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Estonia v Iceland : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sportland Arena, Tallinn,

the Sportland Arena, Tallinn crowd welcome Iceland's supporters on Tuesday evening, as Jürgen Henn's Estonia clash with Arnar Bergmann Gunnlaugsson's troops in the UEFA Nations League. Recent form, head-to-head statistics, predictions and odds are all laid out below. We're here to give you everything you need to place an intelligent bet. We've backed Estonia to win, but why not take a look and see if there's another bet you prefer?

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The last International UEFA Nations League meeting between Estonia and Iceland was on Tuesday 6th October 2026
International UEFA Nations League
October 6th 2026
Estonia 0
0 Iceland
 
EST
ISL
Shots On
3
1
Shots Off
9
7
Corners
3
7
Possession
38%
62%
Fouls
10
9
Yellow/red cards
1/0
1/0
 
EstoniaIceland
 
M. Kuusk
M. Paskotši
E. Tõugjas
R. Peetson
K. Palumets (M. Käit 61')
R. Saarma
M. Igonen
J. Saliste (M. Schjonning-Larsen 61')
P. Kristal (M. Skvortsov 68')
M. Poom
M. Männilaan (K. Mustmaa 61')
D. Grétarsson
G. Pálsson
H. Haraldsson
Í. Jóhannesson
(B. Willumsson 67') G. Sigurðsson
O. Óskarsson
H. Valdimarsson
(L. Tómasson 67') H. Björgvin Magnússon
S. Þórðarson
M. Anderson
A. Guojohnsen

Best Tip: Iceland to win

An away win in the UEFA Nations League is always an impressive achievement, and we predict Arnar Bergmann Gunnlaugsson and his Iceland side will be dancing in the halls of Sportland Arena, Tallinn on Tuesday evening. The stats below, including long-running head-to-head (H2H) records, make their ability to get the job done clear, and the bookies are expecting exactly that. Top odds are 1.60 on Iceland to win. We think it's well worth backing.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Estonia
17%
21/4
77%
-
Draw
22%
3/1
7%
-
Iceland
61%
11/20
16%
-
Iceland 1-0
12%
5/1
24%
-
Iceland 2-0
11%
11/2
30%
-
Draw 1-1
10%
13/2-
Iceland 2-1
10%
8/1-
Iceland 3-0
7%
9/1
35%
-
Draw 0-0
7%
15/2
23%
-
Iceland 3-1
6%
14/1-
Estonia 1-0
6%
12/1
8%
-
Estonia 2-1
4%
20/1
58%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
20/1
27%
-
Iceland 4-0
3%
20/1
38%
-
Iceland 4-1
3%
28/1
10%
-
Iceland 3-2
3%
33/1
26%
-
Estonia 2-0
2%
28/1
53%
-
Estonia 3-1
1%
50/1
58%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
21/20
13%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
3/4
11%
-
Home 1st Goal
39%
21/10
28%
-
Away 1st Goal
57%
4/9
10%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
15/2
23%
-
BTTS - Yes
49%
6/5
20%
-
BTTS - No
51%
8/13
18%
-
BTTS - Home Win
8%
12/1
83%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
5/1
10%
-
BTTS - Away Win
25%
3/1-
Home/draw
39%
11/8
25%
-
Away/draw
83%
1/9
10%
-
Home/away
78%
2/9
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1/3
7%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
9/4
15%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
5/2
24%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
2/7
7%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
6/1
33%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/12
5%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
19/2
18%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/40
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/16
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
7/1
23%
-
Home DNB
32%
7/2
73%
-
Away DNB
77%
1/6
20%
-
Estonia win to nil
9%
9/1
54%
-
Iceland win to nil
36%
5/4
29%
-
Estonia / Estonia
9%
9/1
64%
-
Estonia / Iceland
4%
25/1-
Estonia / Draw
4%
18/1
27%
-
Draw / Estonia
8%
11/1
38%
-
Draw / Iceland
19%
3/1
13%
-
Draw / Draw
14%
9/2
8%
-
Iceland / Estonia
2%
50/1
21%
-
Iceland / Iceland
35%
13/10
21%
-
Iceland / Draw
5%
18/1
13%
-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Estonia 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estonia1 - 0Luxembourg
Estonia1 - 1Moldova
Estonia1 - 3Italy
Estonia0 - 0Andorra
Estonia0 - 1Norway
Estonia1 - 3Israel
Estonia0 - 3Sweden
Estonia3 - 1Azerbaijan
Estonia0 - 1Slovakia
Estonia0 - 2Austria
Estonia1 - 1Thailand
Estonia0 - 2Azerbaijan
Estonia0 - 5Sweden
Estonia0 - 3Belgium
Estonia2 - 1Malta
Estonia2 - 0San Marino
Estonia0 - 0Cyprus
Estonia0 - 1Wales
Estonia2 - 0Belarus
Estonia0 - 1N Ireland
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HEstonia1 - 0Luxembourg
AEstonia0 - 0Bulgaria
AEstonia1 - 1Iceland
AEstonia0 - 2Rwanda
AEstonia1 - 1Kenya
AEstonia1 - 4Norway
HEstonia1 - 1Moldova
HEstonia1 - 3Italy
HEstonia0 - 0Andorra
AEstonia0 - 5Italy
HEstonia0 - 1Norway
HEstonia1 - 3Israel
AEstonia3 - 2Moldova
AEstonia1 - 2Israel
AEstonia0 - 1Slovakia
AEstonia0 - 0Azerbaijan
HEstonia0 - 3Sweden
HEstonia3 - 1Azerbaijan
AEstonia0 - 3Sweden
HEstonia0 - 1Slovakia
Iceland 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Luxembourg0 - 3Iceland
Argentina3 - 0Iceland
Japan1 - 0Iceland
Haiti1 - 1Iceland
Canada2 - 2Iceland
Mexico4 - 0Iceland
Ukraine2 - 0Iceland
Azerbaijan0 - 2Iceland
France2 - 1Iceland
N Ireland1 - 0Iceland
Scotland1 - 3Iceland
Kosovo2 - 1Iceland
Wales4 - 1Iceland
Montenegro0 - 2Iceland
Turkey3 - 1Iceland
Netherlands4 - 0Iceland
England0 - 1Iceland
Ukraine2 - 1Iceland
Israel1 - 4Iceland
Honduras0 - 2Iceland
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HIceland3 - 0Bulgaria
AIceland3 - 0Luxembourg
HIceland1 - 1Estonia
AIceland0 - 3Argentina
AIceland0 - 1Japan
AIceland1 - 1Haiti
AIceland2 - 2Canada
AIceland0 - 4Mexico
AIceland0 - 2Ukraine
AIceland2 - 0Azerbaijan
HIceland2 - 2France
HIceland3 - 5Ukraine
AIceland1 - 2France
HIceland5 - 0Azerbaijan
AIceland0 - 1N Ireland
AIceland3 - 1Scotland
HIceland1 - 3Kosovo
AIceland1 - 2Kosovo
AIceland1 - 4Wales
AIceland2 - 0Montenegro
Goal Statistics

A truly awful PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Estonia fans, as should a 9 UEFA Nations League games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Iceland's fans will be hoping for goals on Tuesday evening, not least because Estonia have conceded in each of their last 5 UEFA Nations League outings. A PG of 1.9 for A. Gunnlaugsson's side suggests that run should continue.

Estonia 2nd Iceland 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
1.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Estonia scoring 1 goal or less
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 85% probability that Iceland will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-34
Estonia have scored 34% fewer goals at home than predicted
+37
Iceland have scored 37% more goals when away than predicted
0.7
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Estonia
PG (predicted goals)
Iceland
0.9
1.9
Attack rating
EST
ISL
41%
better
view stats
Games scored10
15
Failed to score10
5
Scored first7
13
Goals scored14
31
Avg. goals scored0.7
1.6
Avg. shots per game6
8
Avg. shots per goal8
5
Conversion rate for12
21
Avg. XG for0.8
1.4
KickOff rating
+41%
Defence rating
EST
ISL
6%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
15
Clean sheets4
5
Conceded first10
7
Goals conceded34
34
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded13
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
15%
Avg. XG against2.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+6%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Estonia v Iceland will show here when available.

Estonia UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4111
M PaskotsiM PaskotsiR PeetsonM Paskotsi
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Igonen GLK2
-
M Paskotsi DEF41
1
-
M Kuusk DEF3
1
-
E Tougjas DEF2
-
R Peetson MID311
1
-
K Palumets MID4
-
M Poom MID4
1
-
P Kristal MID4
1
-
J Saliste MID1
-
R Saarma FWD2
-
M Mannilaan FWD3
-
Subs
E Grünvald GLK
-
K Vallner GLK
-
J Tamm DEF1
-
T Tammik DEF
-
M Schjönning-Larsen DEF4
1
-
M Käit MID4
-
M Soomets MID3
-
M Ainsalu MID2
-
M. Skvortsov MID1
-
F Liivak MID1
-
K. Mustmaa FWD4
-
A Tamm FWD1
-
Iceland UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4321
H ValdimarssonO ÓskarssonH HaraldssonH Valdimarsson
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
H Valdimarsson GLK4
1
-
V Pálsson DEF41
-
S Thórdarson DEF3
1
-
D Grétarsson DEF4
1
-
H Magnússon DEF3
1
-
D Joksimovic MID41
-
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson MID4
1
-
H Haraldsson MID42
-
M Anderson FWD31
-
O Óskarsson FWD432
-
A Gudjohnsen FWD421
-
Subs
R Rúnarsson GLK
-
A Einarsson GLK
-
L Tómasson DEF4
-
A Sampsted DEF
-
B Bjarnason DEF
-
A Baldursson MID1
-
Þórir Jóhann Helgason MID
-
A Sigurdsson MID3
-
I Thorvaldsson FWD2
1
-
J Thorsteinsson FWD2
-
B Willumsson FWD2
-
International UEFA Nations League match betting previews, predictions and odds