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Romania v Bosnia and Herzegovina : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 28th Sep, 19:45 BST, National Arena, Bucuresti

Gheorghe Hagi welcomes Sergej Barbarez to the National Arena on Monday evening, as their Romania and Bosnia and Herzegovina troops clash in the UEFA Nations League. All the odds are provided directly from the bookmaker, while predictions are calculated from stats over a 20-game period. We focus especially on UEFA Nations League match data, including head to head (H2H) performance. Click the tabs below to explore it all.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there's no obvious winner for this clash, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Romania and Bosnia will score at least a couple of goals between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Gheorghe Hagi or Sergej Barbarez has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s recently either. The bookies are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.30 equating to roughly a 74% probability.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Romania are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Romania 45%	2.10	-
Draw 26%	3.30 2%	-
Bosnia 29%	3.50 6%	-
Draw 1-1 12%	6.00 8%	-
Romania 1-0 10%	7.50	-
Romania 2-1 9%	9.00	-
Bosnia 1-0 8%	11.00 10%	-
Romania 2-0 8%	10.00	-
Bosnia 2-1 7%	12.00	-
Draw 0-0 7%	9.50	-
Draw 2-2 5%	13.00 13%	-
Bosnia 2-0 5%	17.00	-
Romania 3-1 5%	17.00	-
Romania 3-0 4%	19.00	-
Bosnia 3-1 3%	29.00	-
Romania 3-2 3%	29.00	-
Bosnia 3-2 2%	34.00	-
Bosnia 3-0 2%	34.00	-
Over 2.5 Goals 50%	2.00	-
Under 2.5 Goals 50%	1.80	-
Home 1st Goal 51%	1.80	-
Away 1st Goal 45%	2.25	-
No 1st Goal 4%	9.50	-
BTTS - Yes 54%	1.80	-
BTTS - No 47%	1.91	-
BTTS - Home Win 21%	4.50	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	4.33 4%	-
BTTS - Away Win 14%	7.00 8%	-
Home/draw 71%	1.29 3%	-
Away/draw 55%	1.70	-
Home/away 74%	1.33	-
Over 1.5 Goals 75%	1.30	-
Under 1.5 Goals 25%	3.40	-
Over 3.5 Goals 28%	3.40	-
Under 3.5 Goals 72%	1.30	-
Over 4.5 Goals 13%	7.00	-
Under 4.5 Goals 87%	1.10	-
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	15.00	-
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1.03	-
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1.06	-
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	9.50	-
Home DNB 63%	1.50 2%	-
Away DNB 47%	2.50 5%	-
Romania win to nil 24%	3.75	-
Bosnia win to nil 15%	6.00	-
Romania / Romania 24%	3.50 3%	-
Romania / Bosnia 3%	29.00	-
Romania / Draw 6%	13.00	-
Draw / Romania 15%	5.50	-
Draw / Bosnia 11%	7.50	-
Draw / Draw 17%	5.00	-
Bosnia / Romania 4%	23.00	-
Bosnia / Bosnia 15%	5.50	-
Bosnia / Draw 6%	15.00	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Romania	2 - 1	Wales
Romania	7 - 1	San Marino
Romania	1 - 0	Austria
Romania	2 - 1	Moldova
Romania	0 - 3	Canada
Romania	2 - 0	Cyprus
Romania	0 - 1	Bosnia
Romania	4 - 1	Cyprus
Romania	0 - 0	Kosovo
Romania	3 - 1	Lithuania
Romania	0 - 3	Netherlands
Romania	3 - 0	Ukraine
Romania	0 - 0	Liechtenstein
Romania	0 - 0	Bulgaria
Romania	1 - 1	N Ireland
Romania	1 - 0	Switzerland
Romania	4 - 0	Andorra
Romania	2 - 0	Kosovo
Romania	1 - 1	Israel
Romania	2 - 1	Belarus

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Romania	1 - 2	Sweden
H	Romania	2 - 1	Wales
A	Romania	1 - 1	Georgia
A	Romania	0 - 2	Slovakia
A	Romania	0 - 1	Turkey
H	Romania	7 - 1	San Marino
A	Romania	1 - 3	Bosnia
H	Romania	1 - 0	Austria
H	Romania	2 - 1	Moldova
A	Romania	2 - 2	Cyprus
H	Romania	0 - 3	Canada
H	Romania	2 - 0	Cyprus
A	Romania	1 - 2	Austria
A	Romania	5 - 1	San Marino
H	Romania	0 - 1	Bosnia
H	Romania	4 - 1	Cyprus
H	Romania	0 - 0	Kosovo
A	Romania	2 - 1	Lithuania
A	Romania	3 - 0	Cyprus
H	Romania	3 - 1	Lithuania

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Poland	0 - 0	Bosnia
USA	2 - 0	Bosnia
Switzerland	4 - 1	Bosnia
Canada	1 - 1	Bosnia
Panama	1 - 1	Bosnia
Wales	1 - 1	Bosnia
Austria	1 - 1	Bosnia
Malta	1 - 4	Bosnia
Cyprus	2 - 2	Bosnia
San Marino	0 - 6	Bosnia
Slovenia	2 - 1	Bosnia
Romania	0 - 1	Bosnia
Germany	7 - 0	Bosnia
Hungary	0 - 0	Bosnia
Netherlands	5 - 2	Bosnia
Italy	1 - 0	Bosnia
England	3 - 0	Bosnia
Luxembourg	4 - 1	Bosnia
Liechtenstein	0 - 2	Bosnia
Iceland	1 - 0	Bosnia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Bosnia	0 - 0	Poland
A	Bosnia	0 - 2	USA
H	Bosnia	3 - 1	Qatar
A	Bosnia	1 - 4	Switzerland
A	Bosnia	1 - 1	Canada
A	Bosnia	1 - 1	Panama
H	Bosnia	0 - 0	Macedonia
H	Bosnia	1 - 1	Italy
A	Bosnia	1 - 1	Wales
A	Bosnia	1 - 1	Austria
H	Bosnia	3 - 1	Romania
A	Bosnia	4 - 1	Malta
A	Bosnia	2 - 2	Cyprus
H	Bosnia	1 - 2	Austria
A	Bosnia	6 - 0	San Marino
A	Bosnia	1 - 2	Slovenia
H	Bosnia	1 - 0	San Marino
H	Bosnia	2 - 1	Cyprus
A	Bosnia	1 - 0	Romania
H	Bosnia	1 - 1	Netherlands

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Romania

Bosnia

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 3

Clean sheets

1 / 3

ROU

BIH

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Romania
	0 - 1	Bosnia
Romania	4 - 1
Romania	3 - 0

Bosnia

Romania

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 3

2 / 3

Clean sheets

1 / 3

0 / 3

BIH

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bosnia
Bosnia		3 - 1
Bosnia		1 - 0
Bosnia		2 - 1

Goal Statistics

Romania's fans will be hoping for goals on Monday evening, not least because Bosnia and Herzegovina have conceded in each of their last 5 UEFA Nations League games. A PG of 1.5 for G. Hagi's side suggests that run should continue.

	Romania 4th	Bosnia 3rd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 22% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 78% probability that Romania will score 1 or more goals	0 31% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 67% probability that Bosnia will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+14 Romania have scored 14% more goals at home than predicted	-6 Bosnia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.8 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	0.8 conceded	1.8 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

ROU

BIH

better

view stats

Games scored	14		17
Failed to score	4		2
Scored first	10		10
Goals scored	36		31
Avg. goals scored	1.8		1.6
Avg. shots per game	9		9
Avg. shots per goal	5		6
Conversion rate for	20		17
Avg. XG for	1.8		1.5
KickOff rating		+3%

10%

better

ROU

BIH

view stats

Games conceded	14		15
Clean sheets	4		4
Conceded first	7		8
Goals conceded	19		22
Avg. goals conceded	1		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		6
Conversion rate against	12%		16%
Avg. XG against	1		1.3
KickOff rating		+10%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Romania v Bosnia will show here when available.

Romania UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
74	15	11	16
N Stanciu	N Stanciu	R Marin	N Bancu

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Stanciu MID	87	15	7	12 -
R Marin MID	76	12	11	10 -
I Hagi MID	54	8	5	6 -
N Bancu DEF	53	2	11	16 -
A Burca DEF	46	1		10 -
D Man FWD	46	12	7	4 -
A Rațiu DEF	39	2	3	3 -
A Cicaldau MID	38	4	1	2 -
V Mihăilă FWD	36	5	3	4 1
M Marin MID	34			10 -
R Drăguşin DEF	30	1		4 -
F Tanase MID	30	5	3	2 1
D Olaru MID	28		1	1 -
D Dragus FWD	28	7	3	2 1
O Morutan FWD	17	1	6	2 -
T Băluță MID	14			1 -
I Radu GLK	10			-
V Ghiţă DEF	10	1		1 -
V Dragomir MID	9			1 -
D Birligea FWD	9	2	1	-
V Screciu DEF	8			2 -
L Munteanu FWD	6	3		-
B Racovitan DEF	5			1 -
R Oprut DEF	5			-
L. Eissat DEF	3			-
A Coubis DEF	3			1 -
C Cîrjan MID	2			-
O Hindrich GLK	1			-
A Borza DEF	1			-
M Ilie DEF	1			1 -
T Strata DEF	1			-
D. Matei FWD	1		1	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
15	36	11	16
N Stanciu	N Stanciu	R Marin	N Stanciu

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
N Stanciu MID	15	36	7	16
R Marin MID	12	31	11	13
D Man FWD	12	29	7	10
I Hagi MID	8	22	5	9
D Dragus FWD	7	18	3	4
V Mihăilă FWD	5	13	3	5
F Tanase MID	5	7	3	2
A Cicaldau MID	4	10	1	1
L Munteanu FWD	3	5
N Bancu DEF	2	7	11	10
A Rațiu DEF	2	8	3	7
D Birligea FWD	2	6	1	1
A Burca DEF	1	3
R Drăguşin DEF	1	2
O Morutan FWD	1	2	6	5
V Ghiţă DEF	1	1		1
M Marin MID				3
D Olaru MID		4	1	3
T Băluță MID		2
V Dragomir MID		1		1
C Cîrjan MID				1
D. Matei FWD			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2132	113	216
R Marin	N Bancu	N Bancu

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
R Marin MID	2132	56	147
A Burca DEF	2047	45	154
N Stanciu MID	2041	68	214
N Bancu DEF	1947	113	216
A Rațiu DEF	1331	68	155
I Hagi MID	1013	43	148
R Drăguşin DEF	992	16	92
D Man FWD	984	36	145
M Marin MID	901	65	136
A Cicaldau MID	603	28	70
V Mihăilă FWD	471	23	71
D Olaru MID	387	18	44
F Tanase MID	383	18	44
D Dragus FWD	362	16	89
T Băluță MID	345	15	40
V Ghiţă DEF	331	7	19
O Morutan FWD	310	10	46
V Screciu DEF	284	13	29
I Radu GLK	259		4
L. Eissat DEF	209	2	5
V Dragomir MID	155	3	16
D Birligea FWD	112	7	30
B Racovitan DEF	78		4
A Coubis DEF	68	3	4
R Oprut DEF	65	1	6
C Cîrjan MID	40	4	6
L Munteanu FWD	39	2	13
M Ilie DEF	33	1	3
A Borza DEF	28
T Strata DEF	17
O Hindrich GLK	13
D. Matei FWD	4	1	1

Bosnia UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
91	51	13	19
E Dzeko	E Dzeko	E Dzeko	S Kolasinac

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
E Dzeko FWD	100	51	13	16 -
S Kolasinac DEF	66		6	19 -
E Demirovic FWD	43	4	3	8 -
B Tahirovic MID	34	3	2	8 -
A Gigovic MID	24	1	2	2 -
N Katic DEF	23	2		6 -
I Bašić MID	22		1	1 -
E Bajraktarevic FWD	21	1	2	-
A. Memić MID	18	2	4	2 -
T Muharemović DEF	17	1		2 1
I Sunjic MID	17			3 -
K. Alajbegović FWD	15	2	2	4 -
S Bazdar FWD	15	1	2	2 -
H Tabakovic FWD	13	5		-
N Mujakic DEF	12	1		2 -
A. Malic DEF	8			2 -
S Radeljić DEF	7			2 -
N. Omerović FWD	7	2		-
M Zlomislic GLK	5			-
E. Mahmić MID	5	2		1 -
J Lukić FWD	5	1		1 -
Z. Smajlovic DEF	1			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
51	56	13	11
E Dzeko	E Dzeko	E Dzeko	E Dzeko

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E Dzeko FWD	51	56	13	11
H Tabakovic FWD	5	3
E Demirovic FWD	4	27	3	10
B Tahirovic MID	3	4	2	5
N Katic DEF	2	7
A. Memić MID	2	1	4	2
K. Alajbegović FWD	2	9	2	3
N. Omerović FWD	2	1		1
E. Mahmić MID	2	2
A Gigovic MID	1	2	2	2
E Bajraktarevic FWD	1	6	2	3
T Muharemović DEF	1	1		3
S Bazdar FWD	1	6	2
N Mujakic DEF	1	1		1
J Lukić FWD	1	2
S Kolasinac DEF		3	6	7
I Bašić MID		1	1
I Sunjic MID		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1570	63	319
S Kolasinac	S Kolasinac	E Dzeko

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
S Kolasinac DEF	1570	63	167
E Dzeko FWD	1158	21	319
B Tahirovic MID	985	26	68
N Katic DEF	901	34	128
T Muharemović DEF	698	10	64
I Bašić MID	465	13	41
E Demirovic FWD	425	41	136
I Sunjic MID	407	30	54
S Radeljić DEF	365	5	22
E Bajraktarevic FWD	303	12	59
A Gigovic MID	247	11	44
K. Alajbegović FWD	243	5	45
A. Memić MID	242	13	46
N Mujakic DEF	168	9	24
A. Malic DEF	116	17	28
H Tabakovic FWD	92	1	27
M Zlomislic GLK	81
S Bazdar FWD	77	5	20
N. Omerović FWD	53	3	11
J Lukić FWD	20	1	12
E. Mahmić MID	19	1	2
Z. Smajlovic DEF	16		1