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Spain v Croatia : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 29th Sep, 19:45 BST, Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán, Sevilla

Croatia are away from home on Tuesday evening, as manager Slaven Bilić takes his side to visit Spain and Luis De la Fuente Castillo at the Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán in the UEFA Nations League. All of the important stats for the encounter, including head-to-heads, predictions and odds from leading bookmakers across seventeen major markets are covered in this preview. It's all here with the aim of helping you make a smart bet.

Best Tip: Spain to win

A UEFA Nations League victory in front of their own fans for Luis De la Fuente Castillo's Spain side win in the win / draw / win market is our prediction. Statistics suggest they're in strong form across a number of key metrics, and they should have too much for the opposition. The odds from the bookmakers are pointing in the same direction, and when that happens you've got reason to feel confident. A Spain win is our recommendation, but we wouldn't expect a whitewash.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Spain are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 74% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.29.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Spain 74%	2/7 3%	-
Draw 16%	4/1 5%	-
Croatia 10%	15/2 13%	-
Spain 2-0 13%	11/2	-
Spain 1-0 11%	13/2 7%	-
Spain 3-0 10%	7/1 6%	-
Spain 2-1 9%	8/1	-
Draw 1-1 8%	9/1 5%	-
Spain 3-1 7%	10/1 8%	-
Spain 4-0 6%	12/1 13%	-
Draw 0-0 4%	14/1 15%	-
Spain 4-1 4%	18/1	-
Draw 2-2 3%	22/1 10%	-
Croatia 1-0 3%	20/1 11%	-
Croatia 2-1 3%	25/1 13%	-
Spain 5-0 3%	25/1 10%	-
Spain 3-2 3%	28/1	-
Spain 5-1 2%	33/1 17%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 60%	13/20 3%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 40%	6/5 5%	-
Home 1st Goal 62%	3/10 2%	-
Away 1st Goal 35%	5/2 3%	-
No 1st Goal 3%	14/1 15%	-
BTTS - Yes 47%	11/10 5%	-
BTTS - No 53%	4/6 3%	-
BTTS - Home Win 30%	21/10 3%	-
BTTS - Draw 12%	6/1 8%	-
BTTS - Away Win 5%	16/1 13%	-
Home/draw 90%	1/14 3%	-
Away/draw 26%	12/5 5%	-
Home/away 84%	1/7 3%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 82%	1/5	-
Under 1.5 Goals 18%	10/3	-
Over 3.5 Goals 38%	13/8	-
Under 3.5 Goals 62%	4/9	-
Over 4.5 Goals 20%	7/2 10%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 80%	2/11 1%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 10%	9/1 9%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 90%	1/16 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/33 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	14/1 15%	-
Home DNB 85%	1/12 3%	-
Away DNB 21%	7/1 23%	-
Spain win to nil 44%	1/1 5%	-
Croatia win to nil 5%	14/1 15%	-
Spain / Spain 46%	5/6 6%	-
Spain / Croatia 2%	40/1	-
Spain / Draw 4%	18/1 12%	-
Draw / Spain 21%	3/1	-
Draw / Croatia 4%	18/1 12%	-
Draw / Draw 10%	7/1 7%	-
Croatia / Spain 4%	20/1	-
Croatia / Croatia 4%	18/1 27%	-
Croatia / Draw 4%	20/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Spain	0 - 0	Argentina
Spain	2 - 1	Belgium
Spain	3 - 0	Austria
Spain	4 - 0	Saudi Arabia
Spain	0 - 0	Cape Verde
Spain	1 - 1	Iraq
Spain	0 - 0	Egypt
Spain	3 - 0	Serbia
Spain	2 - 2	Turkey
Spain	4 - 0	Bulgaria
Spain	2 - 0	Georgia
Spain	5 - 4	France
Spain	2 - 2	Netherlands
Spain	3 - 2	Switzerland
Spain	3 - 0	Serbia
Spain	1 - 0	Denmark
Spain	2 - 1	England
Spain	2 - 1	France
Spain	1 - 1	Germany
Spain	4 - 1	Georgia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

6 / 20

Clean sheets

14 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Spain	0 - 0	Argentina
A	Spain	2 - 0	France
H	Spain	2 - 1	Belgium
A	Spain	1 - 0	Portugal
H	Spain	3 - 0	Austria
A	Spain	1 - 0	Uruguay
H	Spain	4 - 0	Saudi Arabia
H	Spain	0 - 0	Cape Verde
A	Spain	3 - 1	Peru
H	Spain	1 - 1	Iraq
H	Spain	0 - 0	Egypt
H	Spain	3 - 0	Serbia
H	Spain	2 - 2	Turkey
A	Spain	4 - 0	Georgia
H	Spain	4 - 0	Bulgaria
H	Spain	2 - 0	Georgia
A	Spain	6 - 0	Turkey
A	Spain	3 - 0	Bulgaria
A	Spain	2 - 2	Portugal
H	Spain	5 - 4	France

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Portugal	2 - 1	Croatia
Panama	0 - 1	Croatia
England	4 - 2	Croatia
Brazil	3 - 1	Croatia
Colombia	1 - 2	Croatia
Montenegro	2 - 3	Croatia
Czech Rep	0 - 0	Croatia
Faroes	0 - 1	Croatia
Gibraltar	0 - 7	Croatia
France	2 - 0	Croatia
Scotland	1 - 0	Croatia
Poland	3 - 3	Croatia
Portugal	2 - 1	Croatia
Spain	3 - 0	Croatia
Portugal	1 - 2	Croatia
Egypt	2 - 4	Croatia
Tunisia	0 - 0	Croatia
Latvia	0 - 2	Croatia
Wales	2 - 1	Croatia
Armenia	0 - 1	Croatia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Croatia	1 - 2	Portugal
H	Croatia	2 - 1	Ghana
A	Croatia	1 - 0	Panama
A	Croatia	2 - 4	England
H	Croatia	2 - 1	Slovenia
H	Croatia	0 - 2	Belgium
A	Croatia	1 - 3	Brazil
A	Croatia	2 - 1	Colombia
A	Croatia	3 - 2	Montenegro
H	Croatia	3 - 1	Faroes
H	Croatia	3 - 0	Gibraltar
A	Croatia	0 - 0	Czech Rep
H	Croatia	4 - 0	Montenegro
A	Croatia	1 - 0	Faroes
H	Croatia	5 - 1	Czech Rep
A	Croatia	7 - 0	Gibraltar
A	Croatia	0 - 2	France
H	Croatia	2 - 0	France
H	Croatia	1 - 1	Portugal
A	Croatia	0 - 1	Scotland

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Spain

Croatia

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 2

0 / 2

Clean sheets

2 / 2

0 / 2

ESP

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Spain
Spain		3 - 0
Spain		6 - 0

Croatia

Spain

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 5

4 / 5

Clean sheets

1 / 5

2 / 5

ESP

CRO

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Croatia
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
Croatia	3 - 2
Croatia	2 - 1
	0 - 1	Spain

Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.4 is decent for Spain in their meeting with Croatia, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 18 consecutive UEFA Nations League matches.

	Spain 4th	Croatia 1st
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.4 goals	0.7 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 1 22% 2 26% 3 21% 4+ 22% There is a 69% probability that Spain will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 48% 1 35% 2 13% 3 4+ There is a 83% probability of Croatia scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+2 Spain’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-16 Croatia have scored 16% fewer goals when away than predicted
	2.2 average goals scored	1.6 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

15%

better

ESP

CRO

view stats

Games scored	17		16
Failed to score	3		4
Scored first	18		10
Goals scored	48		40
Avg. goals scored	2.4		2
Avg. shots per game	14		12
Avg. shots per goal	6		6
Conversion rate for	17		17
Avg. XG for	2.5		2.1
KickOff rating		+15%

46%

better

ESP

CRO

view stats

Games conceded	6		13
Clean sheets	14		7
Conceded first	0		9
Goals conceded	11		22
Avg. goals conceded	0.6		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	5		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	9		8
Conversion rate against	11%		13%
Avg. XG against	0.7		1.2
KickOff rating		+46%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Spain v Croatia will show here when available.

Spain UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
66	30	13	11
U Simón	M Oyarzabal	D Olmo	Rodri

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Rodri MID	70	4	2	11 -
U Simón GLK	66			3 -
F Torres FWD	64	25	9	4 -
M Oyarzabal FWD	61	30	12	3 -
D Olmo MID	58	12	13	3 -
A Laporte DEF	54	2	1	6 -
M Merino MID	51	12	3	3 -
F Ruiz MID	50	7	11	5 -
Pedri MID	49	6	4	1 -
N Williams FWD	36	6	10	-
L Yamal FWD	33	7	11	3 -
M Cucurella DEF	32	1	4	1 -
M Zubimendi MID	27	3	1	1 -
Y Pino FWD	25	4	2	3 -
Álex Baena FWD	24	3	1	3 -
E García DEF	22			-
P. Cubarsí Paredes DEF	20		3	1 -
A Grimaldo DEF	14		2	-
D Raya GLK	13			1 -
D. Huijsen DEF	7		1	1 -
F. López Marín MID	7		2	-
M Pubill DEF	3			-
V. Muñoz Villanueva FWD	2	1		-
J Martínez GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
30	59	13	24
M Oyarzabal	M Oyarzabal	D Olmo	L Yamal

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Oyarzabal FWD	30	59	12	23
F Torres FWD	25	45	9	13
D Olmo MID	12	43	13	15
M Merino MID	12	23	3	16
F Ruiz MID	7	25	11	17
L Yamal FWD	7	37	11	24
Pedri MID	6	18	4	20
N Williams FWD	6	28	10	16
Rodri MID	4	18	2	13
Y Pino FWD	4	6	2	5
M Zubimendi MID	3	5	1	8
Álex Baena FWD	3	14	1	14
A Laporte DEF	2	9	1	4
M Cucurella DEF	1	5	4	12
V. Muñoz Villanueva FWD	1	2		1
E García DEF		1
P. Cubarsí Paredes DEF		3	3	1
A Grimaldo DEF		6	2	12
D. Huijsen DEF		1	1	2
F. López Marín MID		2	2	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
5122	104	280
Rodri	Rodri	Rodri

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Rodri MID	5122	104	280
A Laporte DEF	4885	44	166
F Ruiz MID	2783	50	120
Pedri MID	2519	46	116
U Simón GLK	1902	1	20
M Cucurella DEF	1705	44	98
D Olmo MID	1701	37	165
E García DEF	1560	13	42
P. Cubarsí Paredes DEF	1469	14	44
M Merino MID	1415	50	182
M Zubimendi MID	1373	35	73
F Torres FWD	1221	13	136
M Oyarzabal FWD	1019	27	101
L Yamal FWD	1013	52	195
N Williams FWD	794	25	88
Álex Baena FWD	689	15	44
A Grimaldo DEF	642	15	37
D. Huijsen DEF	601	8	15
Y Pino FWD	456	27	58
D Raya GLK	278		2
F. López Marín MID	122	6	21
M Pubill DEF	73	1	4
V. Muñoz Villanueva FWD	41	2	4

Croatia UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
128	38	31	21
L Modric	I Perisic	I Perisic	I Perisic

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Modric MID	145	22	22	10 -
I Perisic FWD	144	38	31	20 1
A Kramaric FWD	118	35	9	3 -
M Kovacic MID	110	4	6	16 -
M Pasalic MID	88	12	6	4 -
D Livakovic GLK	78			4 1
N Vlasic MID	66	11	3	3 -
J Gvardiol DEF	52	4	1	4 -
A Budimir FWD	42	7	5	7 -
J Sutalo DEF	37			-
L Majer MID	37	9	6	1 -
J Stanisic DEF	35		5	5 -
M Baturina MID	23	2	1	2 -
M Pongracic DEF	22			3 -
L Sučić MID	22	1		1 -
M Pašalić FWD	18	1	3	-
K Jakic MID	17	2	1	1 -
P. Sučić MID	14	1	1	3 -
P Musa FWD	13	2	1	-
I Matanovic FWD	12	2		-
F Ivanovic FWD	9	2	1	1 -
L. Vušković DEF	6	1		1 -
D Kotarski GLK	4			-
I Smolcic DEF	2			-
D Beljo FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
38	68	31	37
I Perisic	I Perisic	I Perisic	I Perisic

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
I Perisic FWD	38	68	31	37
A Kramaric FWD	35	66	9	15
L Modric MID	22	45	22	26
M Pasalic MID	12	27	6	6
N Vlasic MID	11	33	3	2
L Majer MID	9	21	6	16
A Budimir FWD	7	22	5	6
M Kovacic MID	4	20	6	13
J Gvardiol DEF	4	12	1	4
M Baturina MID	2	5	1	8
K Jakic MID	2	3	1	1
P Musa FWD	2	4	1
I Matanovic FWD	2	10		1
F Ivanovic FWD	2	4	1	2
L Sučić MID	1	10		9
M Pašalić FWD	1	9	3	4
P. Sučić MID	1	3	1	2
L. Vušković DEF	1	2
D Livakovic GLK				1
J Sutalo DEF		3		2
J Stanisic DEF		1	5	7
M Pongracic DEF		1
I Smolcic DEF		1
D Beljo FWD		4

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
6017	124	398
L Modric	M Kovacic	L Modric

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Modric MID	6017	118	398
M Kovacic MID	3840	124	334
J Gvardiol DEF	2992	62	177
I Perisic FWD	2330	77	291
J Sutalo DEF	2247	50	141
D Livakovic GLK	1833	2	23
A Kramaric FWD	1789	19	130
M Pasalic MID	1499	42	169
J Stanisic DEF	1492	62	122
N Vlasic MID	1009	56	168
M Pongracic DEF	978	20	57
L Majer MID	952	27	80
P. Sučić MID	707	30	67
M Baturina MID	565	13	82
L Sučić MID	410	13	28
K Jakic MID	359	24	55
L. Vušković DEF	301	7	26
M Pašalić FWD	279	16	46
A Budimir FWD	270	21	144
F Ivanovic FWD	135	8	31
I Matanovic FWD	103	5	36
P Musa FWD	100	10	34
D Kotarski GLK	78
I Smolcic DEF	20		2
D Beljo FWD	9		4