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Belarus v Finland : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Illovszky Rudolf Stadion, Budapest

The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with extra weighting given to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head-to-head stats for this fixture are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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The last International UEFA Nations League meeting between Belarus and Finland was on Tuesday 6th October 2026
International UEFA Nations League
October 6th 2026
Belarus 1
0 Finland
 
A. Shumanskiy 1'
 
BLR
FIN
Shots On
2
2
Shots Off
1
6
Corners
1
5
Possession
26%
74%
Fouls
17
11
Yellow/red cards
4/0
2/0
 
BelarusFinland
 
K. Pechenin
V. Kalinin
V. Bocherov (V. Lisakovich 46')
A. Selyava (E. Yablonski 84')
M. Ngome
A. Shumanskiyfootball icon (A. Kovalev 46')
G. Barkovskiy (T. Melnichenka 62')
K. Gomanov
F. Lapoukhov
A. Lukashov
Z. Volkov
L. Hradecký
S. Miettinen
(S. Väänänen 67') M. Peltola
(O. Jukkola 58') O. Valakari
L. Walta
A. Marhiev
(J. Pohjanpalo 58') A. Svanbäck
M. Tenho
(D. Håkans 74') R. Mahuta
(B. Källman 67') J. Lähteenmäki
T. Keskinen

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 79% chance of Belarus and Finland 3 goals or less combined during this UEFA Nations League clash according to our predictive algorithm and, with no strong favourite in the WDW market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Calculations are made based on latest form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can get it at top odds of 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Belarus
23%
3/1
15%
-
Draw
27%
9/4
7%
-
Finland
50%
19/20
3%
-
Finland 1-0
14%
5/1
20%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2
7%
-
Finland 2-0
10%
7/1
11%
-
Draw 0-0
10%
6/1
25%
-
Finland 2-1
9%
17/2
6%
-
Belarus 1-0
9%
17/2
5%
-
Belarus 2-1
6%
14/1
25%
-
Finland 3-0
5%
16/1-
Finland 3-1
4%
18/1
12%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1-
Belarus 2-0
4%
18/1
12%
-
Finland 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
-
Finland 4-0
2%
33/1
21%
-
Belarus 3-1
2%
40/1
17%
-
Finland 4-1
2%
40/1
21%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
27/20
18%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
58%
4/7
13%
-
Home 1st Goal
41%
8/5
9%
-
Away 1st Goal
53%
8/11-
No 1st Goal
6%
6/1
25%
-
BTTS - Yes
45%
11/10
9%
-
BTTS - No
55%
4/6
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
9%
17/2
21%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/1
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
19%
4/1
11%
-
Home/draw
50%
4/5-
Away/draw
77%
2/9
6%
-
Home/away
73%
1/3
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
4/9
8%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
13/8
19%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
10/3
24%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
1/5
7%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
7/1
23%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/16
4%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
11/1
20%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/66
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/12
5%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
6/1
30%
-
Home DNB
42%
7/4
5%
-
Away DNB
69%
2/5
4%
-
Belarus win to nil
14%
5/1
9%
-
Finland win to nil
31%
2/1
4%
-
Belarus / Belarus
13%
11/2
9%
-
Belarus / Finland
3%
28/1
12%
-
Belarus / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
-
Draw / Belarus
10%
7/1-
Draw / Finland
17%
15/4-
Draw / Draw
18%
7/2
14%
-
Finland / Belarus
2%
40/1
21%
-
Finland / Finland
27%
21/10-
Finland / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
-
Win / draw / win form
Belarus 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Finland 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
Goal Statistics

An absolutely dreadful PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Belarus fans, as should a 6 UEFA Nations League games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Belarus 2nd Finland 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Belarus scoring 1 goal or less
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Finland will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-26
Belarus have scored 26% fewer goals at home than predicted
-5
Finland’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.8
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Belarus
PG (predicted goals)
Finland
0.9
1.4
Attack rating
22%
better
BLR
FIN
view stats
Games scored14
12
Failed to score6
8
Scored first9
6
Goals scored31
23
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.2
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for18
15
Avg. XG for0.8
1.5
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
11%
better
BLR
FIN
view stats
Games conceded14
16
Clean sheets6
4
Conceded first9
13
Goals conceded32
31
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded11
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
14%
Avg. XG against2
1.3
KickOff rating
+11%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Belarus v Finland will show here when available.

Belarus UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4232
Z VolkovA ShumanskyK PecheninG. Barkovskiy
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Lapoukhov GLK3
-
V Kalinin DEF4
1
-
Z Volkov DEF4
1
-
K. Gomanov DEF4
-
K Pechenin DEF43
1
-
A. Lukashov MID2
1
-
V Bocherov MID2
1
-
M Ebong MID41
-
A Selyava  MID3
-
G. Barkovskiy FWD41
2
-
A Shumansky FWD321
2
-
Subs
P Pavlyuchenko GLK1
-
A Kudravets GLK
-
I. Tsikhamirau DEF1
1
-
V Gromyko MID3
-
E Yablonskiy MID3
-
A Kovalev MID3
-
D. Galyata MID
-
A Kontsevoj MID22
1
-
A. Svirepa MID1
-
E Malashevich MID1
1
-
V Lisakovich FWD4
-
T. Melnichenka FWD3
-
Finland UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4421
J. LähteenmäkiL WaltaA. SvanbäckS Miettinen
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Hradecky GLK3
-
J. Lähteenmäki DEF41
-
M Tenho DEF1
-
S Miettinen DEF3
1
-
R Mahuta DEF1
-
A Markhiyev MID4
1
-
M Peltola MID2
-
L Walta MID441
-
A. Svanbäck FWD412
-
O Valakari FWD3
-
T Keskinen FWD3
-
Subs
V Sinisalo GLK1
-
L Bergström GLK
-
A Stahl DEF3
1
-
T Miettinen DEF3
-
L Väisänen DEF1
-
S Väänänen MID3
-
A Suhonen  MID1
-
O Jukkola MID2
-
D Håkans MID3
-
D Arifi MID
-
J Pohjanpalo FWD43
-
B Källman FWD31
1
-
International UEFA Nations League match betting previews, predictions and odds