Turkey's team badge Italy's team badge

Turkey v Italy : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 28th Sep, 19:45 BST, ,

Team form, head-to-head statistics, predictions and the best odds are all laid out below. It's our job to give you all the information you need to place a smart, well-informed bet. We're tipping , but why not flip through the tabs and find the one you like best?


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Turkey or Italy are in a rich vein of form that would leave us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The statistics tell us that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 77% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 40% chance of Italy coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Turkey
38%
17/10
17%
-
Draw
25%
12/5
3%
-
Italy
38%
13/8
25%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
11/2-
Italy 2-1
8%
9/1
11%
-
Turkey 2-1
8%
9/1
17%
-
Italy 1-0
8%
10/1
47%
-
Turkey 1-0
8%
10/1
10%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
10/1
27%
-
Italy 2-0
6%
14/1
50%
-
Turkey 2-0
6%
14/1
12%
-
Draw 0-0
5%
11/1
20%
-
Italy 3-1
4%
18/1
12%
-
Turkey 3-1
4%
20/1
19%
-
Italy 3-2
3%
25/1-
Turkey 3-2
3%
25/1
24%
-
Italy 3-0
3%
25/1
37%
-
Turkey 3-0
3%
25/1
24%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
3/4
10%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
21/20
11%
-
Home 1st Goal
48%
20/21
13%
-
Away 1st Goal
48%
10/11
10%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1
20%
-
BTTS - Yes
60%
4/7
9%
-
BTTS - No
40%
5/4
13%
-
BTTS - Home Win
20%
15/4
27%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
3/1
11%
-
BTTS - Away Win
20%
15/4
10%
-
Home/draw
62%
4/9
15%
-
Away/draw
62%
4/9
8%
-
Home/away
76%
3/10
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
2/9
5%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
3/1
14%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
7/4
19%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
2/5
8%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
9/2
21%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/7
4%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10/1
27%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/20
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/1
30%
-
Home DNB
55%
5/6
23%
-
Away DNB
55%
5/6
20%
-
Turkey win to nil
18%
4/1
17%
-
Italy win to nil
18%
4/1
33%
-
Turkey / Turkey
19%
10/3
21%
-
Turkey / Italy
4%
22/1-
Turkey / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
-
Draw / Turkey
13%
11/2
13%
-
Draw / Italy
13%
11/2
18%
-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Italy / Turkey
3%
25/1
10%
-
Italy / Italy
21%
3/1
18%
-
Italy / Draw
6%
12/1-
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
Turkey 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Turkey0 - 1France
Turkey3 - 2USA
Turkey0 - 1Paraguay
Turkey4 - 0Macedonia
Turkey1 - 0Romania
Turkey2 - 0Bulgaria
Turkey4 - 1Georgia
Turkey0 - 6Spain
Turkey3 - 1Hungary
Turkey0 - 0Wales
Turkey1 - 0Montenegro
Turkey3 - 1Iceland
Turkey0 - 3Portugal
Turkey3 - 1Georgia
Turkey4 - 0Latvia
Turkey1 - 1Armenia
Turkey2 - 0Wales
Turkey0 - 2Croatia
Turkey2 - 1Czech Rep
Turkey2 - 1Scotland
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HTurkey0 - 1France
HTurkey3 - 2USA
HTurkey0 - 1Paraguay
ATurkey0 - 2Australia
ATurkey2 - 1Venezuela
HTurkey4 - 0Macedonia
ATurkey1 - 0Kosovo
HTurkey1 - 0Romania
ATurkey2 - 2Spain
HTurkey2 - 0Bulgaria
HTurkey4 - 1Georgia
ATurkey6 - 1Bulgaria
HTurkey0 - 6Spain
ATurkey3 - 2Georgia
ATurkey0 - 1Mexico
ATurkey2 - 1USA
ATurkey3 - 0Hungary
HTurkey3 - 1Hungary
ATurkey1 - 3Montenegro
HTurkey0 - 0Wales
Italy 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Greece0 - 1Italy
Luxembourg0 - 1Italy
Bosnia1 - 1Italy
Moldova0 - 2Italy
Estonia1 - 3Italy
Israel4 - 5Italy
Norway3 - 0Italy
Germany3 - 3Italy
Belgium0 - 1Italy
Israel1 - 2Italy
France1 - 3Italy
Switzerland2 - 0Italy
Croatia1 - 1Italy
Spain1 - 0Italy
Ecuador0 - 2Italy
Ukraine0 - 0Italy
England3 - 1Italy
Macedonia1 - 1Italy
Netherlands2 - 3Italy
Spain2 - 1Italy
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HItaly0 - 2Belgium
AItaly1 - 0Greece
AItaly1 - 0Luxembourg
AItaly1 - 1Bosnia
HItaly2 - 0N Ireland
HItaly1 - 4Norway
AItaly2 - 0Moldova
HItaly3 - 0Israel
AItaly3 - 1Estonia
AItaly5 - 4Israel
HItaly5 - 0Estonia
HItaly2 - 0Moldova
AItaly0 - 3Norway
AItaly3 - 3Germany
HItaly1 - 2Germany
HItaly1 - 3France
AItaly1 - 0Belgium
HItaly4 - 1Israel
HItaly2 - 2Belgium
AItaly2 - 1Israel
Goal Statistics

Italy have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 11 consecutive UEFA Nations League games. Their PG of 1.5 against Turkey on Monday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Turkey 3rd Italy 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Turkey will score 1 or more goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Italy will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-12
Turkey have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
-16
Italy have scored 16% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Turkey
PG (predicted goals)
Italy
1.5
1.5
Attack rating
TUR
ITA
24%
better
view stats
Games scored14
18
Failed to score5
1
Scored first9
15
Goals scored37
40
Avg. goals scored1.9
2
Avg. shots per game12
11
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for15
17
Avg. XG for1.6
2
KickOff rating
+24%
Defence rating
TUR
ITA
12%
better
view stats
Games conceded13
11
Clean sheets6
8
Conceded first9
4
Goals conceded24
25
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against15%
16%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.1
KickOff rating
+12%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Turkey v Italy will show here when available.

Turkey UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
55151011
M DemiralK AktürkogluO KökcüM Demiral
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Demiral DEF6664
11
-
Z Celik DEF6332
11
-
K Aktürkoglu FWD54155
7
-
O Kökcü MID53410
8
-
I Kahveci  MID4863
8
-
U Cakir GLK431
3
1
B Yılmaz FWD3953
4
1
I Yüksek MID3512
8
-
A Güler MID3478
7
-
F Kadioglu DEF332
1
-
S Özcan MID3311
6
-
A Bardakci DEF3122
8
-
O Kabak DEF312
6
-
E Elmali  DEF262
1
-
Y Akgün FWD2142
2
-
S Akaydin DEF2011
3
-
A Bayındır GLK13
2
-
O Aydın FWD135
1
-
D Gül FWD112
1
-
C Uzun MID911
-
M Eskihellac DEF3
1
-
D Tıknaz MID3
-
E Topçu DEF2
-
A Şimşir FWD2
-
M Şengezer GLK1
-
M Kabasakal MID1
-
Italy UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
82131012
G DonnarummaM KeanN Barella N Barella 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Donnarumma GLK84
6
-
N Barella  MID711010
12
-
G Lorenzo DEF5454
7
-
G Raspadori FWD46118
-
A Bastoni DEF433
7
1
D Frattesi MID3583
3
-
S Tonali MID3345
6
-
M Kean FWD27132
2
-
G Scamacca FWD221
-
G Mancini DEF212
4
-
N Zaniolo FWD1921
6
-
R Calafiori DEF151
2
-
S Ricci MID11
-
F. Esposito FWD105
1
-
G Scalvini DEF9
2
-
D Maldini MID7
2
-
N Fagioli MID6
1
-
G Vicario GLK5
-
D Coppola DEF3
-
H. Ahanor DEF2
1
-
N Cambiaghi FWD2
-
R Mandragora  MID1
-
I. Doumbia MID1
-
A. Romano MID1
-
S. Inacio FWD1
-
M. ZOma FWD1
-
International UEFA Nations League match betting previews, predictions and odds
Slovenia v Scotland
Sat 26th Sep, 14:00
San Marino v Finland
Sat 26th Sep, 17:00
Faroes v Kazakhstan
Sat 26th Sep, 17:00
Iceland v Estonia
Sat 26th Sep, 17:00
Bulgaria v Luxembourg
Sat 26th Sep, 17:00
Slovakia v Moldova
Sat 26th Sep, 19:45
Albania v Belarus
Sat 26th Sep, 19:45
Macedonia v Switzerland
Sat 26th Sep, 19:45
Czech Rep v Croatia
Sat 26th Sep, 19:45
England v Spain
Sat 26th Sep, 19:45
Lithuania v Azerbaijan
Sun 27th Sep, 14:00
Gibraltar v Andorra
Sun 27th Sep, 17:00
Austria v Kosovo
Sun 27th Sep, 17:00
Serbia v Netherlands
Sun 27th Sep, 17:00
Denmark v Wales
Sun 27th Sep, 17:00
Norway v Portugal
Sun 27th Sep, 19:45
Germany v Greece
Sun 27th Sep, 19:45
Israel v Ireland
Sun 27th Sep, 19:45
Latvia v Cyprus
Mon 28th Sep, 17:00
Armenia v Montenegro
Mon 28th Sep, 17:00
Georgia v Ukraine
Mon 28th Sep, 17:00
N Ireland v Hungary
Mon 28th Sep, 19:45
Sweden v Poland
Mon 28th Sep, 19:45
Romania v Bosnia
Mon 28th Sep, 19:45
Turkey v Italy
Mon 28th Sep, 19:45
Belgium v France
Mon 28th Sep, 19:45
Moldova v Faroes
Tue 29th Sep, 17:00
Finland v Belarus
Tue 29th Sep, 17:00
Luxembourg v Iceland
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Slovakia v Kazakhstan
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
San Marino v Albania
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Bulgaria v Estonia
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Slovenia v Macedonia
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Scotland v Switzerland
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Spain v Croatia
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Czech Rep v England
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Azerbaijan v Liechtenstein
Thu 1st Oct, 17:00
Israel v Kosovo
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Ireland v Austria
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Germany v Serbia
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Greece v Netherlands
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Denmark v Portugal
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Wales v Norway
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Malta v Gibraltar
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Kazakhstan v Moldova
Fri 2nd Oct, 15:00
Cyprus v Armenia
Fri 2nd Oct, 17:00
Latvia v Montenegro
Fri 2nd Oct, 17:00
Faroes v Slovakia
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Ukraine v N Ireland
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Bosnia v Sweden
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Hungary v Georgia
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Poland v Romania
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Belgium v Turkey
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
France v Italy
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Finland v Albania
Sat 3rd Oct, 14:00
Belarus v San Marino
Sat 3rd Oct, 17:00
Iceland v Bulgaria
Sat 3rd Oct, 17:00
Estonia v Luxembourg
Sat 3rd Oct, 17:00
Croatia v England
Sat 3rd Oct, 17:00
Spain v Czech Rep
Sat 3rd Oct, 19:45
Switzerland v Slovenia
Sat 3rd Oct, 19:45
Macedonia v Scotland
Sat 3rd Oct, 19:45
Azerbaijan v Lithuania
Sun 4th Oct, 14:00
Kosovo v Austria
Sun 4th Oct, 17:00
Malta v Andorra
Sun 4th Oct, 17:00
Ireland v Israel
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Netherlands v Serbia
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Portugal v Norway
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Greece v Germany
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Wales v Denmark
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Cyprus v Latvia
Mon 5th Oct, 17:00
Bosnia v Poland
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
Ukraine v Hungary
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
N Ireland v Georgia
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
Romania v Sweden
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
Italy v Turkey
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
France v Belgium
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
Montenegro v Armenia
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
Kazakhstan v Faroes
Tue 6th Oct, 15:00
Croatia v Spain
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
England v Czech Rep
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Scotland v Slovenia
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Switzerland v Macedonia
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Luxembourg v Bulgaria
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Estonia v Iceland
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Moldova v Slovakia
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Belarus v Finland
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Albania v San Marino
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45