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San Marino v Finland : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 26th Sep, 17:00 BST, Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle, Serravalle

Saturday evening sees Roberto Cevoli’s San Marino and Jacob Friis’s Finland go head to head in a UEFA Nations League clash at the Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle. UEFA Nations League stats are the backbone of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head records included too. It's all on this page, with data visualisations and the best odds available for seventeen major betting markets via the tabs.


Best Tip: Finland to win

Going to Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle and winning is incredibly difficult, especially in the UEFA Nations League, but we're predicting Finland manager Jacob Friis is capable of inspiring his side to do exactly that. Form statistics, head-to-head (H2H) records and odds from the bookmakers all suggest an away win is highly likely, and we would absolutely suggest it's the best bet on this particular match.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 90% chance of Finland coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
San Marino
3%
22/1
10%
-
Draw
8%
9/1
11%
-
Finland
89%
1/12
1%
-
Finland 3-0
15%
9/2-
Finland 2-0
15%
9/2
10%
-
Finland 4-0
12%
6/1-
Finland 1-0
10%
7/1
14%
-
Finland 5-0
7%
10/1-
Finland 3-1
6%
14/1-
Finland 2-1
6%
14/1-
Finland 4-1
5%
18/1
10%
-
Draw 1-1
4%
20/1
11%
-
Finland 6-0
4%
18/1
10%
-
Draw 0-0
3%
16/1
13%
-
Finland 5-1
3%
28/1
15%
-
Finland 7-0
2%
33/1
17%
-
Finland 6-1
1%
40/1
20%
-
San Marino 1-0
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
4/9
6%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
33%
13/8
11%
-
Home 1st Goal
25%
5/1
9%
-
Away 1st Goal
73%
1/7-
No 1st Goal
2%
16/1
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
31%
12/5
3%
-
BTTS - No
69%
3/10
1%
-
BTTS - Home Win
1%
40/1-
BTTS - Draw
5%
14/1
15%
-
BTTS - Away Win
25%
3/1-
Home/draw
11%
6/1-
Away/draw
97%
1/500-
Home/away
92%
1/33
1%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
1/8
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
14%
9/2
22%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
45%
11/10
7%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
54%
4/6
6%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
27%
5/2
13%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
73%
2/7
6%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
14%
5/1
14%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
86%
1/9
3%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/50
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
10/1
27%
-
Home DNB
8%
12/1
18%
-
Away DNB
95%
1/80
1%
-
San Marino win to nil
2%
33/1
17%
-
Finland win to nil
64%
2/5-
San Marino / San Marino
2%
40/1-
San Marino / Finland
3%
28/1-
San Marino / Draw
2%
40/1-
Draw / San Marino
2%
40/1
21%
-
Draw / Finland
22%
11/4-
Draw / Draw
7%
11/1
9%
-
Finland / San Marino
1%
100/1
51%
-
Finland / Finland
60%
4/11
3%
-
Finland / Draw
2%
33/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
San Marino 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
9
Conceded
49
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
1
D
4
Lost
15
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
San Marino1 - 2Bangladesh
San Marino0 - 0Andorra
San Marino1 - 2Faroes
San Marino0 - 4Cyprus
San Marino0 - 6Bosnia
San Marino0 - 4Austria
San Marino1 - 5Romania
San Marino1 - 1Gibraltar
San Marino1 - 0Liechtenstein
San Marino1 - 4Cyprus
San Marino0 - 0St. Kitts & Nevis
San Marino1 - 3St. Kitts & Nevis
San Marino1 - 2Finland
San Marino1 - 2Denmark
San Marino0 - 4Slovenia
San Marino0 - 3Kazakhstan
San Marino0 - 2N Ireland
San Marino0 - 4Estonia
San Marino0 - 0Seychelles
San Marino0 - 1Iceland
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
58
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
2
D
2
Lost
16
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASan Marino1 - 2Azerbaijan
HSan Marino1 - 2Bangladesh
HSan Marino0 - 0Andorra
HSan Marino1 - 2Faroes
ASan Marino1 - 7Romania
HSan Marino0 - 4Cyprus
ASan Marino0 - 10Austria
ASan Marino1 - 3Malta
HSan Marino0 - 6Bosnia
HSan Marino0 - 4Austria
ASan Marino0 - 1Bosnia
HSan Marino1 - 5Romania
ASan Marino0 - 2Cyprus
ASan Marino3 - 1Liechtenstein
HSan Marino1 - 1Gibraltar
ASan Marino0 - 2Andorra
ASan Marino0 - 1Gibraltar
ASan Marino0 - 1Moldova
HSan Marino1 - 0Liechtenstein
HSan Marino1 - 4Cyprus
Finland 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hungary2 - 1Finland
Germany4 - 0Finland
Cape Verde1 - 1Finland
New Zealand0 - 2Finland
Netherlands4 - 0Finland
Poland3 - 1Finland
Norway1 - 0Finland
Lithuania2 - 2Finland
Malta0 - 1Finland
Ireland1 - 0Finland
England2 - 0Finland
Greece3 - 0Finland
Scotland2 - 2Finland
Portugal4 - 2Finland
Wales4 - 1Finland
San Marino1 - 2Finland
Slovenia3 - 0Finland
Kazakhstan0 - 1Finland
N Ireland0 - 1Finland
Denmark3 - 1Finland
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
D
3
Lost
13
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AFinland1 - 2Hungary
AFinland0 - 4Germany
AFinland1 - 1Cape Verde
AFinland2 - 0New Zealand
HFinland0 - 1Malta
AFinland0 - 4Netherlands
HFinland2 - 1Lithuania
AFinland1 - 3Poland
AFinland0 - 1Norway
HFinland2 - 1Poland
HFinland0 - 2Netherlands
AFinland2 - 2Lithuania
AFinland1 - 0Malta
HFinland0 - 2Greece
AFinland0 - 1Ireland
HFinland1 - 3England
HFinland1 - 2Ireland
AFinland0 - 2England
AFinland0 - 3Greece
AFinland2 - 2Scotland
Goal Statistics

Scoring more than 1 goal looks set to be difficult for San Marino, with R. Cevoli's men failing to score in 14 consecutive UEFA Nations League outings.

San Marino 4th Finland 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.4
goals
3.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
67%
1
27%
2
3
4+
There is a 67% probability that San Marino will fail to score
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
5+
24%
There is a 25% probability that Finland will score 5 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
San Marino’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-37
Finland have scored 37% fewer goals when away than predicted
0.5
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
2.5
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
San Marino
PG (predicted goals)
Finland
0.4
3.1
Attack rating
SMR
FIN
14%
better
view stats
Games scored10
11
Failed to score10
9
Scored first4
5
Goals scored12
16
Avg. goals scored0.6
0.8
Avg. shots per game5
7
Avg. shots per goal9
9
Conversion rate for11
12
Avg. XG for0.9
1.4
KickOff rating
+14%
Defence rating
SMR
FIN
15%
better
view stats
Games conceded18
18
Clean sheets2
2
Conceded first15
15
Goals conceded58
37
Avg. goals conceded2.9
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded12
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded4
6
Conversion rate against24%
16%
Avg. XG against3
1.6
KickOff rating
+15%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between San Marino v Finland will show here when available.

San Marino UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
525111
N NanniN NanniA TosiM Mularoni
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Golinucci MID602
8
1
M Mularoni MID52
11
-
N Nanni FWD525
9
-
D Rossi DEF39
6
-
F Fabbri DEF371
6
-
M Cevoli DEF36
5
-
A Tosi DEF281
6
-
L Capicchioni MID22
9
-
E Colombo GLK21
3
-
L Lazzari MID211
6
-
S. Zannoni MID161
1
-
N. Giacopetti FWD143
2
-
G. Benvenuti DEF13
4
-
S Pancotti FWD9
2
-
A. Riccardi DEF8
2
-
G. Capicchioni FWD7
2
-
M. Pasolini DEF6
2
-
S. Giocondi MID61
3
-
M Zavoli GLK1
-
M Angelis GLK
-
Finland UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9419117
L HradeckyJ PohjanpaloR LodG Kamara
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Hradecky GLK95
2
-
J Pohjanpalo FWD86195
6
-
R Lod MID83611
5
-
G Kamara MID6922
7
-
B Källman FWD37104
3
-
L Väisänen DEF281
2
-
K Kairinen MID2811
2
-
M Peltola MID251
3
-
A Suhonen  MID16
1
-
O Valakari MID1512
1
-
L Walta MID1413
-
D Håkans FWD144
1
-
T Keskinen FWD13
1
-
V Koski DEF11
1
-
A Markhiyev MID91
-
V Sinisalo GLK7
-
A Stahl DEF7
-
R Mahuta DEF6
-
J. Lähteenmäki DEF6
-
S Väänänen MID6
-
T Miettinen DEF41
-
O Jukkola FWD41
-
S Miettinen DEF2
-
D Arifi MID2
-
L Bergström GLK1
-
A. Svanbäck FWD
-
International UEFA Nations League match betting previews, predictions and odds
Slovenia v Scotland
Sat 26th Sep, 14:00
San Marino v Finland
Sat 26th Sep, 17:00
Faroes v Kazakhstan
Sat 26th Sep, 17:00
Iceland v Estonia
Sat 26th Sep, 17:00
Bulgaria v Luxembourg
Sat 26th Sep, 17:00
Slovakia v Moldova
Sat 26th Sep, 19:45
Albania v Belarus
Sat 26th Sep, 19:45
Macedonia v Switzerland
Sat 26th Sep, 19:45
Czech Rep v Croatia
Sat 26th Sep, 19:45
England v Spain
Sat 26th Sep, 19:45
Lithuania v Azerbaijan
Sun 27th Sep, 14:00
Gibraltar v Andorra
Sun 27th Sep, 17:00
Austria v Kosovo
Sun 27th Sep, 17:00
Serbia v Netherlands
Sun 27th Sep, 17:00
Denmark v Wales
Sun 27th Sep, 17:00
Norway v Portugal
Sun 27th Sep, 19:45
Germany v Greece
Sun 27th Sep, 19:45
Israel v Ireland
Sun 27th Sep, 19:45
Latvia v Cyprus
Mon 28th Sep, 17:00
Armenia v Montenegro
Mon 28th Sep, 17:00
Georgia v Ukraine
Mon 28th Sep, 17:00
N Ireland v Hungary
Mon 28th Sep, 19:45
Sweden v Poland
Mon 28th Sep, 19:45
Romania v Bosnia
Mon 28th Sep, 19:45
Turkey v Italy
Mon 28th Sep, 19:45
Belgium v France
Mon 28th Sep, 19:45
Moldova v Faroes
Tue 29th Sep, 17:00
Finland v Belarus
Tue 29th Sep, 17:00
Luxembourg v Iceland
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Slovakia v Kazakhstan
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
San Marino v Albania
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Bulgaria v Estonia
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Slovenia v Macedonia
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Scotland v Switzerland
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Spain v Croatia
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Czech Rep v England
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Azerbaijan v Liechtenstein
Thu 1st Oct, 17:00
Israel v Kosovo
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Ireland v Austria
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Germany v Serbia
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Greece v Netherlands
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Denmark v Portugal
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Wales v Norway
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Malta v Gibraltar
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Kazakhstan v Moldova
Fri 2nd Oct, 15:00
Cyprus v Armenia
Fri 2nd Oct, 17:00
Latvia v Montenegro
Fri 2nd Oct, 17:00
Faroes v Slovakia
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Ukraine v N Ireland
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Bosnia v Sweden
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Hungary v Georgia
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Poland v Romania
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Belgium v Turkey
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
France v Italy
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Finland v Albania
Sat 3rd Oct, 14:00
Belarus v San Marino
Sat 3rd Oct, 17:00
Iceland v Bulgaria
Sat 3rd Oct, 17:00
Estonia v Luxembourg
Sat 3rd Oct, 17:00
Croatia v England
Sat 3rd Oct, 17:00
Spain v Czech Rep
Sat 3rd Oct, 19:45
Switzerland v Slovenia
Sat 3rd Oct, 19:45
Macedonia v Scotland
Sat 3rd Oct, 19:45
Azerbaijan v Lithuania
Sun 4th Oct, 14:00
Kosovo v Austria
Sun 4th Oct, 17:00
Malta v Andorra
Sun 4th Oct, 17:00
Ireland v Israel
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Netherlands v Serbia
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Portugal v Norway
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Greece v Germany
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Wales v Denmark
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Cyprus v Latvia
Mon 5th Oct, 17:00
Bosnia v Poland
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
Ukraine v Hungary
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
N Ireland v Georgia
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
Romania v Sweden
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
Italy v Turkey
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
France v Belgium
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
Montenegro v Armenia
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
Kazakhstan v Faroes
Tue 6th Oct, 15:00
Croatia v Spain
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
England v Czech Rep
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Scotland v Slovenia
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Switzerland v Macedonia
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Luxembourg v Bulgaria
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Estonia v Iceland
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Moldova v Slovakia
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Belarus v Finland
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Albania v San Marino
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45