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Azerbaijan v Lithuania : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 4th Oct, 14:00 BST, ,

We've got predictions, tips, and the best odds and head-to-head statistics across all the main betting markets, so there really is only one place to get ready for this UEFA Nations League clash.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Azerbaijan 42%	-	-
Draw 29%	-	-
Lithuania 29%	-	-
Azerbaijan 1-0 14%	-	-
Draw 1-1 13%	-	-
Draw 0-0 12%	-	-
Lithuania 1-0 11%	-	-
Azerbaijan 2-0 8%	-	-
Azerbaijan 2-1 8%	-	-
Lithuania 2-1 6%	-	-
Lithuania 2-0 5%	-	-
Draw 2-2 4%	-	-
Azerbaijan 3-0 3%	-	-
Azerbaijan 3-1 3%	-	-
Lithuania 3-1 2%	-	-
Lithuania 3-0 2%	-	-
Azerbaijan 3-2 2%	-	-
Lithuania 3-2 1%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 36%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 64%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 49%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 43%	-	-
No 1st Goal 8%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 43%	-	-
BTTS - No 57%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 15%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 11%	-	-
Home/draw 71%	-	-
Away/draw 58%	-	-
Home/away 71%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 63%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 37%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 17%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 83%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 7%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 93%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 2%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 98%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 88%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 12%	-	-
Home DNB 62%	-	-
Away DNB 50%	-	-
Azerbaijan win to nil 27%	-	-
Lithuania win to nil 18%	-	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Azerbaijan	1 - 0	Tajikistan
Azerbaijan	2 - 1	San Marino
Azerbaijan	0 - 2	Malta
Azerbaijan	1 - 1	Sierra Leone
Azerbaijan	6 - 1	St Lucia
Azerbaijan	1 - 3	France
Azerbaijan	0 - 2	Iceland
Azerbaijan	1 - 1	Ukraine
Azerbaijan	1 - 2	Hungary
Azerbaijan	0 - 2	Belarus
Azerbaijan	0 - 3	Haiti
Azerbaijan	0 - 0	Estonia
Azerbaijan	1 - 3	Slovakia
Azerbaijan	1 - 3	Sweden
Azerbaijan	3 - 2	Kazakhstan
Azerbaijan	1 - 1	Bulgaria
Azerbaijan	1 - 0	Mongolia
Azerbaijan	3 - 0	Sweden
Azerbaijan	0 - 1	Austria
Azerbaijan	2 - 1	Jordan

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Azerbaijan	1 - 0	Tajikistan
H	Azerbaijan	2 - 1	San Marino
H	Azerbaijan	0 - 2	Malta
H	Azerbaijan	1 - 1	Sierra Leone
H	Azerbaijan	6 - 1	St Lucia
H	Azerbaijan	1 - 3	France
H	Azerbaijan	0 - 2	Iceland
A	Azerbaijan	1 - 2	Ukraine
A	Azerbaijan	0 - 3	France
H	Azerbaijan	1 - 1	Ukraine
A	Azerbaijan	0 - 5	Iceland
H	Azerbaijan	1 - 2	Hungary
A	Azerbaijan	0 - 0	Latvia
H	Azerbaijan	0 - 2	Belarus
H	Azerbaijan	0 - 3	Haiti
A	Azerbaijan	0 - 6	Sweden
H	Azerbaijan	0 - 0	Estonia
H	Azerbaijan	1 - 3	Slovakia
A	Azerbaijan	1 - 3	Estonia
A	Azerbaijan	0 - 2	Slovakia

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

8 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

12 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Liechtenstein	0 - 2	Lithuania
Moldova	0 - 2	Lithuania
Netherlands	4 - 0	Lithuania
Finland	2 - 1	Lithuania
Denmark	5 - 0	Lithuania
Malta	0 - 0	Lithuania
Poland	1 - 0	Lithuania
Kosovo	1 - 0	Lithuania
Cyprus	2 - 1	Lithuania
Romania	3 - 1	Lithuania
Gibraltar	0 - 1	Lithuania
Cyprus	1 - 0	Lithuania
Montenegro	2 - 0	Lithuania
Bulgaria	0 - 2	Lithuania
Hungary	2 - 0	Lithuania
Greece	0 - 0	Lithuania
Serbia	2 - 0	Lithuania
Luxembourg	1 - 0	Lithuania
Turkey	2 - 0	Lithuania
Faroes	2 - 1	Lithuania

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Lithuania	2 - 0	Liechtenstein
H	Lithuania	0 - 2	Georgia
A	Lithuania	2 - 0	Moldova
A	Lithuania	0 - 4	Netherlands
H	Lithuania	0 - 2	Poland
A	Lithuania	1 - 2	Finland
H	Lithuania	2 - 3	Netherlands
H	Lithuania	1 - 1	Malta
A	Lithuania	0 - 5	Denmark
A	Lithuania	0 - 0	Malta
H	Lithuania	2 - 2	Finland
A	Lithuania	0 - 1	Poland
A	Lithuania	0 - 1	Kosovo
A	Lithuania	1 - 2	Cyprus
H	Lithuania	1 - 2	Romania
H	Lithuania	1 - 2	Kosovo
A	Lithuania	1 - 3	Romania
H	Lithuania	0 - 1	Cyprus
H	Lithuania	1 - 0	Gibraltar
A	Lithuania	1 - 0	Gibraltar

Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Lithuania of late. It has been 6 UEFA Nations League games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday afternoon against Azerbaijan.

	Azerbaijan 2nd	Lithuania 1st
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that Azerbaijan will score no more than 1 goal	0 39% 1 37% 2 17% 3 4+ There is a 76% probability of Lithuania scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	=0 Azerbaijan’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-23 Lithuania have scored 23% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.3 average goals scored	0.6 average goals scored
	1.5 conceded	1.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

AZE

LTU

better

view stats

Games scored	10		12
Failed to score	10		8
Scored first	3		6
Goals scored	16		16
Avg. goals scored	0.8		0.8
Avg. shots per game	7		9
Avg. shots per goal	8		11
Conversion rate for	12		9
Avg. XG for	0.7		1.1
KickOff rating		+8%

AZE

LTU

15%

better

view stats

Games conceded	17		15
Clean sheets	3		5
Conceded first	15		13
Goals conceded	42		33
Avg. goals conceded	2.1		1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	12		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	5		5
Conversion rate against	18%		19%
Avg. XG against	2.1		1.4
KickOff rating		+15%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Azerbaijan v Lithuania will show here when available.

Azerbaijan UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
59	16	5	15
B Hüseynov	E Mahmudov	E Mahmudov	A Kryvotsyuk

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Hüseynov DEF	65	1		5 1
E Mahmudov MID	63	16	5	9 -
M Emreli FWD	58	6	2	8 1
A Kryvotsyuk DEF	46	1		15 -
R Dadashov FWD	42	7	1	5 -
A Isayev MID	30	1	2	2 -
M Qurbanly FWD	22	4		-
E Bədəlov DEF	18			1 -
A Nuriev MID	18	1		-
E Balayev GLK	16			-
R Sadikhov MID	11	1		-
J. Nuriyev MID	11		1	-
R Dashdamirov DEF	8	1	2	1 -
T Mutallimov DEF	7			1
J Huseynov MID	7			1 -
A. Xaybulayev MID	7			2 -
E Safarov MID	7			2 -
V İsgändärli FWD	6	1	1	-
M Xaçayev DEF	4			-
A Bayramov GLK	3			-
T Bayramov DEF	2			-
R Abbasov DEF	2			-
A Guseynov MID	1			-
M. Ahmadzada MID	1		1	-
F Yusifli MID	1			-
E. Adilxanov MID	1			1 -
R Abdullazada FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
16	17	5	4
E Mahmudov	E Mahmudov	E Mahmudov	E Mahmudov

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E Mahmudov MID	16	17	5	4
R Dadashov FWD	7	16	1	2
M Emreli FWD	6	14	2	3
M Qurbanly FWD	4	2		1
B Hüseynov DEF	1			1
A Kryvotsyuk DEF	1	2		1
A Isayev MID	1	1	2	4
A Nuriev MID	1	1
R Sadikhov MID	1	2		1
R Dashdamirov DEF	1	1	2	1
V İsgändärli FWD	1		1
J. Nuriyev MID			1	2
E Safarov MID				2
R Abbasov DEF		1
M. Ahmadzada MID			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1494	100	183
E Mahmudov	E Mahmudov	E Mahmudov

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Mahmudov MID	1494	100	183
A Kryvotsyuk DEF	1331	77	173
B Hüseynov DEF	1252	25	77
A Isayev MID	741	10	40
M Emreli FWD	532	24	122
E Bədəlov DEF	423	19	37
R Dadashov FWD	346	20	111
E Balayev GLK	251		6
J Huseynov MID	155	4	15
A. Xaybulayev MID	147	22	33
J. Nuriyev MID	137	15	28
A Nuriev MID	134	3	21
R Sadikhov MID	127	7	22
R Dashdamirov DEF	82	3	10
M Qurbanly FWD	77	6	19
T Mutallimov DEF	74	2	10
A Bayramov GLK	35		3
T Bayramov DEF	24		8
R Abbasov DEF	21		2
V İsgändärli FWD	16	4	9
E Safarov MID	15	2	3
M Xaçayev DEF	8	1	2
R Abdullazada FWD	7		1
M. Ahmadzada MID	4

Lithuania UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
57	6	7	18
V Slivka	A Kucys	J Lasickas	J Lasickas

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
V Slivka MID	65	3	2	11 -
J Lasickas DEF	61	3	7	17 1
M Vorobjovas MID	48	1	1	8 -
P Sirvys DEF	30	4	2	4 -
G Gineitis MID	30	5	4	11 -
E Utkus DEF	24			8 1
E Gertmonas GLK	23			-
A Tutyškinas DEF	23			6 -
A Dolznikov FWD	23	2	1	3 -
K Kazukolovas DEF	18			2 -
A Kucys FWD	17	6	1	3 -
R Lekiatas DEF	15			4 -
D Bartkus GLK	13			-
E Jankauskas FWD	13			3 -
T Švedkauskas GLK	12			-
D Barauskas DEF	11			2 -
V Armalas DEF	8		1	2 -
M. Ruzgis FWD	4			-
M Burba FWD	4			-
Z Baltrunas DEF	2			-
L. Michelbrink MID	2	1		-
F Steponavičius FWD	2			-
A. Lickūnas FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	14	7	8
A Kucys	G Gineitis	J Lasickas	J Lasickas

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Kucys FWD	6	11	1	3
G Gineitis MID	5	14	4	7
P Sirvys DEF	4	8	2	1
V Slivka MID	3	10	2	2
J Lasickas DEF	3	11	7	8
A Dolznikov FWD	2	5	1	2
M Vorobjovas MID	1	3	1	4
L. Michelbrink MID	1	1
E Utkus DEF		3		1
A Tutyškinas DEF		1
K Kazukolovas DEF				1
R Lekiatas DEF				1
E Jankauskas FWD		2
V Armalas DEF			1
M Burba FWD		2
A. Lickūnas FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1284	85	248
J Lasickas	J Lasickas	J Lasickas

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Lasickas DEF	1284	85	248
V Slivka MID	1201	41	160
G Gineitis MID	1075	39	110
M Vorobjovas MID	1046	65	113
E Utkus DEF	957	29	88
P Sirvys DEF	799	40	109
A Tutyškinas DEF	663	22	70
K Kazukolovas DEF	589	12	53
R Lekiatas DEF	520	19	37
E Gertmonas GLK	489	1	14
T Švedkauskas GLK	300		1
D Bartkus GLK	251		6
D Barauskas DEF	234	15	32
A Dolznikov FWD	170	14	50
A Kucys FWD	166	5	57
V Armalas DEF	160	10	17
E Jankauskas FWD	115	9	35
L. Michelbrink MID	82	3	6
M Burba FWD	33	3	5
M. Ruzgis FWD	13		5
A. Lickūnas FWD	12
Z Baltrunas DEF	4	1	1
F Steponavičius FWD	4