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England v Spain : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 26th Sep, 19:45 BST, Wembley Stadium, London

the Wembley Stadium faithful welcome Spain's travelling contingent on Saturday evening, as Thomas Tuchel's England take on Luis De la Fuente Castillo's charges in the UEFA Nations League. We want you to make a winning bet on this match, so every stats you could ever need to make a well-informed wager is shown below. Flip between 17 betting markets or take our top tip. We've got predictions, head to head (H2H) analysis and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for each one.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest we don't have an obvious winner in this fixture, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that England and Spain will score 2 or more goals between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Thomas Tuchel or Luis De la Fuente Castillo has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s lately either. The bookies are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.22 equating to approximately a 79% probability.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think England are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
England 30%	23/10 25%	-
Draw 24%	5/2 6%	-
Spain 46%	23/20 16%	-
Draw 1-1 11%	6/1 8%	-
Spain 2-1 9%	8/1 10%	-
Spain 1-0 8%	17/2	-
England 2-1 7%	11/1 20%	-
Spain 2-0 7%	11/1 8%	-
England 1-0 6%	11/1 26%	-
Draw 2-2 6%	11/1 8%	-
Spain 3-1 5%	14/1 29%	-
Draw 0-0 5%	12/1 18%	-
England 2-0 4%	18/1 46%	-
Spain 3-0 4%	20/1 19%	-
Spain 3-2 3%	20/1 19%	-
England 3-1 3%	22/1 10%	-
England 3-2 3%	28/1	-
Spain 4-1 2%	33/1 17%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 58%	7/10 8%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 42%	11/10 8%	-
Home 1st Goal 46%	11/10 5%	-
Away 1st Goal 51%	8/11 9%	-
No 1st Goal 3%	12/1 18%	-
BTTS - Yes 60%	4/7 6%	-
BTTS - No 40%	5/4 7%	-
BTTS - Home Win 17%	9/2 10%	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	-
BTTS - Away Win 24%	3/1 16%	-
Home/draw 54%	4/6 11%	-
Away/draw 70%	1/3 8%	-
Home/away 76%	2/7 3%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 81%	1/5 4%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 19%	10/3 15%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 36%	13/8 19%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 64%	4/9 8%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 19%	4/1 17%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 81%	1/6 4%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 9%	10/1 15%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 91%	1/20 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/25 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	12/1 18%	-
Home DNB 47%	5/4 23%	-
Away DNB 62%	4/7 14%	-
England win to nil 14%	11/2 30%	-
Spain win to nil 21%	3/1 11%	-
England / England 17%	4/1 15%	-
England / Spain 4%	22/1 12%	-
England / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / England 11%	13/2 15%	-
Draw / Spain 15%	9/2 8%	-
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1 9%	-
Spain / England 3%	25/1	-
Spain / Spain 24%	12/5 15%	-
Spain / Draw 6%	12/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

9 / 20

Clean sheets

11 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
England	1 - 2	Argentina
England	2 - 1	Congo DR
England	0 - 0	Ghana
England	4 - 2	Croatia
England	3 - 0	Costa Rica
England	1 - 0	New Zealand
England	0 - 1	Japan
England	1 - 1	Uruguay
England	2 - 0	Serbia
England	3 - 0	Wales
England	2 - 0	Andorra
England	1 - 3	Senegal
England	3 - 0	Latvia
England	2 - 0	Albania
England	5 - 0	Ireland
England	1 - 2	Greece
England	2 - 0	Finland
England	1 - 1	Switzerland
England	1 - 1	Slovakia
England	0 - 0	Slovenia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

9 / 20

Clean sheets

11 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	England	6 - 4	France
H	England	1 - 2	Argentina
A	England	1 - 1	Norway
A	England	3 - 2	Mexico
H	England	2 - 1	Congo DR
A	England	2 - 0	Panama
H	England	0 - 0	Ghana
H	England	4 - 2	Croatia
H	England	3 - 0	Costa Rica
H	England	1 - 0	New Zealand
H	England	0 - 1	Japan
H	England	1 - 1	Uruguay
A	England	2 - 0	Albania
H	England	2 - 0	Serbia
A	England	5 - 0	Latvia
H	England	3 - 0	Wales
A	England	5 - 0	Serbia
H	England	2 - 0	Andorra
H	England	1 - 3	Senegal
A	England	1 - 0	Andorra

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

9 / 20

Clean sheets

11 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
France	0 - 2	Spain
Portugal	0 - 1	Spain
Uruguay	0 - 1	Spain
Peru	1 - 3	Spain
Georgia	0 - 4	Spain
Turkey	0 - 6	Spain
Bulgaria	0 - 3	Spain
Portugal	2 - 2	Spain
Netherlands	2 - 2	Spain
Denmark	1 - 2	Spain
Switzerland	1 - 4	Spain
Serbia	0 - 0	Spain
Albania	0 - 1	Spain
Cyprus	1 - 3	Spain
Norway	0 - 1	Spain
Georgia	1 - 7	Spain
Croatia	0 - 0	Spain
Scotland	2 - 0	Spain
Morocco	0 - 0	Spain
Japan	2 - 1	Spain

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

6 / 20

Clean sheets

14 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Spain	0 - 0	Argentina
A	Spain	2 - 0	France
H	Spain	2 - 1	Belgium
A	Spain	1 - 0	Portugal
H	Spain	3 - 0	Austria
A	Spain	1 - 0	Uruguay
H	Spain	4 - 0	Saudi Arabia
H	Spain	0 - 0	Cape Verde
A	Spain	3 - 1	Peru
H	Spain	1 - 1	Iraq
H	Spain	0 - 0	Egypt
H	Spain	3 - 0	Serbia
H	Spain	2 - 2	Turkey
A	Spain	4 - 0	Georgia
H	Spain	4 - 0	Bulgaria
H	Spain	2 - 0	Georgia
A	Spain	6 - 0	Turkey
A	Spain	3 - 0	Bulgaria
A	Spain	2 - 2	Portugal
H	Spain	5 - 4	France

Goal Statistics

Spain's defensive record is very strong, L. De la Fuente Castillo's men having conceded 1 or less in 12 consecutive UEFA Nations League outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for England makes sense in this context.

Spain have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 10 consecutive UEFA Nations League outings. Their PG of 1.6 against England on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

	England 3rd	Spain 4th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.7 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 26% 1 35% 2 24% 3 10% 4+ There is a 61% probability that England will score no more than 1 goal	0 18% 1 31% 2 26% 3 15% 4+ 9% There is a 82% probability that Spain will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-24 England have scored 24% fewer goals at home than predicted	+14 Spain have scored 14% more goals when away than predicted
	1.8 average goals scored	2.2 average goals scored
	0.7 conceded	0.7 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

better

ENG

ESP

view stats

Games scored	18		17
Failed to score	2		3
Scored first	16		18
Goals scored	45		48
Avg. goals scored	2.3		2.4
Avg. shots per game	13		14
Avg. shots per goal	6		6
Conversion rate for	17		17
Avg. XG for	2.1		2.5
KickOff rating		+2%

ENG

ESP

35%

better

view stats

Games conceded	9		6
Clean sheets	11		14
Conceded first	3		0
Goals conceded	17		11
Avg. goals conceded	0.9		0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	6		5
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		9
Conversion rate against	13%		11%
Avg. XG against	0.9		0.7
KickOff rating		+35%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between England v Spain will show here when available.

England UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
107	85	19	9
H Kane	H Kane	H Kane	J Bellingham

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
H Kane FWD	121	85	19	6 -
J Pickford GLK	91			1 -
J Bellingham MID	56	13	8	9 -
B Saka FWD	56	17	9	2 -
M Guéhi DEF	37	1	5	5 -
T Alexander-Arnold DEF	33	4	5	1 -
E Konsa DEF	28	2	1	1 -
A Gordon FWD	25	4	5	1 -
M Rogers MID	22	1	2	-
E Eze MID	22	3	1	-
E Anderson MID	17		1	1 -
N. O'Reilly DEF	12			1 -
D Calvert-Lewin FWD	12	4		1 -
J Quansah DEF	6			1 1
M. Lewis-Skelly MID	6	1		-
M Gibbs-White MID	6		1	-
L Hall DEF	4			-
J Trafford GLK	2			-
T Chalobah DEF	2			-
J Garner MID	2			-
J Branthwaite DEF	1			1 -
R. Ngumoha FWD	1			-
J Steele GLK				-
A Scott MID				-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
85	134	19	36
H Kane	H Kane	H Kane	H Kane

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
H Kane FWD	85	134	19	36
B Saka FWD	17	36	9	18
J Bellingham MID	13	37	8	23
T Alexander-Arnold DEF	4	9	5	21
A Gordon FWD	4	20	5	10
D Calvert-Lewin FWD	4	4
E Eze MID	3	11	1	5
E Konsa DEF	2	6	1	1
M Guéhi DEF	1	3	5	6
M Rogers MID	1	7	2	8
M. Lewis-Skelly MID	1	1
E Anderson MID		2	1	2
N. O'Reilly DEF		1		2
J Quansah DEF		1
M Gibbs-White MID		2	1	3
L Hall DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2602	92	385
M Guéhi	J Bellingham	H Kane

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Guéhi DEF	2602	20	126
J Pickford GLK	2340		20
J Bellingham MID	2239	92	324
H Kane FWD	1690	39	385
E Konsa DEF	1667	18	91
T Alexander-Arnold DEF	1539	21	54
B Saka FWD	1322	50	195
E Anderson MID	1247	39	108
A Gordon FWD	539	15	71
N. O'Reilly DEF	444	11	40
M Rogers MID	406	9	51
E Eze MID	395	14	61
M. Lewis-Skelly MID	321		13
J Quansah DEF	222	7	20
L Hall DEF	141	4	12
T Chalobah DEF	86	2	6
M Gibbs-White MID	77	2	2
J Garner MID	63	5	8
D Calvert-Lewin FWD	47	2	22
J Trafford GLK	41		1
R. Ngumoha FWD	26	2	6
J Branthwaite DEF	20		2

Spain UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
66	30	13	11
U Simón	M Oyarzabal	D Olmo	Rodri

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Rodri MID	70	4	2	11 -
U Simón GLK	66			3 -
F Torres FWD	64	25	9	4 -
M Oyarzabal FWD	61	30	12	3 -
D Olmo MID	58	12	13	3 -
A Laporte DEF	54	2	1	6 -
M Merino MID	51	12	3	3 -
F Ruiz MID	50	7	11	5 -
Pedri MID	49	6	4	1 -
N Williams FWD	36	6	10	-
L Yamal FWD	33	7	11	3 -
M Cucurella DEF	32	1	4	1 -
M Zubimendi MID	27	3	1	1 -
Y Pino FWD	25	4	2	3 -
Álex Baena FWD	24	3	1	3 -
E García DEF	22			-
P. Cubarsí Paredes DEF	20		3	1 -
A Grimaldo DEF	14		2	-
D Raya GLK	13			1 -
D. Huijsen DEF	7		1	1 -
F. López Marín MID	7		2	-
M Pubill DEF	3			-
V. Muñoz Villanueva FWD	2	1		-
J Martínez GLK	1			-
I Fresneda DEF				-
R Fernández FWD				-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
30	59	13	24
M Oyarzabal	M Oyarzabal	D Olmo	L Yamal

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Oyarzabal FWD	30	59	12	23
F Torres FWD	25	45	9	13
D Olmo MID	12	43	13	15
M Merino MID	12	23	3	16
F Ruiz MID	7	25	11	17
L Yamal FWD	7	37	11	24
Pedri MID	6	18	4	20
N Williams FWD	6	28	10	16
Rodri MID	4	18	2	13
Y Pino FWD	4	6	2	5
M Zubimendi MID	3	5	1	8
Álex Baena FWD	3	14	1	14
A Laporte DEF	2	9	1	4
M Cucurella DEF	1	5	4	12
V. Muñoz Villanueva FWD	1	2		1
E García DEF		1
P. Cubarsí Paredes DEF		3	3	1
A Grimaldo DEF		6	2	12
D. Huijsen DEF		1	1	2
F. López Marín MID		2	2	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
5122	104	280
Rodri	Rodri	Rodri

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Rodri MID	5122	104	280
A Laporte DEF	4885	44	166
F Ruiz MID	2783	50	120
Pedri MID	2519	46	116
U Simón GLK	1902	1	20
M Cucurella DEF	1705	44	98
D Olmo MID	1701	37	165
E García DEF	1560	13	42
P. Cubarsí Paredes DEF	1469	14	44
M Merino MID	1415	50	182
M Zubimendi MID	1373	35	73
F Torres FWD	1221	13	136
M Oyarzabal FWD	1019	27	101
L Yamal FWD	1013	52	195
N Williams FWD	794	25	88
Álex Baena FWD	689	15	44
A Grimaldo DEF	642	15	37
D. Huijsen DEF	601	8	15
Y Pino FWD	456	27	58
D Raya GLK	278		2
F. López Marín MID	122	6	21
M Pubill DEF	73	1	4
V. Muñoz Villanueva FWD	41	2	4