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Slovakia v Moldova : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 26th Sep, 19:45 BST, Štadión Tatran, Presov

We’ve UEFA Nations League action to look forward to on Saturday evening, as Vladimir Weiss and his Slovakia side host Lilian Popescu’s Moldova at the Štadión Tatran. Statistics drive the algorithmic predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and flipping between them will display bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and much more besides. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Hit the tabs below to see it all.

Best Tip: Slovakia to win

As the stadium fills and the Slovakia players prepare themselves for this clash, the bookies are predicting a win for them. The odds and our pre-match statistics below point in that direction too, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) record we factor into our predictive algorithms. The Štadión Tatran has not been a happy hunting ground for for Moldova in the past, and we we'd back more of the same on Saturday evening. A win / draw / win home win is the bet.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Slovakia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 83% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Slovakia 83%	1/6 8%	-
Draw 12%	6/1 33%	-
Moldova 5%	14/1 25%	-
Slovakia 2-0 15%	9/2	-
Slovakia 3-0 13%	11/2 7%	-
Slovakia 1-0 11%	13/2 15%	-
Slovakia 4-0 9%	8/1 25%	-
Slovakia 2-1 7%	10/1 10%	-
Slovakia 3-1 7%	11/1 8%	-
Draw 1-1 6%	12/1 30%	-
Slovakia 5-0 5%	14/1 29%	-
Slovakia 4-1 5%	18/1 10%	-
Draw 0-0 4%	14/1 36%	-
Slovakia 5-1 2%	28/1 29%	-
Slovakia 6-0 2%	28/1 29%	-
Moldova 1-0 2%	33/1 48%	-
Draw 2-2 2%	33/1 31%	-
Slovakia 3-2 2%	40/1 21%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 62%	4/7 10%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 38%	27/20 15%	-
Home 1st Goal 68%	2/9 5%	-
Away 1st Goal 29%	7/2 13%	-
No 1st Goal 3%	14/1 36%	-
BTTS - Yes 37%	6/4 5%	-
BTTS - No 63%	1/2 2%	-
BTTS - Home Win 27%	12/5 6%	-
BTTS - Draw 8%	17/2 27%	-
BTTS - Away Win 2%	28/1 26%	-
Home/draw 95%	1/200 1%	-
Away/draw 17%	7/2 20%	-
Home/away 88%	1/12 5%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 83%	1/6 4%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 17%	7/2 13%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 40%	11/8 13%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 60%	8/15 9%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 22%	3/1 20%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 78%	2/9 7%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 10%	6/1 18%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 89%	1/12 3%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/40 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	19/2 5%	-
Home DNB 92%	1/25 2%	-
Away DNB 13%	8/1 13%	-
Slovakia win to nil 56%	4/6 7%	-
Moldova win to nil 3%	22/1 21%	-
Slovakia / Slovakia 52%	4/7 13%	-
Slovakia / Moldova 1%	66/1	-
Slovakia / Draw 3%	25/1 13%	-
Draw / Slovakia 22%	11/4	-
Draw / Moldova 3%	25/1 24%	-
Draw / Draw 9%	17/2 27%	-
Moldova / Slovakia 4%	22/1	-
Moldova / Moldova 3%	25/1 37%	-
Moldova / Draw 3%	28/1 26%	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

9 / 20

Clean sheets

11 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Slovakia	2 - 2	Montenegro
Slovakia	2 - 1	Malta
Slovakia	2 - 0	Romania
Slovakia	3 - 4	Kosovo
Slovakia	1 - 0	N Ireland
Slovakia	2 - 0	Luxembourg
Slovakia	2 - 0	Germany
Slovakia	0 - 0	Slovenia
Slovakia	1 - 0	Estonia
Slovakia	2 - 2	Sweden
Slovakia	2 - 0	Azerbaijan
Slovakia	1 - 1	Romania
Slovakia	1 - 2	Ukraine
Slovakia	4 - 0	Wales
Slovakia	4 - 0	San Marino
Slovakia	0 - 2	Austria
Slovakia	4 - 2	Iceland
Slovakia	3 - 0	Liechtenstein
Slovakia	0 - 1	Portugal
Slovakia	2 - 0	Bosnia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Slovakia	2 - 2	Montenegro
H	Slovakia	2 - 1	Malta
H	Slovakia	2 - 0	Romania
H	Slovakia	3 - 4	Kosovo
A	Slovakia	0 - 6	Germany
H	Slovakia	1 - 0	N Ireland
H	Slovakia	2 - 0	Luxembourg
A	Slovakia	0 - 2	N Ireland
A	Slovakia	1 - 0	Luxembourg
H	Slovakia	2 - 0	Germany
A	Slovakia	0 - 1	Israel
A	Slovakia	1 - 4	Greece
A	Slovakia	0 - 0	Slovenia
H	Slovakia	0 - 0	Slovenia
H	Slovakia	1 - 0	Estonia
A	Slovakia	1 - 2	Sweden
A	Slovakia	3 - 1	Azerbaijan
H	Slovakia	2 - 2	Sweden
H	Slovakia	2 - 0	Azerbaijan
A	Slovakia	1 - 0	Estonia

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Armenia	1 - 1	Moldova
Cyprus	3 - 2	Moldova
Israel	4 - 1	Moldova
Estonia	1 - 1	Moldova
Romania	2 - 1	Moldova
Norway	11 - 1	Moldova
Italy	2 - 0	Moldova
Poland	2 - 0	Moldova
Gibraltar	1 - 1	Moldova
Andorra	0 - 1	Moldova
Malta	1 - 0	Moldova
Cayman Isl	0 - 4	Moldova
Macedonia	1 - 1	Moldova
Czech Rep	3 - 0	Moldova
Poland	1 - 1	Moldova
Sweden	3 - 1	Moldova
Faroes	0 - 1	Moldova
Austria	1 - 1	Moldova
Albania	2 - 0	Moldova
Latvia	1 - 2	Moldova

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Moldova	1 - 1	Armenia
H	Moldova	2 - 2	Bulgaria
A	Moldova	2 - 3	Cyprus
H	Moldova	0 - 2	Lithuania
A	Moldova	1 - 4	Israel
H	Moldova	0 - 2	Italy
A	Moldova	1 - 1	Estonia
A	Moldova	1 - 2	Romania
A	Moldova	1 - 11	Norway
H	Moldova	0 - 4	Israel
A	Moldova	0 - 2	Italy
A	Moldova	0 - 2	Poland
H	Moldova	2 - 3	Estonia
H	Moldova	0 - 5	Norway
A	Moldova	1 - 1	Gibraltar
A	Moldova	1 - 0	Andorra
A	Moldova	0 - 1	Malta
H	Moldova	2 - 0	Andorra
H	Moldova	1 - 0	San Marino
H	Moldova	2 - 0	Malta

Goal Statistics

Slovakia's forwards have been in fine form of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 4 consecutive UEFA Nations League games. A PG of 2.7 suggests that run should continue on Saturday evening.

	Slovakia 4th	Moldova 3rd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.7 goals	0.5 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	1 18% 2 25% 3 22% 4 15% 5+ 20% There is a 82% probability that Slovakia will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 60% 1 31% 2 3 4+ There is a 60% probability that Moldova will fail to score

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+1 Slovakia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-26 Moldova have scored 26% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.9 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	2.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

25%

better

SVK

MDA

view stats

Games scored	15		13
Failed to score	5		7
Scored first	13		5
Goals scored	26		18
Avg. goals scored	1.3		0.9
Avg. shots per game	10		7
Avg. shots per goal	7		8
Conversion rate for	13		13
Avg. XG for	1.4		0.8
KickOff rating		+25%

43%

better

SVK

MDA

view stats

Games conceded	10		16
Clean sheets	10		4
Conceded first	6		15
Goals conceded	25		46
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		2.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		5
Conversion rate against	13%		21%
Avg. XG against	1.1		2.5
KickOff rating		+43%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Slovakia v Moldova will show here when available.

Slovakia UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
87	15	11	22
P Pekarik	O Duda	O Duda	O Duda

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
P Pekarik DEF	90	1	4	12 -
O Duda MID	88	15	11	21 1
M Skriniar DEF	84	3	3	16 -
R Bozenik FWD	55	8	4	7 -
L Haraslin FWD	51	9	6	4 -
M Bero MID	48	1	4	5 -
T Suslov MID	42	4	3	7 -
L Satka DEF	40	1		4 -
L Bénes MID	40	2	5	2 -
D Strelec FWD	38	10	5	-
D Vavro DEF	29	1	1	8 -
A Obert DEF	19	1		1 -
M Valjent DEF	16	1		1 -
A Kaprálik FWD	2		1	-
D Takac GLK	1			-
P. Kováčik DEF	1			-
H. Pávek DEF	1			-
K Bari DEF	1			-
M Sauer MID	1			-
P Pokorný MID	1			-
A Gajdos MID	1			-
R. Galčík FWD	1	1		-
M Fasko FWD	1			-
J Surovcik GLK				-
Ľubomír Belko GLK				-
D Krcik DEF				-
R Cerepkai FWD				-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
15	25	11	17
O Duda	L Haraslin	O Duda	O Duda

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
O Duda MID	15	22	11	17
D Strelec FWD	10	13	5	8
L Haraslin FWD	9	25	6	17
R Bozenik FWD	8	23	4	8
T Suslov MID	4	11	3	5
M Skriniar DEF	3	6	3	4
L Bénes MID	2	7	5	8
P Pekarik DEF	1	7	4	4
M Bero MID	1	9	4	1
L Satka DEF	1	1
D Vavro DEF	1	5	1	3
A Obert DEF	1	3		1
M Valjent DEF	1	1
R. Galčík FWD	1
A Kaprálik FWD			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
4338	75	236
M Skriniar	M Skriniar	O Duda

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Skriniar DEF	4338	75	222
O Duda MID	1980	60	236
P Pekarik DEF	1888	57	140
L Satka DEF	1758	25	78
D Vavro DEF	1496	21	82
A Obert DEF	793	20	48
L Haraslin FWD	691	37	185
M Valjent DEF	578	9	34
M Bero MID	566	37	91
L Bénes MID	519	12	41
T Suslov MID	488	35	129
R Bozenik FWD	386	14	96
D Strelec FWD	303	4	55

Moldova UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
58	4	3	18
V Rata	V Stina	V Rata	V Rata

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
V Rata MID	62	3	3	18 -
V Postolachi FWD	35	1	1	2 -
I Revenco DEF	27	1	3	6 -
V Stina MID	27	4	2	3 1
V Babohlo DEF	26	3		8 -
V Bogaciuc MID	17	4		1 -
A Boiciuc FWD	13			-
D Celeadnic GLK	11			-
S Bodisteanu FWD	11	1		1 -
S. Perciun MID	9			1
N Clescenco FWD	7			-
A. Kozhukhar GLK	6			-
I Borș DEF	5			-
M. Gherasimencov DEF	5			-
D Forov MID	5		1	-
M Stefan DEF	4			1 -
E Tîmbur GLK	3			-
T Lungu MID	3		1	3 -
D Puscas FWD	3			1 -
P. Popescu FWD	2	1		1 -
?. Bîtca FWD	2			-
C. Cucoș DEF	1			-
L. Saca DEF				-
O. David MID				-
V. Ciumașu FWD				1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	7	3	3
V Stina	V Rata	V Rata	V Babohlo

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
V Stina MID	4	4	2
V Bogaciuc MID	4
V Rata MID	3	7	3	1
V Babohlo DEF	3	3		3
V Postolachi FWD	1	3	1	2
I Revenco DEF	1	2	3	2
S Bodisteanu FWD	1	2		1
P. Popescu FWD	1
A Boiciuc FWD		1
S. Perciun MID		1
D Forov MID		1	1	1
T Lungu MID			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1457	90	203
V Rata	V Rata	V Rata

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
V Rata MID	1457	90	203
V Babohlo DEF	623	30	84
I Revenco DEF	512	36	74
V Postolachi FWD	306	8	112
V Stina MID	147	5	18
D Celeadnic GLK	122
S Bodisteanu FWD	97	5	25
A. Kozhukhar GLK	86		2
V Bogaciuc MID	83	8	18
M. Gherasimencov DEF	82	3	11
S. Perciun MID	80	2	7
D Forov MID	52	5	10
I Borș DEF	36	3	3
E Tîmbur GLK	33	1	1
A Boiciuc FWD	31	2	19
M Stefan DEF	27		4
C. Cucoș DEF	17	1	1
?. Bîtca FWD	14	5	7
N Clescenco FWD	2	1	1