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Portugal v Norway : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 4th Oct, 19:45 BST, Estádio do Dragão, Porto

The UEFA Nations League is the focus for both Portugal and Norway on Sunday evening, as managers Jorge Fernando Pinheiro de Jesus and Ståle Solbakken battle it out at the Estádio do Dragão. The predictions shown are based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams, across 17 of the biggest betting markets. The data and the odds change with each market, and head-to-head statistics are included for all.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Portugal
50%
--
Draw
22%
--
Norway
28%
--
Draw 1-1
9%
--
Portugal 2-1
9%
--
Norway 2-1
7%
--
Draw 2-2
7%
--
Portugal 1-0
6%
--
Portugal 2-0
6%
--
Portugal 3-1
6%
--
Norway 1-0
5%
--
Portugal 3-2
4%
--
Portugal 3-0
4%
--
Norway 2-0
3%
--
Norway 3-1
3%
--
Draw 0-0
3%
--
Norway 3-2
3%
--
Portugal 4-1
3%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
33%
--
Home 1st Goal
52%
--
Away 1st Goal
46%
--
No 1st Goal
2%
--
BTTS - Yes
66%
--
BTTS - No
34%
--
BTTS - Home Win
30%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
18%
--
Home/draw
72%
--
Away/draw
50%
--
Home/away
78%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
14%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
45%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
55%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
26%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
74%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
--
Home DNB
65%
--
Away DNB
44%
--
Portugal win to nil
20%
--
Norway win to nil
11%
--
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Win / draw / win form
Portugal 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Portugal1 - 0Wales
Portugal0 - 1Spain
Portugal2 - 1Croatia
Portugal5 - 0Uzbekistan
Portugal1 - 1Congo DR
Portugal2 - 1Nigeria
Portugal2 - 1Chile
Portugal9 - 1Armenia
Portugal2 - 2Hungary
Portugal1 - 0Ireland
Portugal2 - 2Spain
Portugal3 - 2Denmark
Portugal5 - 1Poland
Portugal2 - 1Scotland
Portugal2 - 1Croatia
Portugal0 - 0France
Portugal0 - 0Slovenia
Portugal2 - 1Czech Rep
Portugal3 - 0Ireland
Portugal1 - 2Croatia
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPortugal1 - 0Wales
HPortugal0 - 1Spain
HPortugal2 - 1Croatia
APortugal0 - 0Colombia
HPortugal5 - 0Uzbekistan
HPortugal1 - 1Congo DR
HPortugal2 - 1Nigeria
HPortugal2 - 1Chile
APortugal2 - 0USA
APortugal0 - 0Mexico
HPortugal9 - 1Armenia
APortugal0 - 2Ireland
HPortugal2 - 2Hungary
HPortugal1 - 0Ireland
APortugal3 - 2Hungary
APortugal5 - 0Armenia
HPortugal2 - 2Spain
APortugal2 - 1Germany
HPortugal3 - 2Denmark
APortugal0 - 1Denmark
Norway 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brazil1 - 2Norway
Cote d'Ivoire1 - 2Norway
Iraq1 - 4Norway
Morocco1 - 1Norway
Netherlands2 - 1Norway
Italy1 - 4Norway
Estonia0 - 1Norway
Israel2 - 4Norway
Moldova0 - 5Norway
Slovenia1 - 4Norway
Austria5 - 1Norway
Kazakhstan0 - 0Norway
Denmark3 - 1Norway
Scotland3 - 3Norway
Cyprus0 - 4Norway
Georgia1 - 1Norway
Spain3 - 0Norway
Ireland1 - 2Norway
Slovenia2 - 1Norway
Sweden1 - 2Norway
Goals: Scored
55
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNorway3 - 2Denmark
HNorway1 - 1England
ANorway2 - 1Brazil
ANorway2 - 1Cote d'Ivoire
HNorway1 - 4France
HNorway3 - 2Senegal
ANorway4 - 1Iraq
ANorway1 - 1Morocco
HNorway3 - 1Sweden
HNorway0 - 0Switzerland
ANorway1 - 2Netherlands
ANorway4 - 1Italy
HNorway4 - 1Estonia
HNorway1 - 1New Zealand
HNorway5 - 0Israel
HNorway11 - 1Moldova
HNorway1 - 0Finland
ANorway1 - 0Estonia
HNorway3 - 0Italy
ANorway4 - 2Israel
Goal Statistics

Norway have been awful at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 3 consecutive UEFA Nations League matches. This run could continue, with Portugal's PG an impressive 2.0.

Norway have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 9 consecutive UEFA Nations League matches. Their PG of 1.5 against Portugal on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Portugal 2nd Norway 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Portugal will score 1 or more goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Norway will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
Portugal’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+50
Norway have scored 50% more goals when away than predicted
2.3
average goals scored
2.2
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Portugal
PG (predicted goals)
Norway
2
1.5
Attack rating
POR
NOR
30%
better
view stats
Games scored15
19
Failed to score5
1
Scored first10
15
Goals scored42
55
Avg. goals scored2.1
2.8
Avg. shots per game13
11
Avg. shots per goal6
4
Conversion rate for16
25
Avg. XG for2.4
2.4
KickOff rating
+30%
Defence rating
8%
better
POR
NOR
view stats
Games conceded13
15
Clean sheets7
5
Conceded first8
4
Goals conceded18
22
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
8
Conversion rate against10%
13%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.1
KickOff rating
+8%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Portugal v Norway will show here when available.

Portugal UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1501152824
C RonaldoC RonaldoB SilvaC Ronaldo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Ronaldo FWD15811520
23
1
B Silva MID1131428
9
-
B Fernandes MID952926
11
-
R Dias DEF8131
11
-
J Cancelo DEF74129
12
-
R Neves MID6916
7
-
J Félix FWD58135
6
-
N Mendes  DEF5028
4
-
D Costa GLK49
-
R Leão FWD4968
3
1
Vitinha MID444
2
-
D Dalot DEF3834
3
-
J Palhinha MID3821
8
-
P Neto FWD3135
4
-
J Neves MID284
2
-
G Ramos FWD28114
-
G Inácio DEF2222
1
-
F Conceição FWD2143
2
-
R Veiga DEF191
3
-
F Trincão FWD1931
-
T Araújo DEF6
1
-
N Tavares DEF4
1
-
R Silva GLK3
-
F Silva FWD1
1
-
Norway UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7564258
Örjan NylandE HaalandM ØdegaardK Ajer
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Örjan Nyland GLK76
2
-
M Ødegaard MID73525
5
-
S Berge MID7116
5
-
K Ajer DEF572
8
-
E Haaland FWD56647
2
-
P Berg MID502
4
-
J Ryerson DEF4819
3
-
L Østigård DEF422
3
-
K Thorstvedt MID4044
3
1
M Pedersen DEF3513
3
-
A Nusa FWD31912
1
-
J Larsen FWD2964
1
-
F Aursnes MID2813
3
-
D Wolfe DEF2715
3
-
O Bobb FWD2733
1
-
T Heggem DEF21
2
-
A Schjelderup FWD1925
-
T Aasgaard MID1051
-
E Selvik GLK8
-
S Langas DEF4
-
E Botheim FWD2
-
O Björtuft DEF1
-
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Mon 28th Sep, 17:00
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Mon 28th Sep, 17:00
Georgia v Ukraine
Mon 28th Sep, 17:00
N Ireland v Hungary
Mon 28th Sep, 19:45
Sweden v Poland
Mon 28th Sep, 19:45
Romania v Bosnia
Mon 28th Sep, 19:45
Turkey v Italy
Mon 28th Sep, 19:45
Belgium v France
Mon 28th Sep, 19:45
Moldova v Faroes
Tue 29th Sep, 17:00
Finland v Belarus
Tue 29th Sep, 17:00
Luxembourg v Iceland
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Slovakia v Kazakhstan
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
San Marino v Albania
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Bulgaria v Estonia
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Slovenia v Macedonia
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Scotland v Switzerland
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Spain v Croatia
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Czech Rep v England
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Azerbaijan v Liechtenstein
Thu 1st Oct, 17:00
Israel v Kosovo
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Ireland v Austria
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Germany v Serbia
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Greece v Netherlands
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Denmark v Portugal
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Wales v Norway
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Malta v Gibraltar
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Kazakhstan v Moldova
Fri 2nd Oct, 15:00
Cyprus v Armenia
Fri 2nd Oct, 17:00
Latvia v Montenegro
Fri 2nd Oct, 17:00
Faroes v Slovakia
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Ukraine v N Ireland
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Bosnia v Sweden
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Hungary v Georgia
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Poland v Romania
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Belgium v Turkey
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
France v Italy
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Finland v Albania
Sat 3rd Oct, 14:00
Belarus v San Marino
Sat 3rd Oct, 17:00
Iceland v Bulgaria
Sat 3rd Oct, 17:00
Estonia v Luxembourg
Sat 3rd Oct, 17:00
Croatia v England
Sat 3rd Oct, 17:00
Spain v Czech Rep
Sat 3rd Oct, 19:45
Switzerland v Slovenia
Sat 3rd Oct, 19:45
Macedonia v Scotland
Sat 3rd Oct, 19:45
Azerbaijan v Lithuania
Sun 4th Oct, 14:00
Kosovo v Austria
Sun 4th Oct, 17:00
Malta v Andorra
Sun 4th Oct, 17:00
Ireland v Israel
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Netherlands v Serbia
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Portugal v Norway
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Greece v Germany
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Wales v Denmark
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Cyprus v Latvia
Mon 5th Oct, 17:00
Bosnia v Poland
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
Ukraine v Hungary
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
N Ireland v Georgia
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
Romania v Sweden
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
Italy v Turkey
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
France v Belgium
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
Montenegro v Armenia
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
Kazakhstan v Faroes
Tue 6th Oct, 15:00
Croatia v Spain
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
England v Czech Rep
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Scotland v Slovenia
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Switzerland v Macedonia
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Luxembourg v Bulgaria
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Estonia v Iceland
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Moldova v Slovakia
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Belarus v Finland
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Albania v San Marino
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45