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Estonia v Iceland : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 6th Oct, 19:45 BST, A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn

The UEFA Nations League is the focus for both Estonia and Iceland on Tuesday evening, as bosses Jürgen Henn and Arnar Bergmann Gunnlaugsson battle it out at the A. Le Coq Arena. Ahead of the game, it's our goal to help you find the perfect bet for you. To this end, statistics for the biggest betting market have been laid out below, with head to head (H2H) records and particularly important form streaks highlighted. The best odds are included as well.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Estonia 30%	-	-
Draw 23%	-	-
Iceland 47%	-	-
Draw 1-1 10%	-	-
Iceland 2-1 9%	-	-
Estonia 2-1 7%	-	-
Iceland 1-0 7%	-	-
Draw 2-2 7%	-	-
Iceland 2-0 6%	-	-
Iceland 3-1 6%	-	-
Estonia 1-0 6%	-	-
Iceland 3-2 4%	-	-
Estonia 2-0 4%	-	-
Iceland 3-0 4%	-	-
Draw 0-0 4%	-	-
Estonia 3-1 3%	-	-
Estonia 3-2 3%	-	-
Iceland 4-1 3%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 63%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 37%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 47%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 52%	-	-
No 1st Goal 2%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 64%	-	-
BTTS - No 36%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 18%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 27%	-	-
Home/draw 53%	-	-
Away/draw 70%	-	-
Home/away 77%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 84%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 16%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 41%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 59%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 23%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 77%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 11%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 89%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	-	-
Home DNB 46%	-	-
Away DNB 63%	-	-
Estonia win to nil 12%	-	-
Iceland win to nil 20%	-	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

9 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

11 / 20

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estonia	1 - 1	Moldova
Estonia	1 - 3	Italy
Estonia	0 - 0	Andorra
Estonia	0 - 1	Norway
Estonia	1 - 3	Israel
Estonia	0 - 3	Sweden
Estonia	3 - 1	Azerbaijan
Estonia	0 - 1	Slovakia
Estonia	0 - 2	Austria
Estonia	1 - 1	Thailand
Estonia	0 - 2	Azerbaijan
Estonia	0 - 5	Sweden
Estonia	0 - 3	Belgium
Estonia	2 - 1	Malta
Estonia	2 - 0	San Marino
Estonia	0 - 0	Cyprus
Estonia	0 - 1	Wales
Estonia	2 - 0	Belarus
Estonia	0 - 1	N Ireland
Estonia	2 - 5	Belgium

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Estonia	0 - 2	Rwanda
A	Estonia	1 - 1	Kenya
A	Estonia	1 - 4	Norway
H	Estonia	1 - 1	Moldova
H	Estonia	1 - 3	Italy
H	Estonia	0 - 0	Andorra
A	Estonia	0 - 5	Italy
H	Estonia	0 - 1	Norway
H	Estonia	1 - 3	Israel
A	Estonia	3 - 2	Moldova
A	Estonia	1 - 2	Israel
A	Estonia	0 - 1	Slovakia
A	Estonia	0 - 0	Azerbaijan
H	Estonia	0 - 3	Sweden
H	Estonia	3 - 1	Azerbaijan
A	Estonia	0 - 3	Sweden
H	Estonia	0 - 1	Slovakia
A	Estonia	0 - 4	Switzerland
A	Estonia	1 - 2	Finland
A	Estonia	1 - 5	Poland

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Argentina	3 - 0	Iceland
Japan	1 - 0	Iceland
Haiti	1 - 1	Iceland
Canada	2 - 2	Iceland
Mexico	4 - 0	Iceland
Ukraine	2 - 0	Iceland
Azerbaijan	0 - 2	Iceland
France	2 - 1	Iceland
N Ireland	1 - 0	Iceland
Scotland	1 - 3	Iceland
Kosovo	2 - 1	Iceland
Wales	4 - 1	Iceland
Montenegro	0 - 2	Iceland
Turkey	3 - 1	Iceland
Netherlands	4 - 0	Iceland
England	0 - 1	Iceland
Ukraine	2 - 1	Iceland
Israel	1 - 4	Iceland
Honduras	0 - 2	Iceland
Guatemala	0 - 1	Iceland

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Iceland	0 - 3	Argentina
A	Iceland	0 - 1	Japan
A	Iceland	1 - 1	Haiti
A	Iceland	2 - 2	Canada
A	Iceland	0 - 4	Mexico
A	Iceland	0 - 2	Ukraine
A	Iceland	2 - 0	Azerbaijan
H	Iceland	2 - 2	France
H	Iceland	3 - 5	Ukraine
A	Iceland	1 - 2	France
H	Iceland	5 - 0	Azerbaijan
A	Iceland	0 - 1	N Ireland
A	Iceland	3 - 1	Scotland
H	Iceland	1 - 3	Kosovo
A	Iceland	1 - 2	Kosovo
A	Iceland	1 - 4	Wales
A	Iceland	2 - 0	Montenegro
H	Iceland	2 - 4	Turkey
H	Iceland	2 - 2	Wales
A	Iceland	1 - 3	Turkey

Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Estonia of late. It has been 9 UEFA Nations League matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Tuesday evening against Iceland.

Iceland's fans will be hoping for goals on Tuesday evening, not least because Estonia have conceded in each of their last 5 UEFA Nations League games. A PG of 1.8 for A. Gunnlaugsson's side suggests that run should continue.

	Estonia 2nd	Iceland 3rd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	1.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 24% 1 34% 2 24% 3 12% 4+ There is a 76% probability that Estonia will score 1 or more goals	0 16% 1 29% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 11% There is a 84% probability that Iceland will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-37 Estonia have scored 37% fewer goals at home than predicted	=0 Iceland’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	0.8 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	1.7 conceded	1.7 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

EST

ISL

40%

better

view stats

Games scored	10		15
Failed to score	10		5
Scored first	6		11
Goals scored	14		29
Avg. goals scored	0.7		1.5
Avg. shots per game	5		7
Avg. shots per goal	8		5
Conversion rate for	13		20
Avg. XG for	0.7		1.1
KickOff rating		+40%

EST

ISL

11%

better

view stats

Games conceded	18		17
Clean sheets	2		3
Conceded first	12		9
Goals conceded	44		42
Avg. goals conceded	2.2		2.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	13		12
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		6
Conversion rate against	17%		17%
Avg. XG against	2.5		1.6
KickOff rating		+11%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Estonia v Iceland will show here when available.

Estonia UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
76	28	28	24
K Mets	M Poom	M Poom	K Mets

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
K Mets DEF	80		2	24 -
H Anier FWD	78	18	3	13 -
M Käit MID	57	8	3	8 -
K Hein GLK	44			2 -
M Kuusk DEF	39			7 -
M Paskotsi DEF	39	1		8 -
M Miller MID	34	1	1	12 1
M Poom MID	33	28	28	2 -
R Peetson DEF	25	2	1	6 -
M Soomets MID	22		2	4 -
M Schjönning-Larsen DEF	19		2	2 -
M Ainsalu MID	19		2	1 -
K Palumets MID	18	1	3	5 -
A Tamm FWD	18	2	1	3 -
F Liivak DEF	17	2		2 -
M Igonen GLK	13			-
R Saarma FWD	13	1	1	1 -
P Kristal MID	12		1	2 -
E Tougjas DEF	9			-
J Saliste DEF	8			1 -
K Vallner GLK	5			1 -
T Tammik DEF	2	1		-
K. Mustmaa FWD	2			-
M Mannilaan FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
28	18	28	4
M Poom	H Anier	M Poom	M Käit

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Poom MID	28	4	28	4
H Anier FWD	18	18	3	2
M Käit MID	8	11	3	4
R Peetson DEF	2	5	1
A Tamm FWD	2	6	1	3
F Liivak DEF	2	2		1
M Paskotsi DEF	1	2
M Miller MID	1	1	1	1
K Palumets MID	1	2	3	3
R Saarma FWD	1	2	1
T Tammik DEF	1
K Mets DEF		2	2	1
M Kuusk DEF				1
M Soomets MID			2
M Schjönning-Larsen DEF		1	2	4
M Ainsalu MID		2	2	2
P Kristal MID			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1966	70	180
K Mets	M Käit	M Käit

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
K Mets DEF	1966	37	129
K Hein GLK	1280	1	16
M Paskotsi DEF	1140	34	94
M Käit MID	1102	70	180
M Kuusk DEF	974	35	116
R Peetson DEF	461	31	78
M Poom MID	393	20	40
M Schjönning-Larsen DEF	377	10	37
M Soomets MID	370	35	65
H Anier FWD	311	9	47
M Miller MID	311	23	53
M Ainsalu MID	299	11	37
K Palumets MID	267	17	38
M Igonen GLK	197		2
J Saliste DEF	137	13	21
E Tougjas DEF	103	4	10
A Tamm FWD	90	7	46
P Kristal MID	80	7	22
F Liivak DEF	72	8	28
R Saarma FWD	52	6	13
K Vallner GLK	50
K. Mustmaa FWD	8	1	1

Iceland UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
73	28	13	13
A Gunnarsson	D Joksimovic	D Joksimovic	A Gunnarsson

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Gunnarsson MID	82	5	4	12 1
D Joksimovic MID	75	28	13	9 -
S Ingason DEF	65	4		12 -
J Thorsteinsson FWD	54	6	8	9 -
V Pálsson DEF	53	5	1	6 -
H Magnússon DEF	52	2	2	6 -
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson MID	44	6	5	10 -
M Anderson FWD	38	2	3	4 -
S Thórdarson MID	36	1	1	6 -
A Sigurdsson FWD	36	2	1	2 -
H Hermannsson DEF	33			1 -
M Ellertsson MID	31	2	2	3 -
H Haraldsson MID	30	3	4	6 -
H Valdimarsson GLK	23			1 -
O Óskarsson FWD	18	9	1	2 -
L Tómasson DEF	16	1	1	5 -
E Ólafsson GLK	15			1 -
A Baldursson MID	13			1 -
K Hlynsson MID	13	1		1 -
D Þórhallsson DEF	10			-
B Willumsson FWD	10	1		1 -
K Ingason MID	9			-
A Einarsson GLK	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
28	26	13	14
D Joksimovic	D Joksimovic	D Joksimovic	J Thorsteinsson

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Joksimovic MID	28	26	13	4
O Óskarsson FWD	9	18	1	4
J Thorsteinsson FWD	6	20	8	14
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson MID	6	12	5	7
A Gunnarsson MID	5	6	4
V Pálsson DEF	5	15	1	1
S Ingason DEF	4	5		1
H Haraldsson MID	3	9	4	7
H Magnússon DEF	2	3	2	1
M Anderson FWD	2	4	3	3
A Sigurdsson FWD	2	11	1	3
M Ellertsson MID	2	5	2	3
S Thórdarson MID	1	2	1	1
L Tómasson DEF	1	3	1	1
K Hlynsson MID	1	2
B Willumsson FWD	1	2
H Hermannsson DEF		1
D Þórhallsson DEF		3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1943	68	243
S Ingason	S Ingason	V Pálsson

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Ingason DEF	1943	68	187
V Pálsson DEF	1786	62	243
H Magnússon DEF	1154	40	115
H Haraldsson MID	1132	41	108
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson MID	1030	42	71
A Gunnarsson MID	804	29	86
S Thórdarson MID	712	22	57
D Joksimovic MID	697	31	116
H Hermannsson DEF	657	29	45
J Thorsteinsson FWD	638	37	129
H Valdimarsson GLK	552	1	8
E Ólafsson GLK	429	1	6
A Sigurdsson FWD	391	14	76
M Ellertsson MID	329	20	64
L Tómasson DEF	283	15	39
O Óskarsson FWD	267	2	44
M Anderson FWD	258	35	75
K Hlynsson MID	150	6	16
A Baldursson MID	143	5	16
D Þórhallsson DEF	93	4	11
B Willumsson FWD	81	2	25
A Einarsson GLK	47
K Ingason MID	13	1	3