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Luxembourg v Bulgaria : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 6th Oct, 19:45 BST, Stade de Luxembourg, Luxembourg

Bulgaria, led by manager Atanas Ribarski, visit Jeff Strasser and his Luxembourg side at the Stade de Luxembourg on Tuesday evening in the UEFA Nations League. Quite simply, we want you to win betting on this game. To this end, statistics for the biggest betting market have been laid out below, with head to head (H2H) records and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also given.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We can expect some goalmouth action in this one, but don't count on an all-time classic. Under 3.5 goals is the prediction, meaning there will be no more than 3 goals scored during the standard 90 minutes. The best odds are below, followed by recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Explore the winning strategies and tips from expert correct score tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Luxembourg
42%
2.20
20%
-
Draw
28%
3.25
13%
-
Bulgaria
30%
3.10
11%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
6.50
13%
-
Luxembourg 1-0
13%
6.00-
Bulgaria 1-0
10%
7.50
12%
-
Draw 0-0
10%
7.00
18%
-
Luxembourg 2-1
8%
10.00
5%
-
Luxembourg 2-0
8%
9.50
19%
-
Bulgaria 2-1
7%
13.00-
Bulgaria 2-0
5%
15.00
21%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
19.00
10%
-
Luxembourg 3-1
4%
21.00
11%
-
Luxembourg 3-0
3%
21.00
40%
-
Bulgaria 3-1
2%
34.00-
Luxembourg 3-2
2%
41.00
21%
-
Bulgaria 3-0
2%
34.00
17%
-
Bulgaria 3-2
1%
41.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
2.50
11%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
1.50
7%
-
Home 1st Goal
50%
1.83
10%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
2.30
8%
-
No 1st Goal
7%
7.00
18%
-
BTTS - Yes
46%
2.20-
BTTS - No
54%
1.62-
BTTS - Home Win
16%
6.00
26%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
5.00
17%
-
BTTS - Away Win
12%
8.00
6%
-
Home/draw
70%
1.36
11%
-
Away/draw
58%
1.62
10%
-
Home/away
72%
1.33
11%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
1.50
7%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
33%
2.50
9%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
4.50
4%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
1.17
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
8.50
6%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1.05
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
13.00
8%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1.01
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1.10
5%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
6.50
24%
-
Home DNB
62%
1.57
12%
-
Away DNB
49%
2.25
18%
-
Luxembourg win to nil
26%
3.40
24%
-
Bulgaria win to nil
18%
5.00
9%
-
Luxembourg / Luxembourg
23%
3.60
25%
-
Luxembourg / Bulgaria
2%
41.00
21%
-
Luxembourg / Draw
5%
17.00-
Draw / Luxembourg
17%
5.00
5%
-
Draw / Bulgaria
12%
7.00
18%
-
Draw / Draw
19%
4.33
9%
-
Bulgaria / Luxembourg
2%
34.00
17%
-
Bulgaria / Bulgaria
15%
5.50
21%
-
Bulgaria / Draw
5%
17.00-
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Correct score form
Luxembourg 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
2-0
3-0
3-1
6-0
-2
or more
1-0
1-0
1-0
1-0
1-0
1-0
1-0
-1
goal
0-0
0-0
2-2
x
1-0
2-1
+1
goal
2-0
3-0
3-1
4-1
+2
or more
2-0
2-0
3-0
3-1
3-1
4-0
-2
or more
1-0
1-0
1-0
1-0
1-0
1-0
-1
goal
0-0
1-1
2-2
x
1-0
1-0
2-1
+1
goal
2-0
3-0
+2
or more
Bulgaria 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
2-0
2-0
3-0
3-0
4-0
4-0
5-0
-2
or more
2-1
2-1
-1
goal
0-0
0-0
1-1
1-1
1-1
2-2
2-2
x
1-0
1-0
1-0
+1
goal
10-2
+2
or more
2-0
3-0
3-0
3-0
4-0
4-0
5-0
6-1
-2
or more
1-0
2-1
2-1
2-1
-1
goal
0-0
1-1
2-2
2-2
x
1-0
1-0
2-1
+1
goal
10-2
+2
or more
Correct score head to head (H2H)
League games at Luxembourg since 2006
BUL + 2
or more
1-0
1-0
BUL + 1
goal
x
LUX + 1
goal
LUX + 2
or more
League games at Bulgaria since 2007
BUL + 2
or more
2-1
BUL + 1
goal
0-0
x
LUX + 1
goal
3-0
LUX + 2
or more
Goal Statistics

Luxembourg's defensive record is very strong, J. Strasser's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive UEFA Nations League games. An average PG rating of 1.0 for Bulgaria makes sense in this context.

Luxembourg 3rd Bulgaria 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Luxembourg will score no more than 1 goal
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Bulgaria will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-3
Luxembourg’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-40
Bulgaria have scored 40% fewer goals when away than predicted
0.9
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Luxembourg
PG (predicted goals)
Bulgaria
1.3
1
Attack rating
LUX
BUL
45%
better
view stats
Games scored7
11
Failed to score11
9
Scored first2
10
Goals scored9
23
Avg. goals scored0.5
1.2
Avg. shots per game7
7
Avg. shots per goal15
6
Conversion rate for7
17
Avg. XG for0.8
0.6
KickOff rating
+45%
Defence rating
12%
better
LUX
BUL
view stats
Games conceded15
17
Clean sheets3
3
Conceded first15
9
Goals conceded27
45
Avg. goals conceded1.4
2.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against15%
22%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.8
KickOff rating
+12%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Luxembourg v Bulgaria will show here when available.

Luxembourg UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
105161119
L JansD SinaniD SinaniL Barreiro
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Jans DEF10912
18
-
D Sinani MID811611
14
1
A Moris GLK801
3
-
L Barreiro MID7235
19
-
D Carlson DEF682
16
1
F Bohnert DEF6014
12
-
V Thill MID5666
12
-
V Thill MID5032
5
1
S Thill MID462
-
M Martins DEF4131
7
-
E Mahmutovic DEF40
9
-
M Olesen MID4021
6
-
J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz MID161
3
-
V Selimovic DEF131
7
2
E Dzogovic DEF13
2
-
T Rupil MID13
1
-
A. Dardari FWD131
-
E Veiga DEF10
1
-
T Cardoso GLK7
-
E. de Pina Duarte dos Santos MID4
1
-
J Pereira FWD4
-
S Ikene DEF2
-
F. Miguel MID2
-
H. Kadamani FWD21
-
Bulgaria UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27425
I GruevG RusevZ DimitrovI Gruev
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Minchev FWD30
1
-
I Gruev MID28
5
-
K Dimitrov DEF241
3
-
I Turitsov DEF241
3
-
G Rusev FWD234
3
-
A Kraev MID201
5
-
D Mitov GLK15
1
-
D Velkovski DEF141
2
-
A Hristov DEF141
3
-
D Naumov GLK13
-
H Petrov DEF12
1
-
Z Dimitrov FWD122
-
V Nikolov FWD113
1
-
L Petkov FWD10
3
-
Y Stoyanov MID9
-
S Ivanov FWD7
-
E. Tsenov DEF6
2
-
B Tsonev MID6
2
-
K. Stoyanov Stoyanov MID4
-
S Velkov DEF3
-
P. Hristov Panayotov MID2
-
A Chandarov MID11
-