria
ASan Marino0 - 1Bosnia
HSan Marino1 - 5Romania
ASan Marino0 - 2Cyprus
ASan Marino3 - 1Liechtenstein
HSan Marino1 - 1Gibraltar
ASan Marino0 - 2Andorra
ASan Marino0 - 1Gibraltar
Goal Statistics

Scoring more than 1 goal looks unlikely for San Marino, with R. Cevoli's men having not found the back of the net in 14 consecutive UEFA Nations League outings.

Albania 2nd San Marino 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
3.9
goals
0.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
2
3
20%
4
20%
5
6+
29%
There is a 30% probability that Albania will score 6 or more goals in this match
0
77%
1
20%
2
3
4+
There is a 77% probability that San Marino will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-22
Albania have scored 22% fewer goals at home than predicted
+5
San Marino’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
0.4
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
3.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Albania
PG (predicted goals)
San Marino
3.9
0.3
Attack rating
42%
better
ALB
SMR
view stats
Games scored13
8
Failed to score7
12
Scored first11
3
Goals scored21
10
Avg. goals scored1.1
0.5
Avg. shots per game9
5
Avg. shots per goal9
11
Conversion rate for12
9
Avg. XG for1.1
0.8
KickOff rating
+42%
Defence rating
61%
better
ALB
SMR
view stats
Games conceded10
19
Clean sheets10
1
Conceded first7
16
Goals conceded16
67
Avg. goals conceded0.8
3.4
Avg. shots/game conceded9
13
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
4
Conversion rate against9%
26%
Avg. XG against1.1
3
KickOff rating
+61%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Albania v San Marino will show here when available.

Albania UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8410615
E HysajR ManajE HysajE Hysaj
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Hysaj DEF9126
15
-
E Berisha GLK67
2
1
B Djimsiti DEF671
10
1
Y Ramadani MID4913
6
-
M Uzuni FWD4866
2
-
A Ismajli DEF473
5
-
R Manaj FWD44102
7
-
K Asllani MID4363
3
-
M Mitaj DEF32
7
-
T Seferi FWD273
1
-
M Kumbulla DEF26
2
-
A Hoxha FWD2421
1
-
E Muçi MID184
-
M Daku FWD1711
4
-
N Aliji DEF161
2
-
J Shehu MID11
1
-
A Mehmeti MID6
-
S Pilios DEF3
1
-
M Dajsinani GLK2
-
A Sherri GLK1
-
S Simoni GLK1
-
K Cake DEF1
-
L. Hasa MID1
-
C. Shpendi FWD1
-
San Marino UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
535111
N NanniN NanniA TosiM Mularoni
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Golinucci MID612
8
2
M Mularoni MID53
11
-
N Nanni FWD535
9
-
D Rossi DEF39
6
-
F Fabbri DEF381
6
-
M Cevoli DEF37
5
-
A Tosi DEF291
6
-
L Capicchioni MID23
9
-
E Colombo GLK22
3
-
L Lazzari MID211
6
-
S. Zannoni MID171
1
-
N. Giacopetti FWD153
2
-
G. Benvenuti DEF14
4
-
S Pancotti FWD10
2
-
A. Riccardi DEF8
2
-
M. Pasolini DEF7
2
-
S. Giocondi MID71
3
-
G. Capicchioni FWD7
2
-
F. Salicioni Ortiz FWD2
-
M Zavoli GLK1
-
C. Meloni MID1
1
-
B. Della MID1
-