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Italy v Turkey : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna

Monday evening sees Roberto Mancini’s Italy and Vincenzo Montella’s Turkey go head to head in a UEFA Nations League battle at the Renato Dall'Ara. You'll find statistics supporting our top of Italy to win below, but be sure to take a look at the 16 other betting markets we're covering too. We aim to give you as full a picture as possible, with UEFA Nations League performances and head-to-heads included, so that you feel able to make a well-informed bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from leading bookmakers.

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The last International UEFA Nations League meeting between Italy and Turkey was on Monday 5th October 2026
International UEFA Nations League
October 5th 2026
Italy 3
1 Turkey
 
G. Scamacca 26'61' D. Simsir
R. Calafiori 64'
F. Esposito 87'
 
ITA
TUR
Shots On
6
5
Shots Off
2
5
Corners
3
9
Possession
45%
55%
Fouls
11
9
Yellow/red cards
2/0
2/0
 
ItalyTurkey
 
G. Donnarumma
M. Ruggeri (R. Calafiori 56')
A. Bastoni
A. Romano
G. Scamaccafootball icon (F. Esposito 56')
G. Di Lorenzo (M. Kayode 55')
G. Mancini
I. Doumbia
D. Maldini
N. Barella (S. Tonali 70')
A. Vergara (D. Frattesi 84')
U. Çakır
M. Çelik
S. Özcan
(B. Elmaz 70') İ. Kahveci
E. Elmalı
A. Bardakcı
O. Kabak
(O. Aydın 88') F. Kadıoğlu
(M. Aktürkoğlu 79') İ. Yüksek
(D. Gül 88') Y. Akgün
(I. Fakili 70') football iconD. Simsir

Best Tip: Italy to win

We are predicting Italy will come out on top after 90 mins on Monday in the win / draw / win market. The recent form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) data below all suggest that they are more than capable of getting the job done and, as favourites with the bookies, the odds back that up too. It should be great moment for the home supporters when the game draws to a close at Renato Dall'Ara.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Italy are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 66% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 0.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Italy
66%
4/7-
Draw
19%
10/3-
Turkey
15%
17/4-
Italy 2-0
10%
7/1
11%
-
Italy 2-1
10%
15/2-
Italy 1-0
10%
15/2
16%
-
Draw 1-1
9%
7/1
6%
-
Italy 3-0
8%
11/1-
Italy 3-1
7%
11/1
9%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1-
Draw 0-0
4%
14/1
21%
-
Turkey 2-1
4%
16/1-
Turkey 1-0
4%
16/1
19%
-
Italy 4-0
4%
20/1
11%
-
Italy 4-1
4%
20/1
11%
-
Italy 3-2
3%
20/1
11%
-
Turkey 2-0
2%
28/1
15%
-
Italy 4-2
2%
40/1
21%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
4/6
10%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
23/20
12%
-
Home 1st Goal
58%
1/2
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
40%
7/4-
No 1st Goal
3%
14/1
21%
-
BTTS - Yes
54%
8/11
7%
-
BTTS - No
46%
1/1
9%
-
BTTS - Home Win
31%
21/10
13%
-
BTTS - Draw
15%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
8/1-
Home/draw
85%
1/6
4%
-
Away/draw
34%
13/10
10%
-
Home/away
81%
1/5-
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1/5
5%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
10/3
21%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
13/8
20%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
4/9
11%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
4/1
20%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1/6
6%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
9/1
43%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/16
4%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/40
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/1
21%
-
Home DNB
79%
2/9
3%
-
Away DNB
29%
3/1
11%
-
Italy win to nil
34%
7/4
8%
-
Turkey win to nil
7%
10/1
15%
-
Italy / Italy
38%
11/8
5%
-
Italy / Turkey
2%
33/1-
Italy / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Italy
19%
7/2-
Draw / Turkey
6%
10/1
8%
-
Draw / Draw
12%
11/2
13%
-
Turkey / Italy
4%
18/1
12%
-
Turkey / Turkey
8%
8/1-
Turkey / Draw
5%
16/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Italy 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Italy0 - 2Belgium
Italy2 - 0N Ireland
Italy1 - 4Norway
Italy3 - 0Israel
Italy5 - 0Estonia
Italy2 - 0Moldova
Italy1 - 2Germany
Italy1 - 3France
Italy4 - 1Israel
Italy2 - 2Belgium
Italy2 - 1Albania
Italy1 - 0Bosnia
Italy0 - 0Turkey
Italy2 - 1Venezuela
Italy5 - 2Macedonia
Italy4 - 0Malta
Italy2 - 1Ukraine
Italy1 - 2England
Italy1 - 0England
Italy2 - 1Hungary
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AItaly1 - 1France
AItaly4 - 1Turkey
HItaly0 - 2Belgium
AItaly1 - 0Greece
AItaly1 - 0Luxembourg
AItaly1 - 1Bosnia
HItaly2 - 0N Ireland
HItaly1 - 4Norway
AItaly2 - 0Moldova
HItaly3 - 0Israel
AItaly3 - 1Estonia
AItaly5 - 4Israel
HItaly5 - 0Estonia
HItaly2 - 0Moldova
AItaly0 - 3Norway
AItaly3 - 3Germany
HItaly1 - 2Germany
HItaly1 - 3France
AItaly1 - 0Belgium
HItaly4 - 1Israel
Turkey 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Belgium3 - 0Turkey
Australia2 - 0Turkey
Venezuela1 - 2Turkey
Kosovo0 - 1Turkey
Spain2 - 2Turkey
Bulgaria1 - 6Turkey
Georgia2 - 3Turkey
Mexico1 - 0Turkey
USA1 - 2Turkey
Hungary0 - 3Turkey
Montenegro3 - 1Turkey
Iceland2 - 4Turkey
Wales0 - 0Turkey
Netherlands2 - 1Turkey
Austria1 - 2Turkey
Czech Rep1 - 2Turkey
Poland2 - 1Turkey
Italy0 - 0Turkey
Austria6 - 1Turkey
Hungary1 - 0Turkey
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
12
D
1
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ATurkey0 - 3Belgium
HTurkey1 - 4Italy
HTurkey0 - 1France
HTurkey3 - 2USA
HTurkey0 - 1Paraguay
ATurkey0 - 2Australia
ATurkey2 - 1Venezuela
HTurkey4 - 0Macedonia
ATurkey1 - 0Kosovo
HTurkey1 - 0Romania
ATurkey2 - 2Spain
HTurkey2 - 0Bulgaria
HTurkey4 - 1Georgia
ATurkey6 - 1Bulgaria
HTurkey0 - 6Spain
ATurkey3 - 2Georgia
ATurkey0 - 1Mexico
ATurkey2 - 1USA
ATurkey3 - 0Hungary
HTurkey3 - 1Hungary
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.2 is fairly strong for Italy in their clash with Turkey, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 20 consecutive UEFA Nations League games.

Italy 2nd Turkey 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
18%
There is a 64% probability that Italy will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Turkey scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Italy’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+28
Turkey have scored 28% more goals when away than predicted
2.1
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Italy
PG (predicted goals)
Turkey
2.2
0.9
Attack rating
23%
better
ITA
TUR
view stats
Games scored18
14
Failed to score2
6
Scored first14
9
Goals scored41
37
Avg. goals scored2.1
1.9
Avg. shots per game12
12
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for17
15
Avg. XG for2
1.5
KickOff rating
+23%
Defence rating
20%
better
ITA
TUR
view stats
Games conceded12
15
Clean sheets8
5
Conceded first6
11
Goals conceded26
29
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
16%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+20%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Italy v Turkey will show here when available.

Italy UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4211
G DonnarummaA BastoniM RuggeriG Donnarumma
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Donnarumma GLK4
1
-
G Lorenzo DEF3
-
G Mancini DEF2
1
-
A Bastoni DEF32
1
-
M Ruggeri DEF21
1
-
N Barella  MID31
-
A. Romano MID31
-
I. Doumbia MID4
-
A Vergara FWD2
1
-
G Scamacca FWD31
1
-
D Maldini FWD3
1
-
Subs
M Kayode311
-
R Calafiori31
-
N Cambiaghi2
-
S Tonali41
-
F. Esposito421
-
N Fagioli2
1
-
M Carnesecchi
-
G Vicario
-
S. Inacio
-
D Frattesi41
-
G Scalvini3
-
S Esposito2
-
Turkey UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4112
Z CelikA ŞimşirE Elmali A Bardakci
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
U Cakir GLK3
1
Z Celik DEF4
1
-
A Bardakci DEF4
2
-
O Kabak DEF2
1
-
F Kadioglu DEF3
-
E Elmali  MID31
1
-
S Özcan MID4
1
-
I Yüksek MID4
-
A Şimşir FWD11
-
Y Akgün FWD2
-
I Kahveci  FWD1
-
Subs
D Gül4
-
I. Fakili2
-
A Bayındır2
-
M Kabasakal1
-
O Aydın41
-
M Eskihellac
-
M Şengezer
-
M Demiral3
1
-
E Topçu
-
B Elmaz2
-
K Aktürkoglu4
-
D Tıknaz2
-
International UEFA Nations League match betting previews, predictions and odds