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Northern Ireland v Hungary : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 28th Sep, 19:45 BST, Windsor Park, Belfast

It's a long trek for Marco Rossi's Hungary side on Monday evening, as they visit the Windsor Park for a UEFA Nations League clash with Michael O'Neill's Northern Ireland. For each and every UEFA Nations League preview, KickOff dives into the statistics for multiple markets. Important stats, including head-to-head results, are then published alongside odds.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's every chance of this match serving up goalmouth entertainment, but don't count on a record-breaker. Under 3.5 goals is the prediction, meaning that 3 goals is the absolute maximum we'll see during a standard 90 mins. The best odds on that outcome are just below, followed by recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think N Ireland are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.55.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
N Ireland
36%
2.75-
Draw
28%
3.00-
Hungary
36%
2.75
10%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
6.00-
Hungary 1-0
11%
7.00
8%
-
N Ireland 1-0
11%
7.00-
Draw 0-0
10%
6.50
7%
-
Hungary 2-1
8%
11.00-
N Ireland 2-1
8%
11.00-
Hungary 2-0
7%
12.00
9%
-
N Ireland 2-0
7%
12.00
8%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
17.00
11%
-
Hungary 3-1
3%
26.00
13%
-
N Ireland 3-1
3%
26.00-
Hungary 3-0
3%
29.00
12%
-
N Ireland 3-0
3%
29.00-
Hungary 3-2
2%
41.00-
N Ireland 3-2
2%
41.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
2.50
4%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
59%
1.50
2%
-
Home 1st Goal
47%
2.10-
Away 1st Goal
47%
2.10
5%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
6.50
7%
-
BTTS - Yes
47%
2.10-
BTTS - No
53%
1.67-
BTTS - Home Win
14%
7.00-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.50
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
14%
7.00
8%
-
Home/draw
64%
1.40
3%
-
Away/draw
64%
1.40
3%
-
Home/away
72%
1.36
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
1.50
4%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
33%
2.50
5%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
5.00-
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
1.17-
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
11.00-
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1.05-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
26.00
13%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1.01-
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1.11
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
6.50
7%
-
Home DNB
56%
1.83
4%
-
Away DNB
56%
1.83
2%
-
N Ireland win to nil
22%
4.00
8%
-
Hungary win to nil
22%
4.00
7%
-
N Ireland / N Ireland
19%
4.50
5%
-
N Ireland / Hungary
2%
34.00-
N Ireland / Draw
6%
15.00-
Draw / N Ireland
14%
6.00-
Draw / Hungary
14%
6.00-
Draw / Draw
19%
4.33-
Hungary / N Ireland
2%
34.00-
Hungary / Hungary
19%
4.50
4%
-
Hungary / Draw
6%
15.00-
Win / draw / win form
N Ireland 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Hungary 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Northern Ireland of late. It has been 7 UEFA Nations League games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Monday evening against Hungary.

N Ireland 2nd Hungary 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that N Ireland will score no more than 1 goal
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Hungary will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
N Ireland’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-11
Hungary have scored 11% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.5
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
N Ireland
PG (predicted goals)
Hungary
1.2
1.2
Attack rating
3%
better
NIR
HUN
view stats
Games scored14
14
Failed to score5
5
Scored first11
11
Goals scored23
24
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.2
Avg. shots per game7
11
Avg. shots per goal6
9
Conversion rate for16
11
Avg. XG for1
1.4
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
9%
better
NIR
HUN
view stats
Games conceded12
13
Clean sheets7
6
Conceded first7
6
Goals conceded23
27
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
16%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.6
KickOff rating
+9%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between N Ireland v Hungary will show here when available.

N Ireland UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7112612
P McNairJ MagennisS CharlesP McNair
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Magennis FWD85122
8
-
P McNair DEF8374
12
-
B Peacock-Farrell GLK53
3
-
J Thompson MID392
6
-
S Charles MID3626
4
-
D Ballard DEF345
6
-
I Price MID33102
3
-
T Hume DEF3211
6
-
C Brown DEF31
5
-
P Smyth FWD2522
3
-
B Spencer DEF242
1
1
E Galbraith MID17
3
-
C Marshall FWD161
1
-
J Devenny MID1511
2
-
P Charles GLK13
-
R. McConville DEF13
1
-
C Hazard GLK11
2
-
J. Donley MID112
-
T Devlin DEF6
-
P Kelly MID51
-
T. Atcheson DEF31
1
C. O’Neill FWD3
-
K. Morrison FWD1
-
Hungary UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
66181112
W OrbánD SzoboszlaiD SzoboszlaiD Szoboszlai
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Orbán DEF6963
8
-
D Szoboszlai MID661811
12
-
A Schäfer  MID4652
9
-
B Bolla DEF372
3
-
M Kerkez DEF333
3
-
C Styles DEF312
4
-
B Varga FWD30153
8
-
A Toth MID131
-
D Lukacs FWD1021
1
-
M. Vitális MID9
-
B Tóth GLK8
-
A Osváth DEF7
2
-
D Redzic FWD6
-
T. Szücs MID52
1
-
Áron Csongvai MID3
-
M. Csinger DEF2
-
K. Szűcs DEF2
1
-
Ármin Pécsi GLK1
-
Á. Markgráf DEF1
1
-
G. Jurek FWD1
-
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San Marino v Albania
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Bulgaria v Estonia
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Slovenia v Macedonia
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Scotland v Switzerland
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Thu 1st Oct, 17:00
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Greece v Netherlands
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
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Wales v Norway
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Malta v Gibraltar
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Kazakhstan v Moldova
Fri 2nd Oct, 15:00
Cyprus v Armenia
Fri 2nd Oct, 17:00
Latvia v Montenegro
Fri 2nd Oct, 17:00
Faroes v Slovakia
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Ukraine v N Ireland
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Bosnia v Sweden
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Hungary v Georgia
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Poland v Romania
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Belgium v Turkey
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
France v Italy
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Finland v Albania
Sat 3rd Oct, 14:00
Belarus v San Marino
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Iceland v Bulgaria
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Estonia v Luxembourg
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Sat 3rd Oct, 17:00
Spain v Czech Rep
Sat 3rd Oct, 19:45
Switzerland v Slovenia
Sat 3rd Oct, 19:45
Macedonia v Scotland
Sat 3rd Oct, 19:45
Azerbaijan v Lithuania
Sun 4th Oct, 14:00
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Sun 4th Oct, 17:00
Malta v Andorra
Sun 4th Oct, 17:00
Ireland v Israel
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
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Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Portugal v Norway
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Greece v Germany
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Wales v Denmark
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Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
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Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
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Tue 6th Oct, 15:00
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Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
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Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
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Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
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Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
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Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
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