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Denmark v Wales : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 27th Sep, 17:00 BST, Parken Stadium, Copenhagen

Brian Riemer and Craig Bellamy clash in the UEFA Nations League on Sunday evening, as Denmark face Wales at the Parken Stadium. You'll see statistics supporting our top of Denmark to win below, but don't forget to explore 16 other markets we're covering too. We aim to give you as full a picture as possible, with UEFA Nations League performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you're able to make the smartest bet choices. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from one of the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Best Tip: Denmark to win

We're predicting Denmark will claim victory after 90 minutes on Sunday in the win / draw / win market. The latest form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) records below all point in that direction and, as favourites with the bookies, the odds back that up too. It should be great moment for the home supporters when the game draws to a close at Parken Stadium.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Denmark are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 66% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.48.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Denmark 65%	1.48 11%	-
Draw 20%	4.50 25%	-
Wales 15%	5.75 21%	-
Denmark 2-0 11%	7.50	-
Denmark 1-0 10%	7.50 25%	-
Denmark 2-1 10%	8.50	-
Draw 1-1 9%	8.50 21%	-
Denmark 3-0 8%	10.00 23%	-
Denmark 3-1 7%	12.00 20%	-
Draw 0-0 5%	13.00 44%	-
Wales 1-0 5%	17.00 55%	-
Draw 2-2 4%	17.00 11%	-
Wales 2-1 4%	19.00 12%	-
Denmark 4-0 4%	19.00 27%	-
Denmark 4-1 4%	21.00 38%	-
Denmark 3-2 3%	26.00 10%	-
Wales 2-0 2%	34.00 48%	-
Denmark 5-0 2%	41.00 20%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 58%	1.73 18%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 42%	2.08 22%	-
Home 1st Goal 58%	1.44 8%	-
Away 1st Goal 39%	3.00 9%	-
No 1st Goal 3%	13.00 44%	-
BTTS - Yes 52%	1.83 9%	-
BTTS - No 48%	1.83 6%	-
BTTS - Home Win 29%	3.25 25%	-
BTTS - Draw 15%	5.50	-
BTTS - Away Win 8%	11.00 10%	-
Home/draw 85%	1.14 3%	-
Away/draw 35%	2.63 22%	-
Home/away 80%	1.18 9%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 80%	1.22 10%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 20%	4.00 33%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 35%	2.75 27%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 65%	1.40 12%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 18%	5.50 31%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 82%	1.14 6%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 8%	11.00 42%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 92%	1.05 3%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1.03 4%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	15.00 67%	-
Home DNB 79%	1.17 9%	-
Away DNB 29%	5.00 43%	-
Denmark win to nil 36%	2.50 5%	-
Wales win to nil 7%	11.00 38%	-
Denmark / Denmark 38%	2.20 16%	-
Denmark / Wales 2%	41.00	-
Denmark / Draw 6%	15.00	-
Draw / Denmark 19%	4.33	-
Draw / Wales 6%	13.00 30%	-
Draw / Draw 13%	6.50 30%	-
Wales / Denmark 4%	21.00 9%	-
Wales / Wales 8%	11.00 29%	-
Wales / Draw 5%	17.00	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

9 / 20

Clean sheets

11 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Denmark	4 - 0	Macedonia
Denmark	2 - 2	Belarus
Denmark	3 - 1	Greece
Denmark	0 - 0	Scotland
Denmark	5 - 0	Lithuania
Denmark	2 - 1	N Ireland
Denmark	1 - 0	Portugal
Denmark	1 - 2	Spain
Denmark	2 - 0	Serbia
Denmark	2 - 0	Switzerland
Denmark	0 - 0	Serbia
Denmark	1 - 1	England
Denmark	3 - 1	Norway
Denmark	2 - 1	Sweden
Denmark	2 - 0	Faroes
Denmark	0 - 0	Switzerland
Denmark	2 - 1	Slovenia
Denmark	3 - 1	Kazakhstan
Denmark	4 - 0	San Marino
Denmark	1 - 0	N Ireland

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Denmark	2 - 3	Norway
A	Denmark	0 - 0	Congo DR
A	Denmark	1 - 1	Czech Rep
H	Denmark	4 - 0	Macedonia
A	Denmark	2 - 4	Scotland
H	Denmark	2 - 2	Belarus
H	Denmark	3 - 1	Greece
A	Denmark	6 - 0	Belarus
A	Denmark	3 - 0	Greece
H	Denmark	0 - 0	Scotland
H	Denmark	5 - 0	Lithuania
H	Denmark	2 - 1	N Ireland
A	Denmark	2 - 3	Portugal
H	Denmark	1 - 0	Portugal
A	Denmark	0 - 0	Serbia
H	Denmark	1 - 2	Spain
A	Denmark	2 - 2	Switzerland
A	Denmark	0 - 1	Spain
H	Denmark	2 - 0	Serbia
H	Denmark	2 - 0	Switzerland

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Portugal	1 - 0	Wales
Romania	2 - 1	Wales
Liechtenstein	0 - 1	Wales
England	3 - 0	Wales
Kazakhstan	0 - 1	Wales
Belgium	4 - 3	Wales
Macedonia	1 - 1	Wales
Turkey	0 - 0	Wales
Iceland	2 - 2	Wales
Montenegro	1 - 2	Wales
Slovakia	4 - 0	Wales
Gibraltar	0 - 0	Wales
Armenia	1 - 1	Wales
Latvia	0 - 2	Wales
Turkey	2 - 0	Wales
Croatia	1 - 1	Wales
USA	1 - 1	Wales
Belgium	2 - 1	Wales
Netherlands	3 - 2	Wales
Poland	2 - 1	Wales

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Wales	0 - 1	Portugal
A	Wales	1 - 2	Romania
H	Wales	1 - 1	Ghana
H	Wales	1 - 1	N Ireland
H	Wales	1 - 1	Bosnia
H	Wales	7 - 1	Macedonia
A	Wales	1 - 0	Liechtenstein
H	Wales	2 - 4	Belgium
A	Wales	0 - 3	England
A	Wales	1 - 0	Kazakhstan
A	Wales	3 - 4	Belgium
H	Wales	3 - 0	Liechtenstein
A	Wales	1 - 1	Macedonia
H	Wales	3 - 1	Kazakhstan
H	Wales	4 - 1	Iceland
A	Wales	0 - 0	Turkey
H	Wales	1 - 0	Montenegro
A	Wales	2 - 2	Iceland
A	Wales	2 - 1	Montenegro
H	Wales	0 - 0	Turkey

Goal Statistics

A truly dreadful PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for Wales fans, as should a 5 UEFA Nations League matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

	Denmark 3rd	Wales 4th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.1 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 12% 1 26% 2 27% 3 19% 4+ 16% There is a 62% probability that Denmark will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 40% 1 37% 2 17% 3 4+ There is a 77% probability of Wales scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-15 Denmark have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted	-22 Wales have scored 22% fewer goals when away than predicted
	2.0 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	0.6 conceded	1.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

better

DEN

WAL

view stats

Games scored	16		16
Failed to score	4		4
Scored first	9		10
Goals scored	40		34
Avg. goals scored	2		1.7
Avg. shots per game	11		11
Avg. shots per goal	6		6
Conversion rate for	18		16
Avg. XG for	1.7		1.7
KickOff rating		+2%

16%

better

DEN

WAL

view stats

Games conceded	10		14
Clean sheets	10		6
Conceded first	8		8
Goals conceded	20		24
Avg. goals conceded	1		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		8
Conversion rate against	12%		13%
Avg. XG against	1.1		1.5
KickOff rating		+16%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Denmark v Wales will show here when available.

Denmark UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
85	14	13	12
P Höjbjerg	R Höjlund	P Höjbjerg	J Andersen

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
P Höjbjerg MID	95	11	13	11 -
J Maehle DEF	59	11	7	5 -
J Andersen DEF	51	2	3	12 -
M Damsgaard MID	41	9	13	1 -
R Höjlund FWD	35	14	2	3 -
R Kristensen DEF	34	2		5 -
M Hjulmand MID	28	1	1	6 -
V Nelsson DEF	18			3 -
G Isaksen FWD	16	6	1	2 -
P. Chinazaekpere Dorgu FWD	14	3	3	1 -
V. Froholdt MID	12	1	3	1 -
A Grönbaek MID	10	1		1 -
M Daramy FWD	10	1	2	1 -
L Hogsberg DEF	5		1	-
K Högh FWD	4	1		-
F Jörgensen GLK	3			-
O Provstgaard DEF	3			-
M Hermansen GLK	2			-
A Gaaei DEF	1			-
T Jørgensen MID	1			-
M Bidstrup MID	1			-
A Daghim FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
14	36	13	16
R Höjlund	P Höjbjerg	P Höjbjerg	P Höjbjerg

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Höjlund FWD	14	34	2	11
P Höjbjerg MID	11	36	13	16
J Maehle DEF	11	28	7	8
M Damsgaard MID	9	25	13	16
G Isaksen FWD	6	21	1	4
P. Chinazaekpere Dorgu FWD	3	6	3	5
J Andersen DEF	2	7	3	4
R Kristensen DEF	2	4
M Hjulmand MID	1	4	1	11
V. Froholdt MID	1	3	3	4
A Grönbaek MID	1	3
M Daramy FWD	1	2	2
K Högh FWD	1	1
L Hogsberg DEF			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
5170	108	284
P Höjbjerg	P Höjbjerg	P Höjbjerg

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
P Höjbjerg MID	5170	108	284
J Andersen DEF	3215	63	206
J Maehle DEF	2245	83	201
M Hjulmand MID	1525	41	108
M Damsgaard MID	1356	53	147
R Kristensen DEF	1257	58	111
V Nelsson DEF	752	14	67
R Höjlund FWD	430	11	97
G Isaksen FWD	356	6	76
P. Chinazaekpere Dorgu FWD	321	21	67
V. Froholdt MID	239	6	29
L Hogsberg DEF	204	6	8
O Provstgaard DEF	150	2	4
M Daramy FWD	147	4	25
A Grönbaek MID	127	9	24
F Jörgensen GLK	68
M Hermansen GLK	54		1
A Daghim FWD	34		10
A Gaaei DEF	22	2	2
K Högh FWD	10		1
M Bidstrup MID	7	1	1
T Jørgensen MID	2

Wales UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
93	15	12	16
B Davies	K Moore	D James	E Ampadu

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Davies DEF	99	3	5	11 -
D James FWD	66	10	12	7 -
C Roberts DEF	64	3	2	7 -
E Ampadu MID	64		1	15 1
N Williams DEF	58	4	5	8 1
C Mepham DEF	56		1	13 -
K Moore FWD	55	15	3	14 1
D Ward GLK	46			2 -
D Brooks FWD	46	7	3	6 -
B Johnson FWD	46	7	5	6 -
S Thomas FWD	28	2	5	2 -
J James MID	27	1		9 -
J Sheehan MID	20			3 -
R Norrington-Davies DEF	17	1		5 -
B Cabango DEF	17			1 -
M Harris FWD	17			-
L Cullen MID	15	2	3	-
L. Koumas FWD	13	1		1 -
J Dasilva DEF	11		2	-
W Burns FWD	10			-
J Colwill MID	2			-
C Savage MID	2		1	-
C Congreve FWD	2			-
T King GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
15	40	12	15
K Moore	K Moore	D James	D James

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Moore FWD	15	40	3	4
D James FWD	10	31	12	15
D Brooks FWD	7	18	3	7
B Johnson FWD	7	21	5	9
N Williams DEF	4	18	5	8
B Davies DEF	3	11	5	3
C Roberts DEF	3	5	2	5
S Thomas FWD	2	4	5	12
L Cullen MID	2	9	3	6
J James MID	1	11		7
R Norrington-Davies DEF	1	1
L. Koumas FWD	1	8		1
E Ampadu MID		5	1	3
C Mepham DEF		5	1	3
J Sheehan MID		1		3
B Cabango DEF		1		3
M Harris FWD		5		6
J Dasilva DEF			2	3
W Burns FWD		1		1
C Savage MID		3	1	1
C Congreve FWD		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2981	101	317
B Davies	N Williams	K Moore

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
B Davies DEF	2981	70	239
E Ampadu MID	2543	99	233
C Mepham DEF	2113	81	203
N Williams DEF	1919	101	288
C Roberts DEF	1745	45	150
D James FWD	1124	54	225
D Ward GLK	1052		5
J Sheehan MID	789	12	43
K Moore FWD	705	18	317
J Dasilva DEF	693	11	30
J James MID	634	26	72
B Cabango DEF	632	9	39
B Johnson FWD	591	17	71
D Brooks FWD	529	10	70
S Thomas FWD	513	16	74
R Norrington-Davies DEF	356	6	39
L Cullen MID	311	11	32
C Savage MID	221	2	6
W Burns FWD	167	5	18
M Harris FWD	97	5	22
L. Koumas FWD	74	4	19
J Colwill MID	21		1
C Congreve FWD	15		1
T King GLK	8