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Serbia v Netherlands : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 27th Sep, 17:00 BST, Rajko Mitic Stadium, Belgrade

Netherlands are away on Sunday evening, as manager Xavier Hernández Creus takes his team to visit Serbia and Veljko Paunovic at the Rajko Mitic Stadium in the UEFA Nations League. Quite simply, we want you to win betting on this game. To this end, statistics for seventeen major betting market have been laid out below, with head to head (H2H) history and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are included as well.

Best Tip: Netherlands to win

No team in the UEFA Nations League wants to be beaten in front of their home fans, but the stats below are suggesting that is set to be Serbia's fate as they go head-to-head with Netherlands at Rajko Mitic Stadium on Sunday evening. The bookmakers agree, each suggesting an away win is the most likely outcome at odds of 1.42, and so does our predictive algorithm. We've calculated the away win in the win / draw / win market has a 68% probability, making it a clear bet of the day here.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 68% chance of Netherlands coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Serbia 13%	13/2 50%	-
Draw 19%	7/2 18%	-
Netherlands 68%	21/50 12%	-
Netherlands 2-0 11%	13/2	-
Netherlands 1-0 10%	7/1 14%	-
Netherlands 2-1 10%	15/2	-
Draw 1-1 9%	15/2 13%	-
Netherlands 3-0 8%	9/1 17%	-
Netherlands 3-1 7%	10/1 15%	-
Netherlands 4-0 5%	16/1 26%	-
Draw 0-0 4%	14/1 36%	-
Draw 2-2 4%	16/1	-
Netherlands 4-1 4%	18/1 27%	-
Serbia 1-0 4%	20/1 62%	-
Serbia 2-1 4%	20/1 24%	-
Netherlands 3-2 3%	22/1 12%	-
Netherlands 5-0 2%	33/1 33%	-
Netherlands 5-1 2%	33/1 33%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 60%	8/13 12%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 40%	5/4 15%	-
Home 1st Goal 38%	2/1 9%	-
Away 1st Goal 59%	2/5 9%	-
No 1st Goal 3%	14/1 36%	-
BTTS - Yes 53%	4/5 2%	-
BTTS - No 47%	10/11 4%	-
BTTS - Home Win 7%	12/1 37%	-
BTTS - Draw 14%	9/2 10%	-
BTTS - Away Win 31%	2/1 17%	-
Home/draw 32%	7/4 22%	-
Away/draw 87%	1/10 6%	-
Home/away 81%	2/11 6%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 82%	2/11 6%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 18%	7/2 20%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 38%	6/4 23%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 62%	1/2 13%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 21%	10/3 28%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 79%	1/5 6%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 10%	8/1 31%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 90%	1/14 3%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/33 2%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	14/1 36%	-
Home DNB 26%	5/1 60%	-
Away DNB 81%	1/8 10%	-
Serbia win to nil 6%	12/1 44%	-
Netherlands win to nil 37%	6/4 9%	-
Serbia / Serbia 7%	11/1 41%	-
Serbia / Netherlands 4%	18/1 10%	-
Serbia / Draw 4%	18/1 12%	-
Draw / Serbia 6%	14/1 50%	-
Draw / Netherlands 19%	10/3 4%	-
Draw / Draw 12%	6/1 17%	-
Netherlands / Serbia 2%	40/1	-
Netherlands / Netherlands 40%	21/20 18%	-
Netherlands / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Serbia have lost 3 consecutive games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Serbia	1 - 2	Greece
Serbia	2 - 1	Saudi Arabia
Serbia	2 - 1	Latvia
Serbia	0 - 1	Albania
Serbia	0 - 5	England
Serbia	3 - 0	Andorra
Serbia	2 - 0	Austria
Serbia	0 - 0	Denmark
Serbia	2 - 0	Switzerland
Serbia	0 - 0	Spain
Serbia	0 - 1	England
Serbia	2 - 2	Bulgaria
Serbia	3 - 1	Montenegro
Serbia	1 - 2	Hungary
Serbia	3 - 2	Jordan
Serbia	2 - 0	Lithuania
Serbia	2 - 3	Switzerland
Serbia	4 - 1	Sweden
Serbia	4 - 1	Slovenia
Serbia	0 - 1	Norway

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Serbia	1 - 2	Greece
A	Serbia	1 - 5	Mexico
A	Serbia	0 - 3	Cape Verde
H	Serbia	2 - 1	Saudi Arabia
A	Serbia	0 - 3	Spain
H	Serbia	2 - 1	Latvia
A	Serbia	0 - 2	England
A	Serbia	3 - 1	Andorra
H	Serbia	0 - 1	Albania
H	Serbia	0 - 5	England
A	Serbia	1 - 0	Latvia
H	Serbia	3 - 0	Andorra
A	Serbia	0 - 0	Albania
H	Serbia	2 - 0	Austria
A	Serbia	1 - 1	Austria
H	Serbia	0 - 0	Denmark
A	Serbia	1 - 1	Switzerland
A	Serbia	0 - 3	Spain
H	Serbia	2 - 0	Switzerland
A	Serbia	0 - 2	Denmark

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Tunisia	1 - 3	Netherlands
Poland	1 - 1	Netherlands
Malta	0 - 4	Netherlands
Lithuania	2 - 3	Netherlands
Finland	0 - 2	Netherlands
Spain	2 - 2	Netherlands
Bosnia	1 - 1	Netherlands
Germany	1 - 0	Netherlands
Hungary	1 - 1	Netherlands
Romania	0 - 3	Netherlands
Poland	1 - 2	Netherlands
Germany	2 - 1	Netherlands
Gibraltar	0 - 6	Netherlands
Greece	0 - 1	Netherlands
Ireland	1 - 2	Netherlands
France	4 - 0	Netherlands
Senegal	0 - 2	Netherlands
Poland	0 - 2	Netherlands
Wales	1 - 2	Netherlands
Belgium	1 - 4	Netherlands

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Netherlands	1 - 1	Germany
H	Netherlands	1 - 1	Morocco
A	Netherlands	3 - 1	Tunisia
H	Netherlands	5 - 1	Sweden
H	Netherlands	2 - 2	Japan
H	Netherlands	2 - 1	Uzbekistan
H	Netherlands	0 - 1	Algeria
H	Netherlands	1 - 1	Ecuador
H	Netherlands	2 - 1	Norway
H	Netherlands	4 - 0	Lithuania
A	Netherlands	1 - 1	Poland
H	Netherlands	4 - 0	Finland
A	Netherlands	4 - 0	Malta
A	Netherlands	3 - 2	Lithuania
H	Netherlands	1 - 1	Poland
H	Netherlands	8 - 0	Malta
A	Netherlands	2 - 0	Finland
A	Netherlands	2 - 2	Spain
H	Netherlands	2 - 2	Spain
A	Netherlands	1 - 1	Bosnia

Goal Statistics

Serbia have been dreadful at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 3 consecutive UEFA Nations League outings. This run could continue, with Netherlands's PG an impressive 2.2.

	Serbia 4th	Netherlands 3rd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	0.9 goals	2.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 41% 1 37% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Serbia scoring 1 goal or less	0 11% 1 24% 2 27% 3 20% 4+ 19% There is a 65% probability that Netherlands will score 2 or more goals in this match

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-22 Serbia have scored 22% fewer goals at home than predicted	-7 Netherlands’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.7 average goals scored	2.1 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

SRB

NED

52%

better

view stats

Games scored	11		19
Failed to score	9		1
Scored first	6		14
Goals scored	19		49
Avg. goals scored	1		2.5
Avg. shots per game	9		12
Avg. shots per goal	9		5
Conversion rate for	11		21
Avg. XG for	1.3		2.1
KickOff rating		+52%

SRB

NED

20%

better

view stats

Games conceded	14		15
Clean sheets	6		5
Conceded first	12		6
Goals conceded	31		19
Avg. goals conceded	1.6		1
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		8
Conversion rate against	16%		13%
Avg. XG against	1.6		0.9
KickOff rating		+20%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Serbia v Netherlands will show here when available.

Serbia UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
84	19	37	17
D Tadić	D Tadić	D Tadić	S Pavlovic

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Tadić MID	99	19	37	8 -
N Gudelj MID	76	1	2	10 -
F Kostić DEF	72	3	11	3 -
S Lukic MID	63	2	4	11 -
N Maksimovic MID	61	1	1	5 -
A Zivkovic FWD	61	2	14	6 -
S Milinković-Savić MID	57	9	6	5 -
S Pavlovic DEF	56	5	1	16 1
L Jović FWD	53	11	3	3 -
L Samardžić MID	28	1	1	1 -
S Eraković DEF	23	1		3 -
V Milinković-Savić GLK	21			1 -
A Terzić DEF	15	1	1	3 -
Đorđe Petrović GLK	12			-
K. Nedeljković DEF	11			1 -
S Babic DEF	10	1		-
D Joveljic FWD	10	2		2 -
A Stankovic MID	8	1		-
N. Simić DEF	3			-
S. Bukinac DEF	3			-
V. Kostov MID	3			-
M. Cvetković FWD	3			-
V Lucic FWD	3			-
F Stankovic GLK	2			-
V. Dragojević MID	2			2 -
J Milosevic FWD	2			-
P. Sukacev FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
19	24	37	30
D Tadić	L Jović	D Tadić	D Tadić

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Tadić MID	19	17	37	30
L Jović FWD	11	24	3	3
S Milinković-Savić MID	9	22	6	10
S Pavlovic DEF	5	12	1	4
F Kostić DEF	3	15	11	16
S Lukic MID	2	5	4	1
A Zivkovic FWD	2	6	14	18
D Joveljic FWD	2	1		1
N Gudelj MID	1	10	2	1
N Maksimovic MID	1	3	1	1
L Samardžić MID	1	5	1	3
S Eraković DEF	1			2
A Terzić DEF	1	1	1	6
S Babic DEF	1	1
A Stankovic MID	1	1		2
K. Nedeljković DEF		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2755	115	342
S Pavlovic	S Pavlovic	S Pavlovic

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Pavlovic DEF	2755	115	342
N Gudelj MID	2044	49	143
S Lukic MID	1883	65	137
S Milinković-Savić MID	1822	52	228
D Tadić MID	1597	34	170
N Maksimovic MID	1283	50	103
F Kostić DEF	1107	67	121
A Zivkovic FWD	1064	53	124
S Eraković DEF	714	31	56
V Milinković-Savić GLK	579	1	13
L Jović FWD	439	4	91
L Samardžić MID	428	22	61
A Terzić DEF	276	11	22
A Stankovic MID	273	10	25
Đorđe Petrović GLK	271		3
S Babic DEF	203	7	17
K. Nedeljković DEF	80	5	9
D Joveljic FWD	66	3	12
N. Simić DEF	57	4	6
V Lucic FWD	53		6
F Stankovic GLK	20
S. Bukinac DEF	14	2	3
M. Cvetković FWD	13	2	5
V. Kostov MID	11	1	1
V. Dragojević MID	11
J Milosevic FWD	3	1	3
P. Sukacev FWD		1	1

Netherlands UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
96	25	20	11
V Dijk	C Gakpo	D Dumfries	V Dijk

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
V Dijk DEF	96	13	1	11 -
D Dumfries DEF	77	11	20	9 1
N Aké DEF	62	5	3	4 -
C Gakpo FWD	55	25	11	3 -
T Reijnders MID	36	7	4	2 -
B Verbruggen GLK	34			-
T Koopmeiners MID	32	3	3	3 -
R Gravenberch MID	32	1	3	1 -
M Ven DEF	25	1	1	1 -
J Timber DEF	23		1	1 -
L Geertruida DEF	21			2 -
J Hecke DEF	17	1		3 -
J Veerman MID	17	1	4	2 -
N Lang FWD	17	3	2	1 -
J Frimpong DEF	15	1	2	-
Q Timber MID	14	1		1 -
M Flekken GLK	12			-
J Hato DEF	9		1	1
G Til MID	8	1		1
C Summerville FWD	7	2	2	2 -
J Zirkzee FWD	6	1	1	-
K Taylor MID	5			1 -
R Roefs GLK	1			-
R Bommel FWD	1		1	-
M Meerdink FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
25	56	20	40
C Gakpo	C Gakpo	D Dumfries	C Gakpo

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C Gakpo FWD	25	56	11	40
V Dijk DEF	13	20	1	10
D Dumfries DEF	11	26	20	28
T Reijnders MID	7	27	4	9
N Aké DEF	5	5	3	4
T Koopmeiners MID	3	6	3	4
N Lang FWD	3	5	2	4
C Summerville FWD	2	4	2	2
R Gravenberch MID	1	7	3	5
M Ven DEF	1	3	1	3
J Hecke DEF	1	3		1
J Veerman MID	1	1	4	10
J Frimpong DEF	1	6	2	3
Q Timber MID	1	2
G Til MID	1	3		1
J Zirkzee FWD	1	1	1	4
J Timber DEF		3	1	1
L Geertruida DEF		1		2
J Hato DEF			1	2
R Bommel FWD		1	1	1
M Meerdink FWD		2		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
5349	90	343
V Dijk	D Dumfries	D Dumfries

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
V Dijk DEF	5349	53	338
D Dumfries DEF	2562	90	343
N Aké DEF	2195	46	136
T Reijnders MID	1337	27	78
C Gakpo FWD	1310	58	223
R Gravenberch MID	1288	25	91
J Hecke DEF	1211	25	65
J Timber DEF	1166	30	72
B Verbruggen GLK	1013	1	7
M Ven DEF	838	27	70
L Geertruida DEF	827	29	46
T Koopmeiners MID	647	28	56
J Veerman MID	533	19	26
N Lang FWD	370	7	32
M Flekken GLK	308	1	3
J Frimpong DEF	275	4	32
Q Timber MID	256	16	39
J Hato DEF	255	11	18
C Summerville FWD	122	8	24
J Zirkzee FWD	80	2	8
K Taylor MID	76	5	9
G Til MID	42	3	9
M Meerdink FWD	15		4
R Roefs GLK	14
R Bommel FWD	2