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Bulgaria v Luxembourg : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stadion Hristo Botev,

Luxembourg pay UEFA Nations League competitors Bulgaria a visit on Saturday evening, as Luc Holtz leads his men into an away clash with Ilian Dimov Iliev & co. at the Stadion Hristo Botev. All stats, including an in-depth look at the form of both sides and head to head (H2H) history, will update as you browse each of the 17 major markets using the tabs below. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers and, of course, our algorithmic predictions will too.

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Bulgaria's next match is v N Ireland at 19:45 on Tuesday 15th October
Luxembourg's next match is v Belarus at 19:45 on Tuesday 15th October
The last International UEFA Nations League meeting between Bulgaria and Luxembourg was on Saturday 12th October 2024
International UEFA Nations League
October 12th 2024
Bulgaria 0
0 Luxembourg
 
BUL
LUX
Shots On
3
Shots Off
1
4
Corners
6
3
Possession
55%
45%
Fouls
12
19
Yellow/red cards
6/0
6/0
 
BulgariaLuxembourg
 
D. Mitov
A. Petkov
V. Ivaylov Antov (Z. Dimitrov 63')
Z. Atanasov
V. Nikolaev Popov
F. Yavorov Krastev
F. Nürnberger
G. Kostadinov (I. Chochev 83')
K. Despodov
A. Kolev (G. Minchev 76')
R. Kirilov Kirilov (M. Yankov Minchev 63')
A. Moris
(M. Santos Da Graca 90') D. Carlson
L. Jans
(K. D'Anzico 61') M. Gonçalves Pinto
S. Korac
F. Bohnert
L. Barreiro Martins
C. Martins Pereira
M. Olesen
D. Sinani
(G. Rodrigues Gouveia 46') A. Curci
Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may not be what the neutrals want to hear, but it's all-but impossible to predict a goal-fest here. The stats suggest Bulgaria and Luxembourg both are capable of keeping it tight at the back, and the odds suggest it's likely there's fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think they're probably right and, with no obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals feels like the right bet on this match.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bulgaria
55%
17/20
7%
17/20
6%
Draw
26%
11/5
11%
9/4
7%
Luxembourg
19%
7/2
5%
18/5
4%
Bulgaria 1-0
16%
9/24/1
5%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2
7%
5/1
8%
Bulgaria 2-0
12%
13/2
7%
6/1
Draw 0-0
10%
11/2
19%
5/1
14%
Bulgaria 2-1
9%
9/1
5%
15/2
6%
Luxembourg 1-0
8%
17/2
5%
15/2
11%
Bulgaria 3-0
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
9%
Luxembourg 2-1
5%
16/112/1
Bulgaria 3-1
5%
18/1
12%
14/1
15%
Draw 2-2
3%
20/116/1
Luxembourg 2-0
3%
20/1
9%
16/1
11%
Bulgaria 4-0
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
24%
Bulgaria 3-2
2%
40/1
21%
28/1
12%
Bulgaria 4-1
2%
40/1
21%
28/1
12%
Luxembourg 3-1
1%
40/133/1
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
6/4
11%
6/4
11%
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
1/2
7%
1/2
4%
Home 1st Goal
55%
4/7
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
38%
21/10
3%
-
No 1st Goal
7%
11/2
19%
-
BTTS - Yes
42%
11/8
8%
5/4
5%
BTTS - No
58%
8/15
6%
4/7
3%
BTTS - Home Win
19%
9/2
16%
19/5
11%
BTTS - Draw
16%
9/24/1
BTTS - Away Win
7%
11/1
9%
9/1
5%
Home/draw
81%
1/62/11
1%
Away/draw
45%
5/6
9%
10/11
5%
Home/away
74%
4/11
5%
1/3
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
1/2
7%
1/2
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
6/4
9%
29/20
9%
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
7/2
4%
19/5
14%
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
1/6
3%
1/6
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
15/2
6%
9/1
18%
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/20
1%
1/25
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
14/1
25%
20/1
24%
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/801/200
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/10
4%
1/10
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
11/2
19%
5/1
14%
Home DNB
73%
1/3
2%
3/10
1%
Away DNB
37%
9/4
4%
11/5
6%
Bulgaria win to nil
36%
13/8
5%
-
Luxembourg win to nil
12%
11/2
7%
-
Bulgaria / Bulgaria
29%
2/1
9%
19/10
5%
Bulgaria / Luxembourg
2%
40/133/1
Bulgaria / Draw
5%
16/112/1
Draw / Bulgaria
19%
7/2
4%
10/3
3%
Draw / Luxembourg
9%
15/2
11%
15/2
6%
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3
9%
16/5
7%
Luxembourg / Bulgaria
3%
33/1
17%
22/1
10%
Luxembourg / Luxembourg
10%
13/2
6%
6/1
7%
Luxembourg / Draw
5%
18/1
12%
14/1
bet365
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
4
Luxembourg have lost 4 consecutive games
8
Bulgaria have not lost in 8 consecutive games
4
Luxembourg have failed to score in 4 consecutive games
Bulgaria
20 league games
Home
Overall
8
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bulgaria1 - 0N Ireland
Bulgaria2 - 2Hungary
Bulgaria0 - 2Lithuania
Bulgaria0 - 1Iran
Bulgaria1 - 1Serbia
Bulgaria0 - 1Montenegro
Bulgaria5 - 1Gibraltar
Bulgaria2 - 5Georgia
Bulgaria1 - 1Macedonia
Bulgaria2 - 1N Ireland
Bulgaria4 - 1Georgia
Bulgaria1 - 0Lithuania
Bulgaria0 - 2Italy
Bulgaria1 - 3Switzerland
Bulgaria1 - 2Finland
Bulgaria3 - 0Gibraltar
Bulgaria0 - 1Wales
Bulgaria1 - 3Hungary
Bulgaria1 - 1Ireland
Bulgaria0 - 1Belarus
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
10
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBulgaria1 - 0N Ireland
ABulgaria0 - 0Belarus
ABulgaria1 - 1Slovenia
ABulgaria0 - 0Romania
ABulgaria1 - 1Azerbaijan
ABulgaria1 - 0Tanzania
ABulgaria2 - 2Serbia
HBulgaria2 - 2Hungary
ABulgaria0 - 2Albania
HBulgaria0 - 2Lithuania
ABulgaria1 - 2Montenegro
HBulgaria0 - 1Iran
HBulgaria1 - 1Serbia
ABulgaria1 - 1Lithuania
ABulgaria0 - 3Hungary
HBulgaria0 - 1Montenegro
ABulgaria1 - 0Macedonia
HBulgaria5 - 1Gibraltar
ABulgaria0 - 0Georgia
ABulgaria1 - 1Gibraltar
Luxembourg
20 league games
Away
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
N Ireland2 - 0Luxembourg
Belgium3 - 0Luxembourg
France3 - 0Luxembourg
Georgia2 - 0Luxembourg
Liechtenstein0 - 1Luxembourg
Iceland1 - 1Luxembourg
Portugal9 - 0Luxembourg
Bosnia0 - 2Luxembourg
Slovakia0 - 0Luxembourg
Turkey3 - 3Luxembourg
Faroes 0 - 1Luxembourg
Lithuania0 - 2Luxembourg
Bosnia1 - 0Luxembourg
Azerbaijan1 - 3Luxembourg
Portugal5 - 0Luxembourg
Serbia4 - 1Luxembourg
Norway1 - 0Luxembourg
Ireland0 - 1Luxembourg
Qatar1 - 0Luxembourg
Cyprus2 - 1Luxembourg
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLuxembourg0 - 1Belarus
ALuxembourg0 - 2N Ireland
ALuxembourg0 - 3Belgium
ALuxembourg0 - 3France
HLuxembourg2 - 1Kazakhstan
ALuxembourg0 - 2Georgia
ALuxembourg1 - 0Liechtenstein
HLuxembourg4 - 1Bosnia
HLuxembourg0 - 1Slovakia
ALuxembourg1 - 1Iceland
ALuxembourg0 - 9Portugal
HLuxembourg3 - 1Iceland
ALuxembourg2 - 0Bosnia
HLuxembourg2 - 0Liechtenstein
HLuxembourg0 - 1Malta
HLuxembourg0 - 6Portugal
ALuxembourg0 - 0Slovakia
HLuxembourg1 - 0Lithuania
ALuxembourg3 - 3Turkey
HLuxembourg2 - 2Faroes
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Bulgaria's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday evening, not least because Luxembourg have conceded in each of their last 6 UEFA Nations League outings. A PG of 1.5 for I. Iliev's side suggests that run should continue.

Scoring more than 1 goal looks set to be difficult for Luxembourg, with L. Holtz's men failing to score in 4 consecutive UEFA Nations League matches.

Bulgaria Luxembourg
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Bulgaria will score 1 or more goals
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of Luxembourg scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Bulgaria’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
Luxembourg’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/275018/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Bulgaria
PG (predicted goals)
Luxembourg
1.5
0.8
Attack rating
BUL
LUX
2%
better
view stats
Games scored12
10
Failed to score8
10
Scored first8
8
Goals scored18
21
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.1
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal9
7
Conversion rate for11
15
Avg. XG for1.2
0.4
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
22%
better
BUL
LUX
view stats
Games conceded14
15
Clean sheets6
5
Conceded first9
11
Goals conceded21
37
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against12%
18%
Avg. XG against0.7
1.7
KickOff rating
+22%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Bulgaria v Luxembourg will show here when available.

Bulgaria UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2111
D MitovK DespodovA KolevA Petkov
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Mitov GLK2
-
V Popov DEF2
-
Z Atanasov DEF2
-
A Petkov DEF2
1
-
F Nürnberger DEF2
1
-
G Kostadinov MID1
-
R Kirilov MID2
-
V Antov MID1
-
K Despodov MID21
-
F Krastev MID1
1
-
A Kolev FWD21
1
-
Subs
S Vutsov  GLK
-
I Dyulgerov GLK
-
S Petrov DEF1
-
I Turitsov DEF
-
I. Minchev MID1
1
-
S Ivanov MID2
-
V Panayotov MID1
-
I Chochev MID
-
Z Dimitrov MID1
-
I Iliev MID
-
G Minchev FWD
-
M Minchev FWD2
-
Luxembourg UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2001
A MorisC Pereira
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Moris GLK2
-
L Jans DEF2
-
S Korac DEF
-
D Carlson DEF2
-
M Pinto  DEF2
-
C Pereira MID2
1
-
D Sinani MID1
-
M Olesen MID2
-
L Barreiro MID2
-
F Bohnert MID2
1
-
A Curci FWD
-
Subs
T Cardoso GLK
-
R Schon GLK
-
E Dzogovic DEF2
-
M Martins DEF
-
E Mahmutovic DEF2
1
-
K D'Anzico DEF
-
T Rupil MID1
-
S Thill MID2
-
M Omosanya FWD
-
G Rodrigues FWD1
-
E Muratovic FWD2
-