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Luxembourg v Iceland : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 29th Sep, 19:45 BST, Stade de Luxembourg, Luxembourg

Iceland pay UEFA Nations League competitors Luxembourg a visit on Tuesday evening, as Arnar Bergmann Gunnlaugsson leads his side into an away clash with Jeff Strasser & co. at the Stade de Luxembourg. In this preview you'll find odds for 17 different betting markets, alongside supporting data that updates as you explore. Our predictions are based on the last 20 matches, so all statistics are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home, away and overall records can be found, while there's also head to head (H2H) history later on in the preview.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Luxembourg 36%	-	-
Draw 24%	-	-
Iceland 40%	-	-
Draw 1-1 11%	-	-
Iceland 2-1 9%	-	-
Luxembourg 2-1 8%	-	-
Iceland 1-0 8%	-	-
Luxembourg 1-0 7%	-	-
Draw 2-2 6%	-	-
Iceland 2-0 6%	-	-
Luxembourg 2-0 5%	-	-
Draw 0-0 5%	-	-
Iceland 3-1 4%	-	-
Luxembourg 3-1 4%	-	-
Iceland 3-2 3%	-	-
Iceland 3-0 3%	-	-
Luxembourg 3-2 3%	-	-
Luxembourg 3-0 3%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 58%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 42%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 48%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 49%	-	-
No 1st Goal 3%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 60%	-	-
BTTS - No 40%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 19%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 22%	-	-
Home/draw 60%	-	-
Away/draw 64%	-	-
Home/away 76%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 80%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 20%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 35%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 65%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 18%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 82%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 8%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 92%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	-	-
Home DNB 53%	-	-
Away DNB 57%	-	-
Luxembourg win to nil 16%	-	-
Iceland win to nil 18%	-	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

9 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

11 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Luxembourg	0 - 1	Italy
Luxembourg	3 - 0	Malta
Luxembourg	0 - 2	Germany
Luxembourg	0 - 1	Slovakia
Luxembourg	1 - 3	N Ireland
Luxembourg	0 - 0	Ireland
Luxembourg	0 - 1	Slovenia
Luxembourg	1 - 0	Sweden
Luxembourg	2 - 2	N Ireland
Luxembourg	0 - 1	Bulgaria
Luxembourg	0 - 1	Belarus
Luxembourg	2 - 1	Kazakhstan
Luxembourg	4 - 1	Bosnia
Luxembourg	0 - 1	Slovakia
Luxembourg	3 - 1	Iceland
Luxembourg	2 - 0	Liechtenstein
Luxembourg	0 - 1	Malta
Luxembourg	0 - 6	Portugal
Luxembourg	0 - 0	Bulgaria
Luxembourg	2 - 2	Hungary

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

8 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

12 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Luxembourg	1 - 0	Albania
H	Luxembourg	0 - 1	Italy
H	Luxembourg	3 - 0	Malta
A	Luxembourg	2 - 0	Malta
A	Luxembourg	0 - 1	N Ireland
H	Luxembourg	0 - 2	Germany
A	Luxembourg	0 - 2	Slovakia
A	Luxembourg	0 - 4	Germany
H	Luxembourg	0 - 1	Slovakia
H	Luxembourg	1 - 3	N Ireland
H	Luxembourg	0 - 0	Ireland
H	Luxembourg	0 - 1	Slovenia
A	Luxembourg	1 - 3	Switzerland
H	Luxembourg	1 - 0	Sweden
H	Luxembourg	2 - 2	N Ireland
H	Luxembourg	0 - 1	Bulgaria
A	Luxembourg	1 - 1	Belarus
A	Luxembourg	0 - 0	Bulgaria
H	Luxembourg	0 - 1	Belarus
A	Luxembourg	0 - 2	N Ireland

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Argentina	3 - 0	Iceland
Japan	1 - 0	Iceland
Haiti	1 - 1	Iceland
Canada	2 - 2	Iceland
Mexico	4 - 0	Iceland
Ukraine	2 - 0	Iceland
Azerbaijan	0 - 2	Iceland
France	2 - 1	Iceland
N Ireland	1 - 0	Iceland
Scotland	1 - 3	Iceland
Kosovo	2 - 1	Iceland
Wales	4 - 1	Iceland
Montenegro	0 - 2	Iceland
Turkey	3 - 1	Iceland
Netherlands	4 - 0	Iceland
England	0 - 1	Iceland
Ukraine	2 - 1	Iceland
Israel	1 - 4	Iceland
Honduras	0 - 2	Iceland
Guatemala	0 - 1	Iceland

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Iceland	0 - 3	Argentina
A	Iceland	0 - 1	Japan
A	Iceland	1 - 1	Haiti
A	Iceland	2 - 2	Canada
A	Iceland	0 - 4	Mexico
A	Iceland	0 - 2	Ukraine
A	Iceland	2 - 0	Azerbaijan
H	Iceland	2 - 2	France
H	Iceland	3 - 5	Ukraine
A	Iceland	1 - 2	France
H	Iceland	5 - 0	Azerbaijan
A	Iceland	0 - 1	N Ireland
A	Iceland	3 - 1	Scotland
H	Iceland	1 - 3	Kosovo
A	Iceland	1 - 2	Kosovo
A	Iceland	1 - 4	Wales
A	Iceland	2 - 0	Montenegro
H	Iceland	2 - 4	Turkey
H	Iceland	2 - 2	Wales
A	Iceland	1 - 3	Turkey

Goal Statistics

Luxembourg's fans will be hoping for goals on Tuesday evening, not least because Iceland have conceded in each of their last 14 UEFA Nations League outings. A PG of 1.5 for J. Strasser's side suggests that run should continue.

	Luxembourg 4th	Iceland 3rd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	1.6 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 23% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 77% probability that Luxembourg will score 1 or more goals	0 21% 1 33% 2 26% 3 13% 4+ 7% There is a 79% probability that Iceland will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+5 Luxembourg’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	=0 Iceland’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.0 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	1.7 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

LUX

ISL

62%

better

view stats

Games scored	6		15
Failed to score	12		5
Scored first	2		11
Goals scored	7		29
Avg. goals scored	0.4		1.5
Avg. shots per game	6		7
Avg. shots per goal	18		5
Conversion rate for	6		20
Avg. XG for	0.7		1.1
KickOff rating		+62%

15%

better

LUX

ISL

view stats

Games conceded	14		17
Clean sheets	4		3
Conceded first	14		9
Goals conceded	25		42
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		2.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		12
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		6
Conversion rate against	14%		17%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1.6
KickOff rating		+15%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Luxembourg v Iceland will show here when available.

Luxembourg UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
104	16	11	19
L Jans	D Sinani	D Sinani	L Barreiro

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Jans DEF	108	1	2	18 -
D Sinani MID	80	16	11	14 1
A Moris GLK	79		1	3 -
L Barreiro MID	71	2	5	19 -
D Carlson DEF	67		2	15 1
F Bohnert DEF	59	1	4	12 -
V Thill MID	55	5	6	12 -
V Thill MID	50	3	2	5 1
S Thill MID	45	2		-
M Martins DEF	41	3	1	7 -
E Mahmutovic DEF	39			9 -
M Olesen MID	39	2	1	6 -
J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz MID	15	1		2 -
V Selimovic DEF	13	1		7 2
E Dzogovic DEF	13			2 -
T Rupil MID	12			1 -
A. Dardari FWD	12	1		-
E Veiga DEF	10			1 -
T Cardoso GLK	7			-
E. de Pina Duarte dos Santos MID	4			1 -
J Pereira FWD	3			-
F. Miguel MID	1			-
H. Kadamani FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
16	36	11	14
D Sinani	D Sinani	D Sinani	D Sinani

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Sinani MID	16	36	11	14
V Thill MID	5	19	6	4
V Thill MID	3	14	2	3
M Martins DEF	3	3	1	2
L Barreiro MID	2	11	5	8
S Thill MID	2	1		3
M Olesen MID	2	7	1	3
L Jans DEF	1	5	2	4
F Bohnert DEF	1	1	4	4
J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz MID	1	4		1
V Selimovic DEF	1
A. Dardari FWD	1	5		1
A Moris GLK			1	1
D Carlson DEF		1	2	1
T Rupil MID				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2250	106	304
D Carlson	L Barreiro	L Barreiro

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
D Carlson DEF	2250	76	228
A Moris GLK	2037	2	30
L Jans DEF	1910	71	188
L Barreiro MID	1895	106	304
D Sinani MID	1835	48	180
E Mahmutovic DEF	904	34	76
V Thill MID	889	52	150
V Thill MID	809	38	90
M Olesen MID	693	17	59
M Martins DEF	639	15	57
F Bohnert DEF	604	37	97
S Thill MID	460	14	33
V Selimovic DEF	318	7	23
J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz MID	227	2	11
A. Dardari FWD	143	8	34
E Dzogovic DEF	140	14	29
T Cardoso GLK	121		3
T Rupil MID	38	3	7
E Veiga DEF	29	1	4
J Pereira FWD	13		1
F. Miguel MID	5		1
E. de Pina Duarte dos Santos MID	4		1
H. Kadamani FWD	4	2	4

Iceland UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
73	28	13	13
A Gunnarsson	D Joksimovic	D Joksimovic	A Gunnarsson

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Gunnarsson MID	82	5	4	12 1
D Joksimovic MID	75	28	13	9 -
S Ingason DEF	65	4		12 -
J Thorsteinsson FWD	54	6	8	9 -
V Pálsson DEF	53	5	1	6 -
H Magnússon DEF	52	2	2	6 -
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson MID	44	6	5	10 -
M Anderson FWD	38	2	3	4 -
S Thórdarson MID	36	1	1	6 -
A Sigurdsson FWD	36	2	1	2 -
H Hermannsson DEF	33			1 -
M Ellertsson MID	31	2	2	3 -
H Haraldsson MID	30	3	4	6 -
H Valdimarsson GLK	23			1 -
O Óskarsson FWD	18	9	1	2 -
L Tómasson DEF	16	1	1	5 -
E Ólafsson GLK	15			1 -
A Baldursson MID	13			1 -
K Hlynsson MID	13	1		1 -
D Þórhallsson DEF	10			-
B Willumsson FWD	10	1		1 -
K Ingason MID	9			-
A Einarsson GLK	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
28	26	13	14
D Joksimovic	D Joksimovic	D Joksimovic	J Thorsteinsson

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Joksimovic MID	28	26	13	4
O Óskarsson FWD	9	18	1	4
J Thorsteinsson FWD	6	20	8	14
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson MID	6	12	5	7
A Gunnarsson MID	5	6	4
V Pálsson DEF	5	15	1	1
S Ingason DEF	4	5		1
H Haraldsson MID	3	9	4	7
H Magnússon DEF	2	3	2	1
M Anderson FWD	2	4	3	3
A Sigurdsson FWD	2	11	1	3
M Ellertsson MID	2	5	2	3
S Thórdarson MID	1	2	1	1
L Tómasson DEF	1	3	1	1
K Hlynsson MID	1	2
B Willumsson FWD	1	2
H Hermannsson DEF		1
D Þórhallsson DEF		3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1943	68	243
S Ingason	S Ingason	V Pálsson

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Ingason DEF	1943	68	187
V Pálsson DEF	1786	62	243
H Magnússon DEF	1154	40	115
H Haraldsson MID	1132	41	108
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson MID	1030	42	71
A Gunnarsson MID	804	29	86
S Thórdarson MID	712	22	57
D Joksimovic MID	697	31	116
H Hermannsson DEF	657	29	45
J Thorsteinsson FWD	638	37	129
H Valdimarsson GLK	552	1	8
E Ólafsson GLK	429	1	6
A Sigurdsson FWD	391	14	76
M Ellertsson MID	329	20	64
L Tómasson DEF	283	15	39
O Óskarsson FWD	267	2	44
M Anderson FWD	258	35	75
K Hlynsson MID	150	6	16
A Baldursson MID	143	5	16
D Þórhallsson DEF	93	4	11
B Willumsson FWD	81	2	25
A Einarsson GLK	47
K Ingason MID	13	1	3