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Norway v Portugal : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 27th Sep, 19:45 BST, Ullevaal Stadion, Oslo

We’ve UEFA Nations League action to enjoy on Sunday evening, as Ståle Solbakken and his Norway side host Jorge Fernando Pinheiro de Jesus’s Portugal at the Ullevaal Stadion. The odds you see on the page are provided directly from top bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. We focus especially on UEFA Nations League match data, including head-to-head performance. Explore it all using the tabs below.


Best Tip: Both teams to score

Norway should have reason to feel positive ahead of this game and, funnily enough, so might Portugal. The bookies can't split them and neither can we – there's no clear victor in this tie. So we look to the both teams to score market, where there's far more clarity. The form statistics, past head-to-head (H2H) records and bookies odds below are all pointing towards both sides scoring, and we think that's the tip to go with here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Norway are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Norway
41%
2.50
9%
-
Draw
23%
3.60
3%
-
Portugal
37%
2.63
14%
-
Draw 1-1
10%
7.50
7%
-
Norway 2-1
8%
10.00
9%
-
Portugal 2-1
8%
11.00
16%
-
Draw 2-2
7%
10.00
17%
-
Norway 1-0
6%
13.00
8%
-
Portugal 1-0
5%
15.00
36%
-
Norway 2-0
5%
17.00-
Norway 3-1
5%
17.00
19%
-
Portugal 2-0
5%
17.00
31%
-
Portugal 3-1
4%
19.00
12%
-
Norway 3-2
4%
21.00
9%
-
Portugal 3-2
4%
21.00-
Draw 0-0
3%
19.00
27%
-
Norway 3-0
3%
26.00
10%
-
Portugal 3-0
2%
29.00
26%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
1.50
9%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
34%
2.50
14%
-
Home 1st Goal
49%
1.83
9%
-
Away 1st Goal
49%
1.91
4%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
19.00
27%
-
BTTS - Yes
67%
1.40
9%
-
BTTS - No
33%
2.75
16%
-
BTTS - Home Win
25%
4.00
16%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.00
8%
-
BTTS - Away Win
23%
4.00-
Home/draw
63%
1.44
8%
-
Away/draw
59%
1.50
7%
-
Home/away
77%
1.29-
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
1.14
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
14%
5.50
22%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
45%
2.20
16%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
55%
1.62
13%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
26%
3.75
17%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
74%
1.25
6%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
7.00
30%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
1.10
4%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1.02
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
19.00
27%
-
Home DNB
57%
1.83
9%
-
Away DNB
52%
1.83
6%
-
Norway win to nil
16%
6.00-
Portugal win to nil
14%
6.00
33%
-
Norway / Norway
21%
4.00
11%
-
Norway / Portugal
4%
21.00
9%
-
Norway / Draw
6%
13.00-
Draw / Norway
13%
6.50
7%
-
Draw / Portugal
13%
6.50
8%
-
Draw / Draw
13%
6.50
8%
-
Portugal / Norway
4%
21.00
19%
-
Portugal / Portugal
21%
4.00
7%
-
Portugal / Draw
6%
13.00-
Win / draw / win form
Norway 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
53
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
Goals: Scored
55
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
Portugal 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
Goal Statistics

Norway have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 9 consecutive UEFA Nations League outings. Their PG of 1.7 against Portugal on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Norway 1st Portugal 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Norway will score 1 or more goals
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Portugal will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+57
Norway have scored 57% more goals at home than predicted
-26
Portugal have scored 26% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.7
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
0.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Norway
PG (predicted goals)
Portugal
1.8
1.7
Attack rating
30%
better
NOR
POR
view stats
Games scored19
15
Failed to score1
5
Scored first15
10
Goals scored55
42
Avg. goals scored2.8
2.1
Avg. shots per game11
13
Avg. shots per goal4
6
Conversion rate for25
16
Avg. XG for2.4
2.4
KickOff rating
+30%
Defence rating
NOR
POR
8%
better
view stats
Games conceded15
13
Clean sheets5
7
Conceded first4
8
Goals conceded22
18
Avg. goals conceded1.1
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
10
Conversion rate against13%
10%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.3
KickOff rating
+8%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Norway v Portugal will show here when available.

Norway UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7564258
Örjan NylandE HaalandM ØdegaardK Ajer
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Örjan Nyland GLK76
2
-
M Ødegaard MID73525
5
-
S Berge MID7116
5
-
K Ajer DEF572
8
-
E Haaland FWD56647
2
-
P Berg MID502
4
-
J Ryerson DEF4819
3
-
L Østigård DEF422
3
-
K Thorstvedt MID4044
3
1
M Pedersen DEF3513
3
-
A Nusa FWD31912
1
-
J Larsen FWD2964
1
-
F Aursnes MID2813
3
-
D Wolfe DEF2715
3
-
O Bobb FWD2733
1
-
T Heggem DEF21
2
-
A Schjelderup FWD1925
-
T Aasgaard MID1051
-
E Selvik GLK8
-
S Langas DEF4
-
E Botheim FWD2
-
O Björtuft DEF1
-
Portugal UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1501152824
C RonaldoC RonaldoB SilvaC Ronaldo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Ronaldo FWD15811520
23
1
B Silva MID1131428
9
-
B Fernandes MID952926
11
-
R Dias DEF8131
11
-
J Cancelo DEF74129
12
-
R Neves MID6916
7
-
J Félix FWD58135
6
-
N Mendes  DEF5028
4
-
D Costa GLK49
-
R Leão FWD4968
3
1
Vitinha MID444
2
-
D Dalot DEF3834
3
-
J Palhinha MID3821
8
-
P Neto FWD3135
4
-
J Neves MID284
2
-
G Ramos FWD28114
-
G Inácio DEF2222
1
-
F Conceição FWD2143
2
-
R Veiga DEF191
3
-
F Trincão FWD1931
-
T Araújo DEF6
1
-
N Tavares DEF4
1
-
R Silva GLK3
-
F Silva FWD1
1
-
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San Marino v Albania
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Bulgaria v Estonia
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Slovenia v Macedonia
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Scotland v Switzerland
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Czech Rep v England
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Azerbaijan v Liechtenstein
Thu 1st Oct, 17:00
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Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
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Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
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Wales v Norway
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Malta v Gibraltar
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Kazakhstan v Moldova
Fri 2nd Oct, 15:00
Cyprus v Armenia
Fri 2nd Oct, 17:00
Latvia v Montenegro
Fri 2nd Oct, 17:00
Faroes v Slovakia
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Ukraine v N Ireland
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Bosnia v Sweden
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Hungary v Georgia
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Poland v Romania
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Belgium v Turkey
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France v Italy
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Belarus v San Marino
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Estonia v Luxembourg
Sat 3rd Oct, 17:00
Croatia v England
Sat 3rd Oct, 17:00
Spain v Czech Rep
Sat 3rd Oct, 19:45
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Sat 3rd Oct, 19:45
Macedonia v Scotland
Sat 3rd Oct, 19:45
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Sun 4th Oct, 14:00
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Sun 4th Oct, 17:00
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Sun 4th Oct, 17:00
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Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
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Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Greece v Germany
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Wales v Denmark
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Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
Italy v Turkey
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
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Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
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