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Denmark v Portugal : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 1st Oct, 19:45 BST, Parken Stadium, Copenhagen

the Parken Stadium is the stage on Thursday evening, as Brian Riemer's Denmark are visited by Jorge Fernando Pinheiro de Jesus's Portugal in the UEFA Nations League. Our predictions are based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen major markets. The data and the odds change with each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included across the board.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals
In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Denmark are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 0.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Denmark
38%
0.00-
Draw
27%
0.00-
Portugal
35%
0.00-
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Denmark 1-0
11%
--
Portugal 1-0
10%
--
Draw 0-0
9%
--
Denmark 2-1
8%
--
Portugal 2-1
8%
--
Denmark 2-0
7%
--
Portugal 2-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Denmark 3-1
3%
--
Portugal 3-1
3%
--
Denmark 3-0
3%
--
Portugal 3-0
2%
--
Denmark 3-2
2%
--
Portugal 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
--
Home 1st Goal
48%
--
Away 1st Goal
47%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
50%
--
BTTS - No
50%
--
BTTS - Home Win
16%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
15%
--
Home/draw
65%
--
Away/draw
62%
--
Home/away
73%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
--
Home DNB
57%
--
Away DNB
54%
--
Denmark win to nil
21%
--
Portugal win to nil
20%
--
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Win / draw / win form
Denmark 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Denmark4 - 0Macedonia
Denmark2 - 2Belarus
Denmark3 - 1Greece
Denmark0 - 0Scotland
Denmark5 - 0Lithuania
Denmark2 - 1N Ireland
Denmark1 - 0Portugal
Denmark1 - 2Spain
Denmark2 - 0Serbia
Denmark2 - 0Switzerland
Denmark0 - 0Serbia
Denmark1 - 1England
Denmark3 - 1Norway
Denmark2 - 1Sweden
Denmark2 - 0Faroes
Denmark0 - 0Switzerland
Denmark2 - 1Slovenia
Denmark3 - 1Kazakhstan
Denmark4 - 0San Marino
Denmark1 - 0N Ireland
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ADenmark2 - 3Norway
ADenmark0 - 0Congo DR
ADenmark1 - 1Czech Rep
HDenmark4 - 0Macedonia
ADenmark2 - 4Scotland
HDenmark2 - 2Belarus
HDenmark3 - 1Greece
ADenmark6 - 0Belarus
ADenmark3 - 0Greece
HDenmark0 - 0Scotland
HDenmark5 - 0Lithuania
HDenmark2 - 1N Ireland
ADenmark2 - 3Portugal
HDenmark1 - 0Portugal
ADenmark0 - 0Serbia
HDenmark1 - 2Spain
ADenmark2 - 2Switzerland
ADenmark0 - 1Spain
HDenmark2 - 0Serbia
HDenmark2 - 0Switzerland
Portugal 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Colombia0 - 0Portugal
USA0 - 2Portugal
Mexico0 - 0Portugal
Ireland2 - 0Portugal
Hungary2 - 3Portugal
Armenia0 - 5Portugal
Germany1 - 2Portugal
Denmark1 - 0Portugal
Croatia1 - 1Portugal
Scotland0 - 0Portugal
Poland1 - 3Portugal
Georgia2 - 0Portugal
Turkey0 - 3Portugal
Slovenia2 - 0Portugal
Liechtenstein0 - 2Portugal
Bosnia0 - 5Portugal
Slovakia0 - 1Portugal
Iceland0 - 1Portugal
Luxembourg0 - 6Portugal
Morocco1 - 0Portugal
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPortugal1 - 0Wales
HPortugal0 - 1Spain
HPortugal2 - 1Croatia
APortugal0 - 0Colombia
HPortugal5 - 0Uzbekistan
HPortugal1 - 1Congo DR
HPortugal2 - 1Nigeria
HPortugal2 - 1Chile
APortugal2 - 0USA
APortugal0 - 0Mexico
HPortugal9 - 1Armenia
APortugal0 - 2Ireland
HPortugal2 - 2Hungary
HPortugal1 - 0Ireland
APortugal3 - 2Hungary
APortugal5 - 0Armenia
HPortugal2 - 2Spain
APortugal2 - 1Germany
HPortugal3 - 2Denmark
APortugal0 - 1Denmark
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Denmark since 1996
Denmark
Portugal
Goals: Scored
6
6
Games: Scored
4 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
1 / 5
DEN
2
D
1
POR
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Denmark
Denmark1 - 0
0 - 1Portugal
2 - 3Portugal
Denmark2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Portugal since 2010
Portugal
Denmark
Goals: Scored
7
3
Games: Scored
3 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
0 / 3
POR
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Portugal
Portugal3 - 2
Portugal1 - 0
Portugal3 - 1
Goal Statistics

Portugal's defensive record is very strong, J. Pinheiro de Jesus's men having conceded 1 or less in 11 consecutive UEFA Nations League outings. An average PG rating of 1.3 for Denmark makes sense in this context.

Denmark 3rd Portugal 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Denmark will score no more than 1 goal
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Portugal will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-15
Denmark have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted
-26
Portugal have scored 26% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
0.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Denmark
PG (predicted goals)
Portugal
1.3
1.2
Attack rating
1%
better
DEN
POR
view stats
Games scored16
15
Failed to score4
5
Scored first9
10
Goals scored40
42
Avg. goals scored2
2.1
Avg. shots per game11
13
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for18
16
Avg. XG for1.7
2.4
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
2%
better
DEN
POR
view stats
Games conceded10
13
Clean sheets10
7
Conceded first8
8
Goals conceded20
18
Avg. goals conceded1
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
10
Conversion rate against12%
10%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.3
KickOff rating
+2%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Denmark v Portugal will show here when available.

Denmark UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
85141312
P HöjbjergR HöjlundP HöjbjergJ Andersen
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Höjbjerg MID951113
11
-
J Maehle DEF59117
5
-
J Andersen DEF5123
12
-
M Damsgaard MID41913
1
-
R Höjlund FWD35142
3
-
R Kristensen DEF342
5
-
M Hjulmand MID2811
6
-
V Nelsson DEF18
3
-
G Isaksen FWD1661
2
-
P. Chinazaekpere Dorgu FWD1433
1
-
V. Froholdt MID1213
1
-
A Grönbaek MID101
1
-
M Daramy FWD1012
1
-
L Hogsberg DEF51
-
K Högh FWD41
-
F Jörgensen GLK3
-
O Provstgaard DEF3
-
M Hermansen GLK2
-
A Gaaei DEF1
-
T Jørgensen MID1
-
M Bidstrup MID1
-
A Daghim FWD1
-
Portugal UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1501152824
C RonaldoC RonaldoB SilvaC Ronaldo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Ronaldo FWD15811520
23
1
B Silva MID1131428
9
-
B Fernandes MID952926
11
-
R Dias DEF8131
11
-
J Cancelo DEF74129
12
-
R Neves MID6916
7
-
J Félix FWD58135
6
-
N Mendes  DEF5028
4
-
D Costa GLK49
-
R Leão FWD4968
3
1
Vitinha MID444
2
-
D Dalot DEF3834
3
-
J Palhinha MID3821
8
-
P Neto FWD3135
4
-
J Neves MID284
2
-
G Ramos FWD28114
-
G Inácio DEF2222
1
-
F Conceição FWD2143
2
-
R Veiga DEF191
3
-
F Trincão FWD1931
-
T Araújo DEF6
1
-
N Tavares DEF4
1
-
R Silva GLK3
-
F Silva FWD1
1
-
International UEFA Nations League match betting previews, predictions and odds
Slovenia v Scotland
Sat 26th Sep, 14:00
San Marino v Finland
Sat 26th Sep, 17:00
Faroes v Kazakhstan
Sat 26th Sep, 17:00
Iceland v Estonia
Sat 26th Sep, 17:00
Bulgaria v Luxembourg
Sat 26th Sep, 17:00
Slovakia v Moldova
Sat 26th Sep, 19:45
Albania v Belarus
Sat 26th Sep, 19:45
Macedonia v Switzerland
Sat 26th Sep, 19:45
Czech Rep v Croatia
Sat 26th Sep, 19:45
England v Spain
Sat 26th Sep, 19:45
Lithuania v Azerbaijan
Sun 27th Sep, 14:00
Gibraltar v Andorra
Sun 27th Sep, 17:00
Austria v Kosovo
Sun 27th Sep, 17:00
Serbia v Netherlands
Sun 27th Sep, 17:00
Denmark v Wales
Sun 27th Sep, 17:00
Norway v Portugal
Sun 27th Sep, 19:45
Germany v Greece
Sun 27th Sep, 19:45
Israel v Ireland
Sun 27th Sep, 19:45
Latvia v Cyprus
Mon 28th Sep, 17:00
Armenia v Montenegro
Mon 28th Sep, 17:00
Georgia v Ukraine
Mon 28th Sep, 17:00
N Ireland v Hungary
Mon 28th Sep, 19:45
Sweden v Poland
Mon 28th Sep, 19:45
Romania v Bosnia
Mon 28th Sep, 19:45
Turkey v Italy
Mon 28th Sep, 19:45
Belgium v France
Mon 28th Sep, 19:45
Moldova v Faroes
Tue 29th Sep, 17:00
Finland v Belarus
Tue 29th Sep, 17:00
Luxembourg v Iceland
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Slovakia v Kazakhstan
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
San Marino v Albania
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Bulgaria v Estonia
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Slovenia v Macedonia
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Scotland v Switzerland
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Spain v Croatia
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Czech Rep v England
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Azerbaijan v Liechtenstein
Thu 1st Oct, 17:00
Israel v Kosovo
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Ireland v Austria
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Germany v Serbia
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Greece v Netherlands
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Denmark v Portugal
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Wales v Norway
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Malta v Gibraltar
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Kazakhstan v Moldova
Fri 2nd Oct, 15:00
Cyprus v Armenia
Fri 2nd Oct, 17:00
Latvia v Montenegro
Fri 2nd Oct, 17:00
Faroes v Slovakia
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Ukraine v N Ireland
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Bosnia v Sweden
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Hungary v Georgia
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Poland v Romania
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Belgium v Turkey
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
France v Italy
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Finland v Albania
Sat 3rd Oct, 14:00
Belarus v San Marino
Sat 3rd Oct, 17:00
Iceland v Bulgaria
Sat 3rd Oct, 17:00
Estonia v Luxembourg
Sat 3rd Oct, 17:00
Croatia v England
Sat 3rd Oct, 17:00
Spain v Czech Rep
Sat 3rd Oct, 19:45
Switzerland v Slovenia
Sat 3rd Oct, 19:45
Macedonia v Scotland
Sat 3rd Oct, 19:45
Azerbaijan v Lithuania
Sun 4th Oct, 14:00
Kosovo v Austria
Sun 4th Oct, 17:00
Malta v Andorra
Sun 4th Oct, 17:00
Ireland v Israel
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Netherlands v Serbia
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Portugal v Norway
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Greece v Germany
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Wales v Denmark
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Cyprus v Latvia
Mon 5th Oct, 17:00
Bosnia v Poland
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
Ukraine v Hungary
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
N Ireland v Georgia
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
Romania v Sweden
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
Italy v Turkey
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
France v Belgium
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
Montenegro v Armenia
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
Kazakhstan v Faroes
Tue 6th Oct, 15:00
Croatia v Spain
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
England v Czech Rep
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Scotland v Slovenia
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Switzerland v Macedonia
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Luxembourg v Bulgaria
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Estonia v Iceland
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Moldova v Slovakia
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Belarus v Finland
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Albania v San Marino
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45