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France v Italy : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45 BST, Stade De France,

Zinédine Zidane and Roberto Mancini clash in the UEFA Nations League on Friday evening, as France face Italy at the Stade De France. We've got predictions, tips, and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers and head-to-head stats across the biggest markets, all with the aim of helping you find a winning bet on this UEFA Nations League clash.


Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals
In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think France are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 59% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 0.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
France
59%
0.00-
Draw
21%
0.00-
Italy
20%
0.00-
France 2-1
10%
--
Draw 1-1
9%
--
France 2-0
8%
--
France 1-0
8%
--
France 3-1
7%
--
France 3-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Italy 2-1
5%
--
Italy 1-0
4%
--
France 3-2
4%
--
Draw 0-0
4%
--
France 4-1
4%
--
France 4-0
3%
--
Italy 2-0
3%
--
Italy 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
36%
--
Home 1st Goal
55%
--
Away 1st Goal
43%
--
No 1st Goal
2%
--
BTTS - Yes
61%
--
BTTS - No
39%
--
BTTS - Home Win
32%
--
BTTS - Draw
17%
--
BTTS - Away Win
12%
--
Home/draw
80%
--
Away/draw
41%
--
Home/away
79%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
42%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
58%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
24%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
76%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
--
Home DNB
73%
--
Away DNB
35%
--
France win to nil
27%
--
Italy win to nil
8%
--
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Win / draw / win form
France 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
France4 - 6England
France0 - 2Spain
France2 - 0Morocco
France3 - 0Sweden
France3 - 0Iraq
France3 - 1Senegal
France3 - 1N Ireland
France1 - 2Cote d'Ivoire
France4 - 0Ukraine
France3 - 0Azerbaijan
France2 - 1Iceland
France2 - 0Croatia
France0 - 0Israel
France2 - 0Belgium
France1 - 3Italy
France1 - 0Belgium
France1 - 1Poland
France0 - 0Canada
France3 - 0Luxembourg
France3 - 2Chile
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
16
D
1
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AFrance1 - 0Turkey
HFrance4 - 6England
HFrance0 - 2Spain
HFrance2 - 0Morocco
AFrance1 - 0Paraguay
HFrance3 - 0Sweden
AFrance4 - 1Norway
HFrance3 - 0Iraq
HFrance3 - 1Senegal
HFrance3 - 1N Ireland
HFrance1 - 2Cote d'Ivoire
AFrance3 - 1Colombia
AFrance2 - 1Brazil
AFrance3 - 1Azerbaijan
HFrance4 - 0Ukraine
AFrance2 - 2Iceland
HFrance3 - 0Azerbaijan
HFrance2 - 1Iceland
AFrance2 - 0Ukraine
AFrance2 - 0Germany
Italy 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Greece0 - 1Italy
Luxembourg0 - 1Italy
Bosnia1 - 1Italy
Moldova0 - 2Italy
Estonia1 - 3Italy
Israel4 - 5Italy
Norway3 - 0Italy
Germany3 - 3Italy
Belgium0 - 1Italy
Israel1 - 2Italy
France1 - 3Italy
Switzerland2 - 0Italy
Croatia1 - 1Italy
Spain1 - 0Italy
Ecuador0 - 2Italy
Ukraine0 - 0Italy
England3 - 1Italy
Macedonia1 - 1Italy
Netherlands2 - 3Italy
Spain2 - 1Italy
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HItaly0 - 2Belgium
AItaly1 - 0Greece
AItaly1 - 0Luxembourg
AItaly1 - 1Bosnia
HItaly2 - 0N Ireland
HItaly1 - 4Norway
AItaly2 - 0Moldova
HItaly3 - 0Israel
AItaly3 - 1Estonia
AItaly5 - 4Israel
HItaly5 - 0Estonia
HItaly2 - 0Moldova
AItaly0 - 3Norway
AItaly3 - 3Germany
HItaly1 - 2Germany
HItaly1 - 3France
AItaly1 - 0Belgium
HItaly4 - 1Israel
HItaly2 - 2Belgium
AItaly2 - 1Israel
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at France since 2000
France
Italy
Goals: Scored
5
7
Games: Scored
3 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
1 / 4
FRA
1
D
1
ITA
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT France
1 - 3Italy
0 - 2Italy
France3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Italy since 2006
Italy
France
Goals: Scored
2
4
Games: Scored
2 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
1 / 3
FRA
1
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Italy
1 - 3France
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.1 is fairly strong for France in their meeting with Italy, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 20 consecutive UEFA Nations League matches.

France 2nd Italy 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
17%
There is a 63% probability that France will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Italy will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-19
France have scored 19% fewer goals at home than predicted
-16
Italy have scored 16% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.1
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
France
PG (predicted goals)
Italy
2.1
1.2
Attack rating
4%
better
FRA
ITA
view stats
Games scored18
18
Failed to score1
1
Scored first14
15
Goals scored47
40
Avg. goals scored2.4
2
Avg. shots per game14
11
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for17
17
Avg. XG for2.3
2
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
4%
better
FRA
ITA
view stats
Games conceded11
11
Clean sheets8
8
Conceded first5
4
Goals conceded19
25
Avg. goals conceded1
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded6
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against16%
16%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.1
KickOff rating
+4%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between France v Italy will show here when available.

France UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
92673911
K MbappéK MbappéK MbappéK Mbappé
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Mbappé FWD1076739
11
-
O Dembélé FWD68137
5
-
A Rabiot MID6775
11
-
J Koundé DEF57
2
1
M Maignan  GLK49
2
-
D Upamecano DEF4721
4
1
E Camavinga MID3021
6
-
B Barcola FWD2963
1
-
M Olise FWD26710
1
-
M Koné MID20
7
-
D Doué FWD1631
1
-
R Cherki MID1521
-
M Akliouche FWD1012
-
M Lacroix DEF8
-
P Kalulu DEF3
1
-
A Truffert DEF2
-
E. Lepaul FWD1
1
-
Italy UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
82131012
G DonnarummaM KeanN Barella N Barella 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Donnarumma GLK84
6
-
N Barella  MID711010
12
-
G Lorenzo DEF5454
7
-
G Raspadori FWD46118
-
A Bastoni DEF433
7
1
D Frattesi MID3583
3
-
S Tonali MID3345
6
-
M Kean FWD27132
2
-
G Scamacca FWD221
-
G Mancini DEF212
4
-
N Zaniolo FWD1921
6
-
R Calafiori DEF151
2
-
S Ricci MID11
-
F. Esposito FWD105
1
-
G Scalvini DEF9
2
-
D Maldini MID7
2
-
N Fagioli MID6
1
-
G Vicario GLK5
-
D Coppola DEF3
-
H. Ahanor DEF2
1
-
N Cambiaghi FWD2
-
R Mandragora  MID1
-
I. Doumbia MID1
-
A. Romano MID1
-
M. ZOma FWD1
-
S. Inacio FWD1
-
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Finland v Belarus
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Luxembourg v Iceland
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Slovakia v Kazakhstan
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San Marino v Albania
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Bulgaria v Estonia
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Slovenia v Macedonia
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Scotland v Switzerland
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Spain v Croatia
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Czech Rep v England
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Azerbaijan v Liechtenstein
Thu 1st Oct, 17:00
Israel v Kosovo
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Ireland v Austria
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Germany v Serbia
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Greece v Netherlands
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Denmark v Portugal
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Wales v Norway
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Malta v Gibraltar
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Kazakhstan v Moldova
Fri 2nd Oct, 15:00
Cyprus v Armenia
Fri 2nd Oct, 17:00
Latvia v Montenegro
Fri 2nd Oct, 17:00
Faroes v Slovakia
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Ukraine v N Ireland
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Bosnia v Sweden
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Hungary v Georgia
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Poland v Romania
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Finland v Albania
Sat 3rd Oct, 14:00
Belarus v San Marino
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Iceland v Bulgaria
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Estonia v Luxembourg
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Croatia v England
Sat 3rd Oct, 17:00
Spain v Czech Rep
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Switzerland v Slovenia
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Macedonia v Scotland
Sat 3rd Oct, 19:45
Azerbaijan v Lithuania
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Sun 4th Oct, 17:00
Malta v Andorra
Sun 4th Oct, 17:00
Ireland v Israel
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Netherlands v Serbia
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Portugal v Norway
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Greece v Germany
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Wales v Denmark
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Cyprus v Latvia
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Ukraine v Hungary
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N Ireland v Georgia
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
Romania v Sweden
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
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Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
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Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
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England v Czech Rep
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