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Georgia v Ukraine : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 28th Sep, 17:00 BST, Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena, Tbilisi

Georgia and Ukraine clash at the Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena on Monday evening, with both Willy Sagnol and hoping for success in the UEFA Nations League. UEFA Nations League stats are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head performance included too. There's so much to explore, with infographics and odds available for the biggest betting markets via the tabs.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We're suggesting it's fairly unlikely that this fixture will deliver 4+ goals, and the odds and statistics are in line with KO's predictive algorithm on this one. Georgia and Ukraine haven't typically treated their fans to thrillers of late, whether that be in the UEFA Nations League individually or when going head-to-head. So, without a compelling favourite draw or double chance market, we're recommending under 3.5 goals. The UK's top bookies have that available at a best price of 1.25.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Georgia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.70.

	Georgia 3rd	Ukraine 1st
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 28% 1 36% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 64% probability that Georgia will score no more than 1 goal	0 28% 1 36% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 64% probability that Ukraine will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+34 Georgia have scored 34% more goals at home than predicted	+19 Ukraine have scored 19% more goals when away than predicted
	2.1 average goals scored	1.7 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.7 conceded

Games scored	15		16
Failed to score	4		3
Scored first	10		11
Goals scored	28		29
Avg. goals scored	1.4		1.5
Avg. shots per game	9		9
Avg. shots per goal	7		6
Conversion rate for	15		16
Avg. XG for	1.3		1.2
KickOff rating		+9%

Games conceded	13		15
Clean sheets	6		4
Conceded first	9		8
Goals conceded	25		31
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	5		6
Conversion rate against	19%		18%
Avg. XG against	1.2		1.6
KickOff rating		+8%

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
O Kakabadze DEF	74		5	10 -
Z Davitashvili FWD	53	7	4	6 -
O Kiteishvili MID	50	4	6	5 -
K Kvaratskhelia FWD	49	23	8	6 -
L Dvali DEF	46	1		6 -
G Mikautadze FWD	43	23	4	2 -
S Lobzhanidze FWD	40	4	6	1 -
G Mamardashvili GLK	37		1	1 -
G Chakvetadze MID	37	9	10	4 -
B Zivzivadze FWD	37	8	1	5 -
A Mekvabishvili MID	31		4	3 -
L Lochoshvili DEF	30	4	1	4 -
G Tsitaishvili FWD	29	1	4	2 -
G Kochorashvili MID	25	4	3	6 -
V Mamuchashvili MID	15			-
J Tabidze DEF	12	1	1	-
S. Goglichidze DEF	9			1 -
S Sazonov DEF	3			-
G Kvernadze FWD	3			-
L Gugeshashvili GLK	2			-
I Beriashvili DEF	2			1 -
S. Kharebashvili DEF	2			-
G Abuashvili FWD	2			-
G Mamageishvili MID	1			1 -
N Lominadze MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
23	42	10	24
K Kvaratskhelia	K Kvaratskhelia	G Chakvetadze	K Kvaratskhelia

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
O Kakabadze DEF	2161	94	196
O Kiteishvili MID	1628	82	182
G Kochorashvili MID	1342	46	139
L Dvali DEF	1260	33	72
K Kvaratskhelia FWD	1152	60	335
L Lochoshvili DEF	1037	27	78
G Mamardashvili GLK	820		10
G Chakvetadze MID	807	37	100
A Mekvabishvili MID	727	41	55
Z Davitashvili FWD	721	36	140
G Mikautadze FWD	518	6	95
S Lobzhanidze FWD	436	11	36
S. Goglichidze DEF	387	5	19
G Tsitaishvili FWD	366	15	63
J Tabidze DEF	280	13	36
B Zivzivadze FWD	276	16	70
V Mamuchashvili MID	149	6	12
S. Kharebashvili DEF	23		1
G Kvernadze FWD	19	2	6
G Abuashvili FWD	17		1
I Beriashvili DEF	13		1
N Lominadze MID	8		2
S Sazonov DEF	5

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Yarmolenko FWD	99	37	15	6 -
M Matvienko DEF	85		2	8 -
R Yaremchuk FWD	68	18	6	7 -
V Tsygankov FWD	67	13	8	2 -
I Zabarnyi DEF	59	3		5 -
V Mykolenko DEF	54	1	4	10 1
M Shaparenko MID	52	2	3	6 -
O Zubkov FWD	45	3	4	2 -
H Sudakov MID	36	4	6	1 -
A Trubin GLK	28			1 -
V Vanat FWD	18	2		2 -
B Mykhaylichenko DEF	14		3	1 -
O Pikhalyonok MID	13	1		-
V. Brazhko MID	10			1 -
V Bondar DEF	9			1 -
O Ocheretko MID	8	1		1 -
Y Nazaryna MID	8			1 -
D Sikan FWD	8	2		-
O Nazarenko FWD	6			1 -
D Riznyk GLK	5			-
M. Ponomarenko FWD	3	1		-
E Sarapiy DEF	2			-
T. Mykhavko DEF	1			1 -
O Drambaev DEF	1			-
I Krupskyi DEF	1			1 -
I. Krasnopir FWD	1			-
V Veleten FWD	1			-

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Matvienko DEF	3959	64	174
I Zabarnyi DEF	3158	58	171
V Mykolenko DEF	2073	82	199
M Shaparenko MID	1328	50	103
H Sudakov MID	1154	20	90
V Tsygankov FWD	992	44	117
A Yarmolenko FWD	940	26	116
R Yaremchuk FWD	770	20	107
A Trubin GLK	695		12
O Zubkov FWD	421	28	60
V. Brazhko MID	324	15	34
V Bondar DEF	301	7	14
B Mykhaylichenko DEF	296	14	27
O Pikhalyonok MID	172	6	8
O Ocheretko MID	126	22	33
V Vanat FWD	122	4	20
D Riznyk GLK	75		1
Y Nazaryna MID	62	3	7
T. Mykhavko DEF	25	1	2
D Sikan FWD	23	4	11
I Krupskyi DEF	23	2	2
O Nazarenko FWD	11	2	5
I. Krasnopir FWD	5		4
M. Ponomarenko FWD	2
V Veleten FWD	2
O Drambaev DEF	1

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Georgia 37%	2.70	-
Draw 27%	3.10 5%	-
Ukraine 37%	2.70 10%	-
Draw 1-1 13%	6.00 8%	-
Ukraine 1-0 10%	8.50 13%	-
Georgia 1-0 10%	8.50 6%	-
Ukraine 2-1 8%	11.00 10%	-
Georgia 2-1 8%	11.00	-
Draw 0-0 8%	8.50 6%	-
Ukraine 2-0 6%	13.00 8%	-
Georgia 2-0 6%	13.00	-
Draw 2-2 5%	13.00 13%	-
Ukraine 3-1 3%	23.00 10%	-
Georgia 3-1 3%	23.00	-
Ukraine 3-0 3%	26.00 13%	-
Georgia 3-0 3%	26.00 10%	-
Ukraine 3-2 2%	34.00	-
Georgia 3-2 2%	34.00	-
Over 2.5 Goals 47%	2.10	-
Under 2.5 Goals 53%	1.70	-
Home 1st Goal 48%	2.00 2%	-
Away 1st Goal 48%	2.00 3%	-
No 1st Goal 5%	8.50 6%	-
BTTS - Yes 52%	1.80 2%	-
BTTS - No 48%	1.91 4%	-
BTTS - Home Win 16%	6.00	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	4.33 4%	-
BTTS - Away Win 16%	6.00 9%	-
Home/draw 63%	1.44 6%	-
Away/draw 63%	1.44	-
Home/away 73%	1.36 2%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 72%	1.33	-
Under 1.5 Goals 28%	3.25	-
Over 3.5 Goals 25%	3.75	-
Under 3.5 Goals 75%	1.25	-
Over 4.5 Goals 11%	8.00	-
Under 4.5 Goals 89%	1.08	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	17.00 11%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1.03 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1.07	-

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Georgia	0 - 1	N Ireland
Georgia	2 - 0	Bahrain
Georgia	1 - 1	Romania
Georgia	2 - 2	Israel
Georgia	0 - 4	Spain
Georgia	3 - 0	Bulgaria
Georgia	2 - 3	Turkey
Georgia	1 - 1	Cape Verde
Georgia	1 - 0	Faroes
Georgia	6 - 1	Armenia
Georgia	1 - 1	Ukraine
Georgia	0 - 1	Albania
Georgia	4 - 1	Czech Rep
Georgia	2 - 0	Portugal
Georgia	1 - 1	Czech Rep
Georgia	0 - 0	Greece
Georgia	2 - 0	Luxembourg
Georgia	2 - 2	Scotland
Georgia	4 - 0	Cyprus
Georgia	8 - 0	Thailand

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Georgia	0 - 1	N Ireland
H	Georgia	2 - 0	Bahrain
H	Georgia	1 - 1	Romania
A	Georgia	2 - 0	Lithuania
H	Georgia	2 - 2	Israel
A	Georgia	1 - 2	Bulgaria
H	Georgia	0 - 4	Spain
A	Georgia	1 - 4	Turkey
A	Georgia	0 - 2	Spain
H	Georgia	3 - 0	Bulgaria
H	Georgia	2 - 3	Turkey
H	Georgia	1 - 1	Cape Verde
H	Georgia	1 - 0	Faroes
H	Georgia	6 - 1	Armenia
A	Georgia	3 - 0	Armenia
A	Georgia	1 - 2	Czech Rep
H	Georgia	1 - 1	Ukraine
H	Georgia	0 - 1	Albania
A	Georgia	0 - 1	Ukraine
A	Georgia	1 - 0	Albania

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hungary	0 - 1	Ukraine
Poland	0 - 2	Ukraine
France	4 - 0	Ukraine
Iceland	3 - 5	Ukraine
Azerbaijan	1 - 1	Ukraine
New Zealand	1 - 2	Ukraine
Canada	4 - 2	Ukraine
Belgium	3 - 0	Ukraine
Albania	1 - 2	Ukraine
Georgia	1 - 1	Ukraine
Czech Rep	3 - 2	Ukraine
Slovakia	1 - 2	Ukraine
Romania	3 - 0	Ukraine
Moldova	0 - 4	Ukraine
Poland	3 - 1	Ukraine
Germany	0 - 0	Ukraine
Bosnia	1 - 2	Ukraine
Malta	1 - 3	Ukraine
Italy	2 - 1	Ukraine
Macedonia	2 - 3	Ukraine

Georgia v Ukraine : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Georgia v Ukraine will show here when available.

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