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Italy v Turkey : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 5th Oct, 19:45 BST, Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna

It's a long trek for Vincenzo Montella's Turkey side on Monday evening, as they head to the Renato Dall'Ara for a UEFA Nations League tie with Roberto Mancini's Italy. Stats for our tip of are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Switching the market using the tabs below changes all statistics and the odds, allowing you do find the bet that suits you best.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Italy
38%
--
Draw
23%
--
Turkey
39%
--
Draw 1-1
10%
--
Turkey 2-1
8%
--
Italy 2-1
8%
--
Draw 2-2
7%
--
Turkey 1-0
6%
--
Italy 1-0
6%
--
Turkey 2-0
5%
--
Italy 2-0
5%
--
Turkey 3-1
5%
--
Italy 3-1
4%
--
Draw 0-0
4%
--
Turkey 3-2
4%
--
Italy 3-2
4%
--
Turkey 3-0
3%
--
Italy 3-0
3%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
36%
--
Home 1st Goal
49%
--
Away 1st Goal
49%
--
No 1st Goal
2%
--
BTTS - Yes
65%
--
BTTS - No
35%
--
BTTS - Home Win
22%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
23%
--
Home/draw
61%
--
Away/draw
62%
--
Home/away
77%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
59%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
--
Home DNB
54%
--
Away DNB
55%
--
Italy win to nil
15%
--
Turkey win to nil
16%
--
Win / draw / win form
Italy 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
Turkey 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
Goal Statistics

Italy have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 11 consecutive UEFA Nations League games. Their PG of 1.6 against Turkey on Monday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Italy 4th Turkey 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Italy will score 1 or more goals
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Turkey will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Italy’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+33
Turkey have scored 33% more goals when away than predicted
2.1
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Italy
PG (predicted goals)
Turkey
1.6
1.7
Attack rating
24%
better
ITA
TUR
view stats
Games scored18
14
Failed to score1
5
Scored first15
9
Goals scored40
37
Avg. goals scored2
1.9
Avg. shots per game11
12
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for17
15
Avg. XG for2
1.6
KickOff rating
+24%
Defence rating
12%
better
ITA
TUR
view stats
Games conceded11
13
Clean sheets8
6
Conceded first4
9
Goals conceded25
24
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against16%
15%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.1
KickOff rating
+12%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Italy v Turkey will show here when available.

Italy UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
82131012
G DonnarummaM KeanN Barella N Barella 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Donnarumma GLK84
6
-
N Barella  MID711010
12
-
G Lorenzo DEF5454
7
-
G Raspadori FWD46118
-
A Bastoni DEF433
7
1
D Frattesi MID3583
3
-
S Tonali MID3345
6
-
M Kean FWD27132
2
-
G Scamacca FWD221
-
G Mancini DEF212
4
-
N Zaniolo FWD1921
6
-
R Calafiori DEF151
2
-
S Ricci MID11
-
F. Esposito FWD105
1
-
G Scalvini DEF9
2
-
D Maldini MID7
2
-
N Fagioli MID6
1
-
G Vicario GLK5
-
D Coppola DEF3
-
H. Ahanor DEF2
1
-
N Cambiaghi FWD2
-
R Mandragora  MID1
-
I. Doumbia MID1
-
A. Romano MID1
-
S. Inacio FWD1
-
M. ZOma FWD1
-
Turkey UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
55151011
M DemiralK AktürkogluO KökcüM Demiral
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Demiral DEF6664
11
-
Z Celik DEF6332
11
-
K Aktürkoglu FWD54155
7
-
O Kökcü MID53410
8
-
I Kahveci  MID4863
8
-
U Cakir GLK431
3
1
B Yılmaz FWD3953
4
1
I Yüksek MID3512
8
-
A Güler MID3478
7
-
F Kadioglu DEF332
1
-
S Özcan MID3311
6
-
A Bardakci DEF3122
8
-
O Kabak DEF312
6
-
E Elmali  DEF262
1
-
Y Akgün FWD2142
2
-
S Akaydin DEF2011
3
-
A Bayındır GLK13
2
-
O Aydın FWD135
1
-
D Gül FWD112
1
-
C Uzun MID911
-
M Eskihellac DEF3
1
-
D Tıknaz MID3
-
E Topçu DEF2
-
A Şimşir FWD2
-
M Şengezer GLK1
-
M Kabasakal MID1
-
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Bulgaria v Luxembourg
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Albania v Belarus
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Czech Rep v Croatia
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Sun 27th Sep, 17:00
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Mon 28th Sep, 17:00
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Mon 28th Sep, 17:00
Georgia v Ukraine
Mon 28th Sep, 17:00
N Ireland v Hungary
Mon 28th Sep, 19:45
Sweden v Poland
Mon 28th Sep, 19:45
Romania v Bosnia
Mon 28th Sep, 19:45
Turkey v Italy
Mon 28th Sep, 19:45
Belgium v France
Mon 28th Sep, 19:45
Moldova v Faroes
Tue 29th Sep, 17:00
Finland v Belarus
Tue 29th Sep, 17:00
Luxembourg v Iceland
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Slovakia v Kazakhstan
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
San Marino v Albania
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Bulgaria v Estonia
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Slovenia v Macedonia
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Scotland v Switzerland
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Spain v Croatia
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Czech Rep v England
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Azerbaijan v Liechtenstein
Thu 1st Oct, 17:00
Israel v Kosovo
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Ireland v Austria
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Germany v Serbia
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Greece v Netherlands
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Denmark v Portugal
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Wales v Norway
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Malta v Gibraltar
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Kazakhstan v Moldova
Fri 2nd Oct, 15:00
Cyprus v Armenia
Fri 2nd Oct, 17:00
Latvia v Montenegro
Fri 2nd Oct, 17:00
Faroes v Slovakia
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Ukraine v N Ireland
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Bosnia v Sweden
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Hungary v Georgia
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Poland v Romania
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Belgium v Turkey
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
France v Italy
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Finland v Albania
Sat 3rd Oct, 14:00
Belarus v San Marino
Sat 3rd Oct, 17:00
Iceland v Bulgaria
Sat 3rd Oct, 17:00
Estonia v Luxembourg
Sat 3rd Oct, 17:00
Croatia v England
Sat 3rd Oct, 17:00
Spain v Czech Rep
Sat 3rd Oct, 19:45
Switzerland v Slovenia
Sat 3rd Oct, 19:45
Macedonia v Scotland
Sat 3rd Oct, 19:45
Azerbaijan v Lithuania
Sun 4th Oct, 14:00
Kosovo v Austria
Sun 4th Oct, 17:00
Malta v Andorra
Sun 4th Oct, 17:00
Ireland v Israel
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Netherlands v Serbia
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Portugal v Norway
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Greece v Germany
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Wales v Denmark
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Cyprus v Latvia
Mon 5th Oct, 17:00
Bosnia v Poland
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
Ukraine v Hungary
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
N Ireland v Georgia
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
Romania v Sweden
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
Italy v Turkey
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
France v Belgium
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
Montenegro v Armenia
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
Kazakhstan v Faroes
Tue 6th Oct, 15:00
Croatia v Spain
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
England v Czech Rep
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Scotland v Slovenia
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Switzerland v Macedonia
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Luxembourg v Bulgaria
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Estonia v Iceland
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Moldova v Slovakia
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Belarus v Finland
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Albania v San Marino
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45