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Wales v Denmark : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff

Brian Riemer leads his Denmark troops to the Cardiff City Stadium in the UEFA Nations League on Sunday evening, with Craig Bellamy's Wales waiting for them. Our predictions for each betting market are calculated using the past 20 games each side has played (home, away and overall) with additional weight assigned to top teams. All the stats and graphics are tailored for the selected market. Head to head (H2H) statistics for this fixture are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided directly from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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The last International UEFA Nations League meeting between Wales and Denmark was on Sunday 4th October 2026
International UEFA Nations League
October 4th 2026
Wales 0
1 Denmark
 
75' R. Højlund
 
WAL
DEN
Shots On
1
4
Shots Off
5
6
Corners
3
3
Possession
56%
44%
Fouls
11
9
Yellow/red cards
3/0
1/0
 
WalesDenmark
 
N. Williams
B. Davies (K. Moore 83')
B. Cabango
E. Ampadu
L. Cullen (J. Colwill 76')
L. Koumas (M. Harris 56')
B. Johnson (W. Burns 76')
D. Ward
J. Dasilva
J. James (J. Sheehan 56')
S. Thomas
J. Andersen
O. Nielsen
J. Mæhle
V. Froholdt
(M. Kvistgaarden 82') G. Isaksen
(K. Høgh 82') football iconR. Højlund
(A. Gaaei 76') R. Kristensen
M. Hermansen
M. Hjulmand
(A. Olsen 10') P. Højbjerg
M. Daramy

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

KickOff's predictive algorithm suggests there is a 80% probability of Wales and Denmark delivering at least a couple of goals in this UEFA Nations League match. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are included in the calculation , and it seems the bookmakers favour that outcome too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available with best odds of 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Wales are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 0.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Wales
29%
27/10-
Draw
25%
5/2-
Denmark
47%
1/1-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2
13%
-
Denmark 1-0
10%
13/2
25%
-
Denmark 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
-
Denmark 2-0
8%
17/2
5%
-
Wales 1-0
7%
10/1
27%
-
Wales 2-1
7%
12/1-
Draw 0-0
6%
9/1
41%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
15%
-
Denmark 3-1
5%
16/1
31%
-
Wales 2-0
4%
18/1
17%
-
Denmark 3-0
4%
16/1
27%
-
Denmark 3-2
3%
25/1
24%
-
Wales 3-1
3%
28/1-
Wales 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
-
Denmark 4-1
2%
33/1
48%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
9/10
24%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
9/10
21%
-
Home 1st Goal
45%
13/10
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
51%
8/11
7%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
10/1
41%
-
BTTS - Yes
55%
8/11
15%
-
BTTS - No
45%
1/1
15%
-
BTTS - Home Win
14%
6/1
8%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
22%
3/1
35%
-
Home/draw
54%
4/5
9%
-
Away/draw
71%
2/7
6%
-
Home/away
75%
2/7
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1/4
10%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
11/4
30%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
9/4
43%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
1/3
15%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
11/2
62%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/9
8%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/1
67%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/25
4%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20
3%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1
41%
-
Home DNB
46%
13/8
12%
-
Away DNB
64%
4/9
6%
-
Wales win to nil
14%
11/2
28%
-
Denmark win to nil
24%
5/2-
Wales / Wales
15%
5/1
8%
-
Wales / Denmark
4%
22/1
21%
-
Wales / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Wales
11%
7/1
11%
-
Draw / Denmark
15%
4/1-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
15%
-
Denmark / Wales
3%
33/1
17%
-
Denmark / Denmark
25%
11/5
18%
-
Denmark / Draw
6%
12/1-
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
Wales 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Wales2 - 1Norway
Wales1 - 1Ghana
Wales1 - 1N Ireland
Wales1 - 1Bosnia
Wales7 - 1Macedonia
Wales2 - 4Belgium
Wales3 - 0Liechtenstein
Wales3 - 1Kazakhstan
Wales4 - 1Iceland
Wales1 - 0Montenegro
Wales0 - 0Turkey
Wales0 - 0Poland
Wales4 - 1Finland
Wales1 - 1Turkey
Wales2 - 1Croatia
Wales4 - 0Gibraltar
Wales0 - 0South Korea
Wales2 - 4Armenia
Wales1 - 0Latvia
Wales0 - 3England
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HWales2 - 1Norway
AWales0 - 2Denmark
AWales0 - 1Portugal
AWales1 - 2Romania
HWales1 - 1Ghana
HWales1 - 1N Ireland
HWales1 - 1Bosnia
HWales7 - 1Macedonia
AWales1 - 0Liechtenstein
HWales2 - 4Belgium
AWales0 - 3England
AWales1 - 0Kazakhstan
AWales3 - 4Belgium
HWales3 - 0Liechtenstein
AWales1 - 1Macedonia
HWales3 - 1Kazakhstan
HWales4 - 1Iceland
AWales0 - 0Turkey
HWales1 - 0Montenegro
AWales2 - 2Iceland
Denmark 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Norway3 - 2Denmark
Congo DR0 - 0Denmark
Czech Rep1 - 1Denmark
Scotland4 - 2Denmark
Belarus0 - 6Denmark
Greece0 - 3Denmark
Portugal3 - 2Denmark
Serbia0 - 0Denmark
Switzerland2 - 2Denmark
Spain1 - 0Denmark
Germany2 - 0Denmark
Slovenia1 - 1Denmark
N Ireland2 - 0Denmark
San Marino1 - 2Denmark
Finland0 - 1Denmark
Slovenia1 - 1Denmark
Kazakhstan3 - 2Denmark
Australia1 - 0Denmark
France2 - 1Denmark
Croatia2 - 1Denmark
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDenmark2 - 4Portugal
HDenmark2 - 0Wales
ADenmark2 - 3Norway
ADenmark0 - 0Congo DR
ADenmark1 - 1Czech Rep
HDenmark4 - 0Macedonia
ADenmark2 - 4Scotland
HDenmark2 - 2Belarus
HDenmark3 - 1Greece
ADenmark6 - 0Belarus
ADenmark3 - 0Greece
HDenmark0 - 0Scotland
HDenmark5 - 0Lithuania
HDenmark2 - 1N Ireland
ADenmark2 - 3Portugal
HDenmark1 - 0Portugal
ADenmark0 - 0Serbia
HDenmark1 - 2Spain
ADenmark2 - 2Switzerland
ADenmark0 - 1Spain
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Wales of late. It has been 5 UEFA Nations League games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday evening against Denmark.

Denmark's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday evening, not least because Wales have conceded in each of their last 7 UEFA Nations League outings. A PG of 1.6 for B. Riemer's side suggests that run should continue.

Wales 3rd Denmark 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Wales will score no more than 1 goal
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 79% probability that Denmark will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+41
Wales have scored 41% more goals at home than predicted
-15
Denmark have scored 15% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Wales
PG (predicted goals)
Denmark
1.2
1.6
Attack rating
WAL
DEN
4%
better
view stats
Games scored16
16
Failed to score4
4
Scored first9
8
Goals scored34
40
Avg. goals scored1.7
2
Avg. shots per game10
12
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
17
Avg. XG for1.6
1.7
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
WAL
DEN
14%
better
view stats
Games conceded15
11
Clean sheets5
9
Conceded first10
9
Goals conceded26
24
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
14%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.3
KickOff rating
+14%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Wales v Denmark will show here when available.

Wales UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4112
D WardN WilliamsS ThomasB Cabango
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Ward GLK4
-
N Williams DEF41
-
B Cabango DEF3
2
-
B Davies DEF4
-
J Dasilva DEF3
-
J James MID4
1
-
E Ampadu MID4
1
-
B Johnson MID4
1
-
L Cullen MID2
1
-
S Thomas MID41
2
-
L. Koumas FWD4
-
Subs
D Cornell GLK
-
T King GLK
-
C Mepham DEF2
1
-
C Roberts DEF1
-
J. Lienou DEF
-
J Sheehan MID4
-
J Colwill MID2
-
K Moore FWD3
-
M Harris FWD2
-
D James FWD31
-
C. Ashford FWD
-
W Burns FWD2
-
Denmark UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4311
R KristensenR HöjlundJ MaehleM Hermansen
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Hermansen GLK2
1
-
R Kristensen DEF4
1
-
J Andersen DEF4
-
O Provstgaard DEF4
-
J Maehle DEF41
1
-
V. Froholdt MID4
-
M Hjulmand MID4
-
P Höjbjerg MID4
-
G Isaksen FWD41
1
-
R Höjlund FWD43
-
M Daramy FWD3
1
-
Subs
A Jungdal GLK
-
F Jörgensen GLK2
-
V Nelsson DEF
-
A Gaaei DEF1
-
L Hogsberg DEF
-
T Jørgensen MID1
-
M Bidstrup MID1
-
A Olsen FWD1
-
M Kvistgaarden FWD1
-
A Daghim FWD2
-
K Högh FWD4
-
International UEFA Nations League match betting previews, predictions and odds