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Germany v Greece : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 27th Sep, 19:45 BST, WWK Arena, Augsburg

Ivan Jovanović guides his Greece troops to the WWK Arena in the UEFA Nations League on Sunday evening, with Jürgen Klopp's Germany their rivals. Recent form, head to head (H2H) statistics, predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are all shown below. It's our job to give you all the information you need to place a smart, well-informed bet. Here we've gone for Germany to win, but why not use the stats to find the perfect bet for you?

Best Tip: Germany to win

We think there's an outright winner in this fixture, and it's Germany. Their latest form stats show they're capable at home, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they can get the job done against Greece too. The odds point towards Jürgen Klopp's side coming out on top in the win / draw / win market, and that's definitely our prediction for Sunday evening too.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Germany are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 69% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.40.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Germany 69%	2/5 3%	-
Draw 18%	4/1	-
Greece 13%	13/2 15%	-
Germany 2-0 10%	7/1 7%	-
Germany 2-1 10%	15/2	-
Germany 1-0 8%	17/2 12%	-
Draw 1-1 8%	17/2 5%	-
Germany 3-0 8%	9/1 5%	-
Germany 3-1 8%	10/1	-
Germany 4-0 5%	16/1 13%	-
Draw 2-2 5%	16/1 11%	-
Germany 4-1 5%	16/1	-
Greece 2-1 4%	20/1	-
Germany 3-2 4%	20/1	-
Draw 0-0 4%	18/1	-
Greece 1-0 3%	22/1 10%	-
Germany 5-0 2%	28/1	-
Germany 5-1 2%	33/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 65%	19/40 3%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 35%	8/5 8%	-
Home 1st Goal 58%	4/11	-
Away 1st Goal 40%	2/1	-
No 1st Goal 2%	18/1	-
BTTS - Yes 56%	4/6 7%	-
BTTS - No 44%	11/10 10%	-
BTTS - Home Win 34%	13/8 4%	-
BTTS - Draw 14%	9/2 15%	-
BTTS - Away Win 8%	11/1 9%	-
Home/draw 87%	1/10 1%	-
Away/draw 31%	7/4 8%	-
Home/away 82%	1/6	-
Over 1.5 Goals 85%	1/7 3%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 15%	9/2 10%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 43%	11/10 7%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 57%	4/6 6%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 24%	11/4 6%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 76%	1/4 2%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 12%	6/1 13%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 88%	1/10 2%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/50	-
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	18/1	-
Home DNB 81%	1/8 1%	-
Away DNB 26%	5/1 9%	-
Germany win to nil 35%	13/8 5%	-
Greece win to nil 6%	14/1 15%	-
Germany / Germany 41%	1/1	-
Germany / Greece 2%	40/1	-
Germany / Draw 6%	14/1 12%	-
Draw / Germany 19%	10/3	-
Draw / Greece 6%	14/1 12%	-
Draw / Draw 10%	7/1	-
Greece / Germany 5%	16/1 11%	-
Greece / Greece 7%	11/1 8%	-
Greece / Draw 4%	18/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Germany	1 - 1	Paraguay
Germany	2 - 1	Cote d'Ivoire
Germany	7 - 1	Curacao
Germany	4 - 0	Finland
Germany	2 - 1	Ghana
Germany	6 - 0	Slovakia
Germany	4 - 0	Luxembourg
Germany	3 - 1	N Ireland
Germany	0 - 2	France
Germany	1 - 2	Portugal
Germany	3 - 3	Italy
Germany	7 - 0	Bosnia
Germany	1 - 0	Netherlands
Germany	5 - 0	Hungary
Germany	2 - 0	Denmark
Germany	2 - 0	Hungary
Germany	5 - 1	Scotland
Germany	2 - 1	Greece
Germany	0 - 0	Ukraine
Germany	2 - 1	Netherlands

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Germany	1 - 1	Netherlands
H	Germany	1 - 1	Paraguay
A	Germany	1 - 2	Ecuador
H	Germany	2 - 1	Cote d'Ivoire
H	Germany	7 - 1	Curacao
A	Germany	2 - 1	USA
H	Germany	4 - 0	Finland
H	Germany	2 - 1	Ghana
A	Germany	4 - 3	Switzerland
H	Germany	6 - 0	Slovakia
A	Germany	2 - 0	Luxembourg
A	Germany	1 - 0	N Ireland
H	Germany	4 - 0	Luxembourg
H	Germany	3 - 1	N Ireland
A	Germany	0 - 2	Slovakia
H	Germany	0 - 2	France
H	Germany	1 - 2	Portugal
H	Germany	3 - 3	Italy
A	Germany	2 - 1	Italy
A	Germany	1 - 1	Hungary

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Serbia	1 - 2	Greece
Sweden	2 - 2	Greece
Hungary	0 - 0	Greece
Belarus	0 - 0	Greece
Denmark	3 - 1	Greece
Scotland	3 - 1	Greece
Scotland	0 - 3	Greece
Finland	0 - 2	Greece
England	1 - 2	Greece
Ireland	0 - 2	Greece
Malta	0 - 2	Greece
Germany	2 - 1	Greece
Georgia	0 - 0	Greece
Ireland	0 - 2	Greece
Netherlands	3 - 0	Greece
France	1 - 0	Greece
Gibraltar	0 - 3	Greece
Hungary	2 - 1	Greece
Malta	2 - 2	Greece
Cyprus	1 - 0	Greece

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Greece	2 - 1	Serbia
H	Greece	0 - 1	Italy
A	Greece	2 - 2	Sweden
A	Greece	0 - 0	Hungary
H	Greece	0 - 1	Paraguay
A	Greece	0 - 0	Belarus
H	Greece	3 - 2	Scotland
A	Greece	1 - 3	Denmark
A	Greece	1 - 3	Scotland
H	Greece	0 - 3	Denmark
H	Greece	5 - 1	Belarus
H	Greece	4 - 0	Bulgaria
H	Greece	4 - 1	Slovakia
A	Greece	3 - 0	Scotland
H	Greece	0 - 1	Scotland
A	Greece	2 - 0	Finland
H	Greece	0 - 3	England
H	Greece	2 - 0	Ireland
A	Greece	2 - 1	England
A	Greece	2 - 0	Ireland

Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.4 is decent for Germany in their meeting with Greece, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 20 consecutive UEFA Nations League games.

	Germany 2nd	Greece 1st
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.4 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 9% 1 22% 2 26% 3 21% 4+ 22% There is a 69% probability that Germany will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 39% 1 37% 2 17% 3 4+ There is a 76% probability of Greece scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+33 Germany have scored 33% more goals at home than predicted	+2 Greece’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	3.0 average goals scored	1.3 average goals scored
	0.8 conceded	1.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

28%

better

GER

GRE

view stats

Games scored	18		13
Failed to score	2		7
Scored first	14		11
Goals scored	47		33
Avg. goals scored	2.4		1.7
Avg. shots per game	13		12
Avg. shots per goal	6		7
Conversion rate for	18		14
Avg. XG for	2.1		1.7
KickOff rating		+28%

GER

GRE

better

view stats

Games conceded	15		13
Clean sheets	5		7
Conceded first	6		7
Goals conceded	23		23
Avg. goals conceded	1.2		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		7
Conversion rate against	15%		15%
Avg. XG against	1.3		1.1
KickOff rating		+4%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Germany v Greece will show here when available.

Germany UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
112	26	31	11
J Kimmich	S Gnabry	J Kimmich	J Kimmich

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Kimmich MID	115	10	31	11 -
K Havertz FWD	63	25	16	5 -
S Gnabry FWD	60	26	12	1 -
J Tah DEF	52	1		9 -
J Musiala MID	46	10	7	2 -
F Wirtz MID	45	11	15	4 -
M Stegen GLK	42			-
D Raum DEF	39	1	6	6 -
N Schlotterbeck DEF	30	1	4	9 -
W Anton DEF	15			1 -
M Mittelstädt DEF	15	1	2	3 -
A Pavlović MID	15	1	1	1 -
N Amiri MID	14	1	1	2 -
F Nmecha MID	13	3	1	1 -
N Woltemade FWD	12	4	1	-
K Adeyemi FWD	12	1	2	4 -
C Führich FWD	10			-
N Brown DEF	9	1	1	-
R Baku DEF	8	2	1	-
M Thiaw DEF	7			2 -
K Schade FWD	6		1	-
J Burkardt FWD	5			-
A Stach MID	4			-
A Nübel GLK	3			-
L. Karl MID	3		1	-
J Vagnoman DEF	2			-
Y Bisseck DEF	1			-
P Treu DEF	1			-
T Bischof MID	1			-
Y Engelhardt MID	1			-
Y Ebnoutalib FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
26	55	31	48
S Gnabry	K Havertz	J Kimmich	J Kimmich

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Gnabry FWD	26	46	12	16
K Havertz FWD	25	55	16	10
F Wirtz MID	11	28	15	27
J Kimmich MID	10	33	31	48
J Musiala MID	10	22	7	19
N Woltemade FWD	4	7	1	3
F Nmecha MID	3	9	1	2
R Baku DEF	2	3	1	1
J Tah DEF	1	5		5
D Raum DEF	1	3	6	15
N Schlotterbeck DEF	1	6	4	6
M Mittelstädt DEF	1	6	2	11
A Pavlović MID	1	2	1	2
N Amiri MID	1	2	1	1
K Adeyemi FWD	1	4	2	2
N Brown DEF	1	2	1	5
W Anton DEF		2		2
C Führich FWD		2		1
M Thiaw DEF		1
K Schade FWD			1	1
J Burkardt FWD		2
L. Karl MID		1	1	3
Y Ebnoutalib FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
6122	113	294
J Kimmich	J Kimmich	J Kimmich

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Kimmich MID	6122	113	294
J Tah DEF	3133	40	117
F Wirtz MID	1839	52	150
N Schlotterbeck DEF	1781	45	130
S Gnabry FWD	1556	47	138
K Havertz FWD	1475	38	168
D Raum DEF	1276	57	121
J Musiala MID	1204	43	228
A Pavlović MID	933	21	45
M Stegen GLK	650		7
M Mittelstädt DEF	612	25	49
W Anton DEF	497	7	29
F Nmecha MID	456	26	60
N Brown DEF	269	25	31
M Thiaw DEF	257	12	22
R Baku DEF	202	9	12
N Woltemade FWD	145	7	36
C Führich FWD	138	5	12
N Amiri MID	131	4	10
K Adeyemi FWD	130	5	25
L. Karl MID	94	6	12
A Nübel GLK	93
J Burkardt FWD	33	1	4
P Treu DEF	31	3	5
K Schade FWD	28	1	9
J Vagnoman DEF	28	1	1
T Bischof MID	23	1	2
A Stach MID	16		1
Y Ebnoutalib FWD	13	1	3
Y Bisseck DEF	3		1
Y Engelhardt MID	2		1

Greece UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
53	11	7	15
O Vlachodimos	G Masouras	G Masouras	D Kourbelis

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Masouras FWD	60	11	7	4 -
V Pavlidis FWD	58	10	5	6 -
D Kourbelis MID	55	2	2	15 -
O Vlachodimos GLK	53			2 -
K Tsimikas DEF	52	2	4	6 -
K Mavropanos DEF	43	2		4 1
C Tzolis FWD	35	10	3	2 -
P Retsos DEF	24			5 -
A Douvikas FWD	23	3	3	-
K Koulierakis DEF	22		2	7 -
F Ioannidis FWD	22	6	1	3 -
C Zafeiris MID	18		1	5 -
G Vagiannidis DEF	14		3	-
T Androutsos MID	12	1		1 -
G Kyriakopoulos DEF	11			1 -
C. Mouzakitis MID	11			1 -
K. Karetsas MID	11	3	1	-
K Tzolakis GLK	10			-
A. Tetteh FWD	7		2	1 -
N Triantis MID	5			-
C. Kostoulas FWD	5		1	-
M Saliakas DEF	4			-
C Mandas GLK	3			-
A Ndoj DEF	3			-
I Michailidis DEF	3			1 -
A Kyziridis FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
11	28	7	15
G Masouras	G Masouras	G Masouras	G Masouras

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Masouras FWD	11	28	7	15
V Pavlidis FWD	10	28	5	8
C Tzolis FWD	10	26	3	11
F Ioannidis FWD	6	12	1	2
A Douvikas FWD	3	3	3	1
K. Karetsas MID	3	7	1	3
D Kourbelis MID	2	3	2	3
K Tsimikas DEF	2	11	4	6
K Mavropanos DEF	2	10		1
T Androutsos MID	1	1		1
O Vlachodimos GLK				1
P Retsos DEF		3
K Koulierakis DEF			2	3
C Zafeiris MID		2	1	2
G Vagiannidis DEF		1	3	2
G Kyriakopoulos DEF		1
C. Mouzakitis MID		1
A. Tetteh FWD		3	2
C. Kostoulas FWD			1	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2476	63	173
K Mavropanos	G Masouras	K Tsimikas

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
K Mavropanos DEF	2476	38	157
D Kourbelis MID	1757	62	171
K Tsimikas DEF	1669	57	173
O Vlachodimos GLK	1278		8
G Masouras FWD	1118	63	141
K Koulierakis DEF	1039	29	66
P Retsos DEF	714	14	44
V Pavlidis FWD	687	13	135
C Tzolis FWD	675	26	93
C Zafeiris MID	606	27	55
G Vagiannidis DEF	533	19	44
T Androutsos MID	323	8	31
K Tzolakis GLK	262		6
K. Karetsas MID	207	9	28
C. Mouzakitis MID	193	7	8
F Ioannidis FWD	180	9	61
N Triantis MID	107	4	9
A Douvikas FWD	104	10	56
G Kyriakopoulos DEF	77	2	3
A. Tetteh FWD	51	5	24
C. Kostoulas FWD	34	3	10
C Mandas GLK	31
A Ndoj DEF	21
A Kyziridis FWD	12	1	1
I Michailidis DEF	6		1
M Saliakas DEF	2