Portugal's team badge Norway's team badge

Portugal v Norway : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio do Dragão, Porto

Ståle Solbakken is aiming for a crucial away win in the UEFA Nations League on Sunday evening, as he takes his Norway side to the Estádio do Dragão to visit Portugal and Jorge Fernando Pinheiro de Jesus. In this preview you'll find odds for 17 different betting markets plus predictions, stats and head to head (H2H) data for the two sides. You can access it all using the tabs below.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all UEFA Nations League Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

The last International UEFA Nations League meeting between Portugal and Norway was on Sunday 4th October 2026
International UEFA Nations League
October 4th 2026
Portugal 2
1 Norway
 
J. Cavaco Cancelo 38'36' K. Vassbakk Ajer
G. Ramos 79'
 
POR
NOR
Shots On
7
3
Shots Off
8
4
Corners
6
4
Possession
59%
41%
Fouls
8
7
Yellow/red cards
3/1
 
PortugalNorway
 
D. Meireles Costa
R. Santos Gato Alves Dias
J. Lobo Alves Palhinha Gonçalves (R. Da Silva Neves 63')
B. Fernandes (F. Machado Mota de Castro Trincão 90')
G. Ramosfootball icon
J. Sequeira (N. Varela Tavares 90')
R. Palma Veiga
N. Mendes
J. Cavaco Cancelofootball icon (J. Dalot Teixeira 63')
V. Machado Ferreira (B. Silva 86')
F. Conceição
football iconK. Vassbakk Ajer
L. Skiri Oestigaard
D. Wolfe
(T. Aasgaard 87') P. Berg
F. Aursnes
S. Berge
M. Ødegaard
(J. Strand Larsen 67') E. Haaland
E. Selvik
(O. Bobb 74') A. Nordby Nusa
A. Schjelderup

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

This UEFA Nations League fixture, with Portugal and Norway going head-to-head, offers real intrigue in the popular under 2.5 goals market, with 3 goals or more being scored looking highly likely. Attackers on both sides will look to come out on the front foot and, having studied the relevant statistics and odds, we're confident that a bet on over 2.5 goals is the one to go for.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Portugal are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Portugal
58%
13/20-
Draw
19%
7/2-
Norway
23%
7/2-
Portugal 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
-
Draw 1-1
7%
17/2
19%
-
Portugal 3-1
7%
10/1
15%
-
Draw 2-2
7%
11/1-
Portugal 2-0
6%
11/1
9%
-
Norway 2-1
5%
14/1
15%
-
Portugal 3-2
5%
16/1
11%
-
Portugal 1-0
5%
12/1
18%
-
Portugal 3-0
5%
14/1
12%
-
Portugal 4-1
4%
18/1
17%
-
Norway 3-2
3%
25/1-
Norway 1-0
3%
20/1
24%
-
Portugal 4-2
3%
25/1
24%
-
Portugal 4-0
3%
22/1
21%
-
Norway 3-1
3%
28/1
12%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
74%
4/11
9%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
26%
21/10
24%
-
Home 1st Goal
54%
8/15
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
11/8
3%
-
No 1st Goal
1%
25/1
37%
-
BTTS - Yes
70%
2/5
7%
-
BTTS - No
30%
7/4
10%
-
BTTS - Home Win
37%
8/5
13%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4
6%
-
BTTS - Away Win
16%
5/1-
Home/draw
77%
2/11
6%
-
Away/draw
42%
6/5
13%
-
Home/away
81%
2/11
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
90%
1/10
4%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
10%
6/1
27%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
54%
5/6
17%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
46%
5/6
13%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
34%
2/1
20%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
66%
4/11
9%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
19%
9/2
21%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
81%
1/7
4%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1/80
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
25/1
21%
-
Home DNB
71%
2/7
5%
-
Away DNB
36%
5/2
17%
-
Portugal win to nil
21%
11/4-
Norway win to nil
7%
10/1
22%
-
Portugal / Portugal
34%
6/4
9%
-
Portugal / Norway
3%
25/1
10%
-
Portugal / Draw
7%
12/1-
Draw / Portugal
15%
4/1-
Draw / Norway
8%
9/1
11%
-
Draw / Draw
10%
7/1
14%
-
Norway / Portugal
5%
16/1
11%
-
Norway / Norway
12%
6/1
8%
-
Norway / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
Portugal 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Portugal1 - 0Wales
Portugal0 - 1Spain
Portugal2 - 1Croatia
Portugal5 - 0Uzbekistan
Portugal1 - 1Congo DR
Portugal2 - 1Nigeria
Portugal2 - 1Chile
Portugal9 - 1Armenia
Portugal2 - 2Hungary
Portugal1 - 0Ireland
Portugal2 - 2Spain
Portugal3 - 2Denmark
Portugal5 - 1Poland
Portugal2 - 1Scotland
Portugal2 - 1Croatia
Portugal0 - 0France
Portugal0 - 0Slovenia
Portugal2 - 1Czech Rep
Portugal3 - 0Ireland
Portugal1 - 2Croatia
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APortugal4 - 2Denmark
APortugal2 - 1Norway
HPortugal1 - 0Wales
HPortugal0 - 1Spain
HPortugal2 - 1Croatia
APortugal0 - 0Colombia
HPortugal5 - 0Uzbekistan
HPortugal1 - 1Congo DR
HPortugal2 - 1Nigeria
HPortugal2 - 1Chile
APortugal2 - 0USA
APortugal0 - 0Mexico
HPortugal9 - 1Armenia
APortugal0 - 2Ireland
HPortugal2 - 2Hungary
HPortugal1 - 0Ireland
APortugal3 - 2Hungary
APortugal5 - 0Armenia
HPortugal2 - 2Spain
APortugal2 - 1Germany
Norway 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Wales2 - 1Norway
Brazil1 - 2Norway
Cote d'Ivoire1 - 2Norway
Iraq1 - 4Norway
Morocco1 - 1Norway
Netherlands2 - 1Norway
Italy1 - 4Norway
Estonia0 - 1Norway
Israel2 - 4Norway
Moldova0 - 5Norway
Slovenia1 - 4Norway
Austria5 - 1Norway
Kazakhstan0 - 0Norway
Denmark3 - 1Norway
Scotland3 - 3Norway
Cyprus0 - 4Norway
Georgia1 - 1Norway
Spain3 - 0Norway
Ireland1 - 2Norway
Slovenia2 - 1Norway
Goals: Scored
50
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANorway1 - 2Wales
HNorway1 - 2Portugal
HNorway3 - 2Denmark
HNorway1 - 1England
ANorway2 - 1Brazil
ANorway2 - 1Cote d'Ivoire
HNorway1 - 4France
HNorway3 - 2Senegal
ANorway4 - 1Iraq
ANorway1 - 1Morocco
HNorway3 - 1Sweden
HNorway0 - 0Switzerland
ANorway1 - 2Netherlands
ANorway4 - 1Italy
HNorway4 - 1Estonia
HNorway1 - 1New Zealand
HNorway5 - 0Israel
HNorway11 - 1Moldova
HNorway1 - 0Finland
ANorway1 - 0Estonia
Goal Statistics

Norway have been awful at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 3 consecutive UEFA Nations League games. This run could continue, with Portugal's PG an impressive 2.4.

Norway have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 9 consecutive UEFA Nations League matches. Their PG of 1.5 against Portugal on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Portugal 1st Norway 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.4
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
22%
There is a 69% probability that Portugal will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Norway will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
Portugal’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+41
Norway have scored 41% more goals when away than predicted
2.3
average goals scored
2.1
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Portugal
PG (predicted goals)
Norway
2.4
1.5
Attack rating
POR
NOR
23%
better
view stats
Games scored16
19
Failed to score4
1
Scored first11
14
Goals scored45
50
Avg. goals scored2.3
2.5
Avg. shots per game14
11
Avg. shots per goal6
4
Conversion rate for17
23
Avg. XG for2.3
2.3
KickOff rating
+23%
Defence rating
16%
better
POR
NOR
view stats
Games conceded13
16
Clean sheets7
4
Conceded first7
5
Goals conceded18
24
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
7
Conversion rate against10%
13%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+16%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Portugal v Norway will show here when available.

Portugal UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4322
D CostaG RamosN Mendes J Cancelo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK4
-
J Cancelo DEF42
2
-
R Dias DEF4
1
-
R Veiga DEF4
1
-
N Mendes  DEF42
-
J Palhinha MID3
1
-
F Conceição MID2
1
1
Vitinha MID41
1
-
B Fernandes MID32
1
-
G Ramos FWD431
-
J Félix FWD431
-
Subs
R Silva GLK
-
S Soares GLK
-
T Araújo DEF1
-
N Tavares DEF2
-
D Dalot DEF31
-
B Silva MID2
1
-
J Neves MID3
-
R Neves MID4
1
-
R Leão FWD2
-
F Trincão FWD3
-
P Neto FWD31
-
F Silva FWD
-
Norway UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4342
F AursnesE HaalandM ØdegaardD Wolfe
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Selvik GLK1
-
F Aursnes DEF4
1
-
K Ajer DEF41
1
-
L Østigård DEF3
-
D Wolfe DEF3
1
1
S Berge MID4
-
P Berg MID31
-
A Schjelderup MID4
-
M Ødegaard MID44
1
-
A Nusa MID41
-
E Haaland FWD43
-
Subs
Örjan Nyland GLK3
-
S Tangvik GLK
-
O Björtuft DEF
-
F Sjövold DEF
-
S Langas DEF
-
M Pedersen DEF1
-
O Blomberg MID
-
K Thorstvedt MID1
-
T Aasgaard MID3
-
O Bobb MID42
-
J Larsen FWD3
-
E Botheim FWD
-