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Azerbaijan v Lithuania : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Türk Hava Yolları Futbol Mərkəzi IV meydança, Bakı

Sunday afternoon sees Fernando Manuel Fernandes da Costa Santos’s Azerbaijan and Edgaras Jankauskas’s Lithuania go up against one another in a UEFA Nations League clash at the Türk Hava Yolları Futbol Mərkəzi IV meydança. Our predictions are based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across seventeen major markets. The data and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across them all.

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The last International UEFA Nations League meeting between Azerbaijan and Lithuania was on Sunday 4th October 2026
International UEFA Nations League
October 4th 2026
Azerbaijan 1
0 Lithuania
 
A. Xaybulayev 25'
 
AZE
LTU
Shots On
7
3
Shots Off
4
4
Corners
2
5
Possession
38%
62%
Fouls
14
9
Yellow/red cards
3/0
3/1
 
AzerbaijanLithuania
 
E. Balayev
R. Daşdəmirov
R. Abbasov
R. Məmmədov
T. Bayramov (V. İsgəndərli 46')
A. Xaybulayevfootball icon (R. Dadaşov 64')
M. Mədətov
B. Hüseynov
T. Mütəllimov (E. Bədəlov 88')
O. Məmmədov (E. Safarov 64')
A. Isaev (J. Nuriyev 80')
 (K. Kažukolovas 46') E. Utkus
(L. Michelbrink 46') M. Vorobjovas
A. Dolžnikov
A. Kučys
T. Švedkauskas
J. Lasickas
V. Armalas
(I. Venckus 83') R. Lekiatas
(E. Jankauskas 67') V. Slivka
G. Gineitis
(M. Burba 67') A. Lickūnas

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We are tipping a close-fought game here and, as such, our prediction is under 2.5 goals. For those unfamiliar with that term, this simply means that 2 goals or less will be scored in total as Azerbaijan and Lithuania go head-to-head. Clear game plans will be required to deliver us a winner, but we trust both sides to deliver just that. The statistics and the odds below also suggest this is a strong tip.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Azerbaijan
37%
13/8
32%
-
Draw
30%
15/8
4%
-
Lithuania
33%
19/10
24%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1-
Azerbaijan 1-0
13%
5/1
9%
-
Lithuania 1-0
12%
11/2
24%
-
Draw 0-0
12%
4/1
17%
-
Azerbaijan 2-1
7%
11/1
20%
-
Azerbaijan 2-0
7%
10/1
29%
-
Lithuania 2-1
7%
12/1
13%
-
Lithuania 2-0
6%
11/1
29%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
20/1-
Azerbaijan 3-1
3%
28/1
38%
-
Azerbaijan 3-0
3%
25/1
53%
-
Lithuania 3-1
2%
33/1
17%
-
Lithuania 3-0
2%
28/1
29%
-
Azerbaijan 3-2
1%
50/1
24%
-
Lithuania 3-2
1%
50/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
2/1
14%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
64%
4/11
6%
-
Home 1st Goal
47%
11/10
17%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
5/4
10%
-
No 1st Goal
8%
4/1
17%
-
BTTS - Yes
43%
6/4
11%
-
BTTS - No
57%
1/2
4%
-
BTTS - Home Win
13%
7/1
33%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
12%
8/1
11%
-
Home/draw
67%
2/5
12%
-
Away/draw
63%
4/9
17%
-
Home/away
70%
2/5
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
63%
4/6
8%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
37%
11/10
12%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
17%
5/1
20%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
83%
1/9
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
19/2
11%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/33
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
16/1
13%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/100-
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
1/7
3%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
4/1
17%
-
Home DNB
58%
4/5
25%
-
Away DNB
54%
10/11
27%
-
Azerbaijan win to nil
24%
11/4
25%
-
Lithuania win to nil
21%
3/1
27%
-
Azerbaijan / Azerbaijan
19%
10/3
32%
-
Azerbaijan / Lithuania
2%
40/1-
Azerbaijan / Draw
5%
16/1-
Draw / Azerbaijan
15%
9/2
20%
-
Draw / Lithuania
14%
5/1
20%
-
Draw / Draw
21%
11/4
13%
-
Lithuania / Azerbaijan
2%
40/1
21%
-
Lithuania / Lithuania
17%
15/4
21%
-
Lithuania / Draw
5%
16/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Azerbaijan 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Azerbaijan0 - 0Liechtenstein
Azerbaijan1 - 0Tajikistan
Azerbaijan2 - 1San Marino
Azerbaijan0 - 2Malta
Azerbaijan1 - 1Sierra Leone
Azerbaijan6 - 1St Lucia
Azerbaijan1 - 3France
Azerbaijan0 - 2Iceland
Azerbaijan1 - 1Ukraine
Azerbaijan1 - 2Hungary
Azerbaijan0 - 2Belarus
Azerbaijan0 - 3Haiti
Azerbaijan0 - 0Estonia
Azerbaijan1 - 3Slovakia
Azerbaijan1 - 3Sweden
Azerbaijan3 - 2Kazakhstan
Azerbaijan1 - 1Bulgaria
Azerbaijan1 - 0Mongolia
Azerbaijan3 - 0Sweden
Azerbaijan0 - 1Austria
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAzerbaijan0 - 0Liechtenstein
AAzerbaijan1 - 1Lithuania
HAzerbaijan1 - 0Tajikistan
HAzerbaijan2 - 1San Marino
HAzerbaijan0 - 2Malta
HAzerbaijan1 - 1Sierra Leone
HAzerbaijan6 - 1St Lucia
HAzerbaijan1 - 3France
HAzerbaijan0 - 2Iceland
AAzerbaijan1 - 2Ukraine
AAzerbaijan0 - 3France
HAzerbaijan1 - 1Ukraine
AAzerbaijan0 - 5Iceland
HAzerbaijan1 - 2Hungary
AAzerbaijan0 - 0Latvia
HAzerbaijan0 - 2Belarus
HAzerbaijan0 - 3Haiti
AAzerbaijan0 - 6Sweden
HAzerbaijan0 - 0Estonia
HAzerbaijan1 - 3Slovakia
Lithuania 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
11
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
8 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
12 / 20
W
4
D
2
Lost
14
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Liechtenstein0 - 2Lithuania
Moldova0 - 2Lithuania
Netherlands4 - 0Lithuania
Finland2 - 1Lithuania
Denmark5 - 0Lithuania
Malta0 - 0Lithuania
Poland1 - 0Lithuania
Kosovo1 - 0Lithuania
Cyprus2 - 1Lithuania
Romania3 - 1Lithuania
Gibraltar0 - 1Lithuania
Cyprus1 - 0Lithuania
Montenegro2 - 0Lithuania
Bulgaria0 - 2Lithuania
Hungary2 - 0Lithuania
Greece0 - 0Lithuania
Serbia2 - 0Lithuania
Luxembourg1 - 0Lithuania
Turkey2 - 0Lithuania
Faroes2 - 1Lithuania
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
D
4
Lost
13
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLithuania3 - 0Andorra
HLithuania1 - 1Azerbaijan
ALithuania2 - 0Liechtenstein
HLithuania0 - 2Georgia
ALithuania2 - 0Moldova
ALithuania0 - 4Netherlands
HLithuania0 - 2Poland
ALithuania1 - 2Finland
HLithuania2 - 3Netherlands
HLithuania1 - 1Malta
ALithuania0 - 5Denmark
ALithuania0 - 0Malta
HLithuania2 - 2Finland
ALithuania0 - 1Poland
ALithuania0 - 1Kosovo
ALithuania1 - 2Cyprus
HLithuania1 - 2Romania
HLithuania1 - 2Kosovo
ALithuania1 - 3Romania
HLithuania0 - 1Cyprus
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Lithuania of late. It has been 6 UEFA Nations League games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday afternoon against Azerbaijan.

Azerbaijan 1st Lithuania 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Azerbaijan will score no more than 1 goal
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Lithuania will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Azerbaijan’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-23
Lithuania have scored 23% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
0.6
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Azerbaijan
PG (predicted goals)
Lithuania
1.1
1
Attack rating
AZE
LTU
17%
better
view stats
Games scored10
12
Failed to score10
8
Scored first3
6
Goals scored16
18
Avg. goals scored0.8
0.9
Avg. shots per game7
8
Avg. shots per goal9
9
Conversion rate for11
12
Avg. XG for0.8
0.8
KickOff rating
+17%
Defence rating
AZE
LTU
1%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
16
Clean sheets4
4
Conceded first14
13
Goals conceded38
34
Avg. goals conceded1.9
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate against17%
20%
Avg. XG against2
1.5
KickOff rating
+1%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Azerbaijan v Lithuania will show here when available.

Azerbaijan UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3111
E BalayevA. XaybulayevT MutallimovR Mammadov
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Balayev GLK3
-
R Mammadov DEF2
1
-
B Hüseynov DEF2
-
R Dashdamirov DEF2
-
T Mutallimov MID31
1
-
A. Xaybulayev MID31
1
-
A Isayev MID3
1
-
R Abbasov MID3
-
T Bayramov FWD31
1
-
M Emreli FWD31
1
-
O. Məmmədov FWD1
-
Subs
A Bayramov GLK
-
R. Mirzəmmədov GLK
-
A Kryvotsyuk DEF1
-
E Bədəlov DEF2
1
-
E Mahmudov MID1
-
A Nuriev MID
-
J. Nuriyev MID1
-
R Abdullazada MID2
-
M Qurbanly FWD2
-
R Dadashov FWD2
-
E Safarov FWD2
-
V İsgändärli FWD3
1
-
Lithuania UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3111
E Utkus A KucysG GineitisM Vorobjovas
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Švedkauskas GLK1
-
V Armalas DEF2
-
E Utkus  DEF3
-
R Lekiatas DEF1
-
A. Lickūnas MID3
-
M Vorobjovas MID3
1
-
G Gineitis MID31
1
-
J Lasickas MID3
1
-
V Slivka FWD2
-
A Kucys FWD311
1
A Dolznikov FWD31
1
-
Subs
D Bartkus GLK2
-
L Paukste GLK
-
A Tutyškinas DEF2
-
K Kazukolovas DEF2
-
D Malzinskas DEF
-
D. Šluta MID1
-
L. Michelbrink MID31
-
F Steponavičius FWD
-
M. Ruzgis FWD1
-
E Jankauskas FWD3
1
-
I. Venckus FWD2
-
M Burba FWD3
-