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Luxembourg v Bulgaria : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 6th Oct, 19:45 BST, Stade de Luxembourg, Luxembourg

We’ve UEFA Nations League action to enjoy on Tuesday evening, as Jeff Strasser and his Luxembourg side host Aleksandar Dimitrov’s Bulgaria at the Stade de Luxembourg. Statistics drive the predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and switching between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and unique league tables. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Hit the tabs below to see it all.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Luxembourg
46%
--
Draw
27%
--
Bulgaria
28%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Luxembourg 1-0
12%
--
Bulgaria 1-0
9%
--
Luxembourg 2-1
9%
--
Draw 0-0
9%
--
Luxembourg 2-0
9%
--
Bulgaria 2-1
7%
--
Bulgaria 2-0
5%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Luxembourg 3-1
4%
--
Luxembourg 3-0
4%
--
Bulgaria 3-1
2%
--
Luxembourg 3-2
2%
--
Bulgaria 3-0
2%
--
Bulgaria 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
--
Home 1st Goal
51%
--
Away 1st Goal
44%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
48%
--
BTTS - No
52%
--
BTTS - Home Win
19%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
12%
--
Home/draw
72%
--
Away/draw
54%
--
Home/away
73%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
--
Home DNB
64%
--
Away DNB
46%
--
Luxembourg win to nil
27%
--
Bulgaria win to nil
16%
--
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Luxembourg 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Luxembourg0 - 1Italy
Luxembourg3 - 0Malta
Luxembourg0 - 2Germany
Luxembourg0 - 1Slovakia
Luxembourg1 - 3N Ireland
Luxembourg0 - 0Ireland
Luxembourg0 - 1Slovenia
Luxembourg1 - 0Sweden
Luxembourg2 - 2N Ireland
Luxembourg0 - 1Bulgaria
Luxembourg0 - 1Belarus
Luxembourg2 - 1Kazakhstan
Luxembourg4 - 1Bosnia
Luxembourg0 - 1Slovakia
Luxembourg3 - 1Iceland
Luxembourg2 - 0Liechtenstein
Luxembourg0 - 1Malta
Luxembourg0 - 6Portugal
Luxembourg0 - 0Bulgaria
Luxembourg2 - 2Hungary
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
8 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
12 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALuxembourg1 - 0Albania
HLuxembourg0 - 1Italy
HLuxembourg3 - 0Malta
ALuxembourg2 - 0Malta
ALuxembourg0 - 1N Ireland
HLuxembourg0 - 2Germany
ALuxembourg0 - 2Slovakia
ALuxembourg0 - 4Germany
HLuxembourg0 - 1Slovakia
HLuxembourg1 - 3N Ireland
HLuxembourg0 - 0Ireland
HLuxembourg0 - 1Slovenia
ALuxembourg1 - 3Switzerland
HLuxembourg1 - 0Sweden
HLuxembourg2 - 2N Ireland
HLuxembourg0 - 1Bulgaria
ALuxembourg1 - 1Belarus
ALuxembourg0 - 0Bulgaria
HLuxembourg0 - 1Belarus
ALuxembourg0 - 2N Ireland
Bulgaria 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Moldova2 - 2Bulgaria
Indonesia0 - 1Bulgaria
Solomon Isl2 - 10Bulgaria
Turkey2 - 0Bulgaria
Spain4 - 0Bulgaria
Georgia3 - 0Bulgaria
Greece4 - 0Bulgaria
Ireland2 - 1Bulgaria
Luxembourg0 - 1Bulgaria
N Ireland5 - 0Bulgaria
Belarus0 - 0Bulgaria
Slovenia1 - 1Bulgaria
Romania0 - 0Bulgaria
Azerbaijan1 - 1Bulgaria
Tanzania0 - 1Bulgaria
Serbia2 - 2Bulgaria
Albania2 - 0Bulgaria
Montenegro2 - 1Bulgaria
Lithuania1 - 1Bulgaria
Hungary3 - 0Bulgaria
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABulgaria2 - 2Moldova
HBulgaria0 - 1Montenegro
ABulgaria1 - 0Indonesia
ABulgaria10 - 2Solomon Isl
HBulgaria2 - 1Georgia
ABulgaria0 - 2Turkey
ABulgaria0 - 4Spain
HBulgaria1 - 6Turkey
ABulgaria0 - 3Georgia
HBulgaria0 - 3Spain
ABulgaria0 - 4Greece
HBulgaria2 - 2Cyprus
ABulgaria1 - 2Ireland
HBulgaria1 - 2Ireland
HBulgaria1 - 1Belarus
ABulgaria1 - 0Luxembourg
ABulgaria0 - 5N Ireland
HBulgaria0 - 0Luxembourg
HBulgaria1 - 0N Ireland
ABulgaria0 - 0Belarus
Goal Statistics

Luxembourg's defensive record is very strong, J. Strasser's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive UEFA Nations League games. An average PG rating of 1.0 for Bulgaria makes sense in this context.

Luxembourg 4th Bulgaria 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Luxembourg will score no more than 1 goal
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Bulgaria will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Luxembourg’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-35
Bulgaria have scored 35% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Luxembourg
PG (predicted goals)
Bulgaria
1.4
1
Attack rating
LUX
BUL
52%
better
view stats
Games scored6
11
Failed to score12
9
Scored first2
10
Goals scored7
23
Avg. goals scored0.4
1.2
Avg. shots per game6
7
Avg. shots per goal18
6
Conversion rate for6
17
Avg. XG for0.7
0.5
KickOff rating
+52%
Defence rating
7%
better
LUX
BUL
view stats
Games conceded14
15
Clean sheets4
5
Conceded first14
8
Goals conceded25
40
Avg. goals conceded1.3
2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against14%
20%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.7
KickOff rating
+7%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Luxembourg v Bulgaria will show here when available.

Luxembourg UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
104161119
L JansD SinaniD SinaniL Barreiro
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Jans DEF10812
18
-
D Sinani MID801611
14
1
A Moris GLK791
3
-
L Barreiro MID7125
19
-
D Carlson DEF672
15
1
F Bohnert DEF5914
12
-
V Thill MID5556
12
-
V Thill MID5032
5
1
S Thill MID452
-
M Martins DEF4131
7
-
E Mahmutovic DEF39
9
-
M Olesen MID3921
6
-
J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz MID151
2
-
V Selimovic DEF131
7
2
E Dzogovic DEF13
2
-
T Rupil MID12
1
-
A. Dardari FWD121
-
E Veiga DEF10
1
-
T Cardoso GLK7
-
E. de Pina Duarte dos Santos MID4
1
-
J Pereira FWD3
-
F. Miguel MID1
-
H. Kadamani FWD1
-
Bulgaria UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26725
I GruevM PetkovZ DimitrovI Gruev
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Minchev FWD29
1
-
I Gruev MID27
5
-
M Petkov FWD2571
5
-
K Dimitrov DEF231
3
-
I Turitsov DEF231
3
-
G Rusev FWD224
3
-
A Kraev MID201
5
-
D Mitov GLK15
1
-
A Hristov DEF141
3
-
D Velkovski DEF13
2
-
D Naumov GLK12
-
H Petrov DEF12
1
-
V Nikolov FWD113
1
-
Z Dimitrov FWD112
-
Y Stoyanov MID9
-
L Petkov FWD9
2
-
B Tsonev MID6
2
-
S Ivanov FWD6
-
E. Tsenov DEF5
1
-
K. Stoyanov Stoyanov MID4
-
T. Valentinov Ivanov DEF3
-
S Velkov DEF2
-
P. Hristov Panayotov MID1
-
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Romania v Bosnia
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Turkey v Italy
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Belgium v France
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Moldova v Faroes
Tue 29th Sep, 17:00
Finland v Belarus
Tue 29th Sep, 17:00
Luxembourg v Iceland
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Slovakia v Kazakhstan
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
San Marino v Albania
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Bulgaria v Estonia
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Slovenia v Macedonia
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Scotland v Switzerland
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Spain v Croatia
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Czech Rep v England
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Azerbaijan v Liechtenstein
Thu 1st Oct, 17:00
Israel v Kosovo
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Ireland v Austria
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Germany v Serbia
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Greece v Netherlands
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Denmark v Portugal
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Wales v Norway
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Malta v Gibraltar
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Kazakhstan v Moldova
Fri 2nd Oct, 15:00
Cyprus v Armenia
Fri 2nd Oct, 17:00
Latvia v Montenegro
Fri 2nd Oct, 17:00
Faroes v Slovakia
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Ukraine v N Ireland
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Bosnia v Sweden
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Hungary v Georgia
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Poland v Romania
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Belgium v Turkey
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
France v Italy
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Finland v Albania
Sat 3rd Oct, 14:00
Belarus v San Marino
Sat 3rd Oct, 17:00
Iceland v Bulgaria
Sat 3rd Oct, 17:00
Estonia v Luxembourg
Sat 3rd Oct, 17:00
Croatia v England
Sat 3rd Oct, 17:00
Spain v Czech Rep
Sat 3rd Oct, 19:45
Switzerland v Slovenia
Sat 3rd Oct, 19:45
Macedonia v Scotland
Sat 3rd Oct, 19:45
Azerbaijan v Lithuania
Sun 4th Oct, 14:00
Kosovo v Austria
Sun 4th Oct, 17:00
Malta v Andorra
Sun 4th Oct, 17:00
Ireland v Israel
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Netherlands v Serbia
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Portugal v Norway
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Greece v Germany
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Wales v Denmark
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Cyprus v Latvia
Mon 5th Oct, 17:00
Bosnia v Poland
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
Ukraine v Hungary
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
N Ireland v Georgia
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
Romania v Sweden
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
Italy v Turkey
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
France v Belgium
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
Montenegro v Armenia
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
Kazakhstan v Faroes
Tue 6th Oct, 15:00
Croatia v Spain
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
England v Czech Rep
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Scotland v Slovenia
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Switzerland v Macedonia
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Luxembourg v Bulgaria
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Estonia v Iceland
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Moldova v Slovakia
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Belarus v Finland
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Albania v San Marino
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45