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Lithuania v Azerbaijan : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 27th Sep, 14:00 BST, S. Dariaus ir S. Gireno stadionas,

Sunday afternoon sees Edgaras Jankauskas’s Lithuania and Fernando Manuel Fernandes da Costa Santos’s Azerbaijan go head to head in a UEFA Nations League clash at the S. Dariaus ir S. Gireno stadionas. Below we've got predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting stats including head-to-heads, and the best odds. All is accessible via the tabs below.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals as a betting market simply means there will only be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by Lithuania and Azerbaijan during the traditional 90 mins. It's a bet the statistics below and the odds both suggest is worth considering, and an outcome that we've seen before when these sides go head-to-head. In the absence of an obvious winner, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Lithuania are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.40.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Lithuania 39%	2.45 2%	-
Draw 29%	3.20 3%	-
Azerbaijan 33%	2.88 1%	-
Draw 1-1 13%	6.00 8%	-
Lithuania 1-0 12%	6.50	-
Azerbaijan 1-0 11%	7.00	-
Draw 0-0 10%	6.50	-
Lithuania 2-1 8%	11.00	-
Lithuania 2-0 7%	11.00 10%	-
Azerbaijan 2-1 7%	12.00	-
Azerbaijan 2-0 6%	13.00	-
Draw 2-2 4%	19.00	-
Lithuania 3-1 3%	23.00	-
Lithuania 3-0 3%	23.00	-
Azerbaijan 3-1 3%	29.00	-
Azerbaijan 3-0 2%	29.00	-
Lithuania 3-2 2%	41.00	-
Azerbaijan 3-2 2%	41.00	-
Over 2.5 Goals 39%	2.50	-
Under 2.5 Goals 61%	1.50	-
Home 1st Goal 48%	1.95	-
Away 1st Goal 45%	2.20	-
No 1st Goal 7%	6.50	-
BTTS - Yes 46%	2.20	-
BTTS - No 54%	1.62	-
BTTS - Home Win 15%	6.50	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	5.00	-
BTTS - Away Win 13%	7.50	-
Home/draw 67%	1.40	-
Away/draw 61%	1.53	-
Home/away 71%	1.36	-
Over 1.5 Goals 66%	1.50	-
Under 1.5 Goals 34%	2.50	-
Over 3.5 Goals 19%	4.50	-
Under 3.5 Goals 81%	1.17	-
Over 4.5 Goals 8%	8.50	-
Under 4.5 Goals 92%	1.05	-
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	15.00	-
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1.01	-
Over 0.5 Goals 90%	1.10	-
Under 0.5 Goals 10%	6.50	-
Home DNB 59%	1.73 4%	-
Away DNB 53%	2.00 5%	-
Lithuania win to nil 24%	3.75 7%	-
Azerbaijan win to nil 20%	4.33	-
Lithuania / Lithuania 21%	4.00	-
Lithuania / Azerbaijan 2%	41.00	-
Lithuania / Draw 5%	17.00	-
Draw / Lithuania 15%	5.50	-
Draw / Azerbaijan 13%	6.50	-
Draw / Draw 19%	4.33	-
Azerbaijan / Lithuania 2%	34.00	-
Azerbaijan / Azerbaijan 18%	4.75 5%	-
Azerbaijan / Draw 5%	17.00	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lithuania	0 - 2	Georgia
Lithuania	0 - 2	Poland
Lithuania	2 - 3	Netherlands
Lithuania	1 - 1	Malta
Lithuania	2 - 2	Finland
Lithuania	1 - 2	Romania
Lithuania	1 - 2	Kosovo
Lithuania	0 - 1	Cyprus
Lithuania	1 - 0	Gibraltar
Lithuania	2 - 2	Hungary
Lithuania	1 - 3	Serbia
Lithuania	2 - 2	Montenegro
Lithuania	1 - 1	Bulgaria
Lithuania	1 - 1	Faroes
Lithuania	0 - 6	Turkey
Lithuania	0 - 2	Luxembourg
Lithuania	1 - 1	Kuwait
Lithuania	0 - 4	Switzerland
Lithuania	3 - 1	Bulgaria
Lithuania	1 - 4	N Ireland

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Lithuania	2 - 0	Liechtenstein
H	Lithuania	0 - 2	Georgia
A	Lithuania	2 - 0	Moldova
A	Lithuania	0 - 4	Netherlands
H	Lithuania	0 - 2	Poland
A	Lithuania	1 - 2	Finland
H	Lithuania	2 - 3	Netherlands
H	Lithuania	1 - 1	Malta
A	Lithuania	0 - 5	Denmark
A	Lithuania	0 - 0	Malta
H	Lithuania	2 - 2	Finland
A	Lithuania	0 - 1	Poland
A	Lithuania	0 - 1	Kosovo
A	Lithuania	1 - 2	Cyprus
H	Lithuania	1 - 2	Romania
H	Lithuania	1 - 2	Kosovo
A	Lithuania	1 - 3	Romania
H	Lithuania	0 - 1	Cyprus
H	Lithuania	1 - 0	Gibraltar
A	Lithuania	1 - 0	Gibraltar

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ukraine	2 - 1	Azerbaijan
France	3 - 0	Azerbaijan
Iceland	5 - 0	Azerbaijan
Latvia	0 - 0	Azerbaijan
Sweden	6 - 0	Azerbaijan
Estonia	3 - 1	Azerbaijan
Slovakia	2 - 0	Azerbaijan
Albania	3 - 1	Azerbaijan
Belgium	5 - 0	Azerbaijan
Estonia	0 - 2	Azerbaijan
Sweden	5 - 0	Azerbaijan
Austria	4 - 1	Azerbaijan
Macedonia	1 - 3	Azerbaijan
Moldova	1 - 2	Azerbaijan
Slovakia	1 - 2	Azerbaijan
Belarus	0 - 0	Azerbaijan
Kazakhstan	2 - 0	Azerbaijan
Malta	1 - 0	Azerbaijan
Serbia	3 - 1	Azerbaijan
Ireland	1 - 1	Azerbaijan

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Azerbaijan	1 - 0	Tajikistan
H	Azerbaijan	2 - 1	San Marino
H	Azerbaijan	0 - 2	Malta
H	Azerbaijan	1 - 1	Sierra Leone
H	Azerbaijan	6 - 1	St Lucia
H	Azerbaijan	1 - 3	France
H	Azerbaijan	0 - 2	Iceland
A	Azerbaijan	1 - 2	Ukraine
A	Azerbaijan	0 - 3	France
H	Azerbaijan	1 - 1	Ukraine
A	Azerbaijan	0 - 5	Iceland
H	Azerbaijan	1 - 2	Hungary
A	Azerbaijan	0 - 0	Latvia
H	Azerbaijan	0 - 2	Belarus
H	Azerbaijan	0 - 3	Haiti
A	Azerbaijan	0 - 6	Sweden
H	Azerbaijan	0 - 0	Estonia
H	Azerbaijan	1 - 3	Slovakia
A	Azerbaijan	1 - 3	Estonia
A	Azerbaijan	0 - 2	Slovakia

Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Lithuania of late. It has been 6 UEFA Nations League games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday afternoon against Azerbaijan.

	Lithuania 1st	Azerbaijan 2nd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 31% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 67% probability that Lithuania will score no more than 1 goal	0 34% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 71% probability that Azerbaijan will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+28 Lithuania have scored 28% more goals at home than predicted	=0 Azerbaijan’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.0 average goals scored	0.8 average goals scored
	2.1 conceded	2.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

better

LTU

AZE

view stats

Games scored	12		10
Failed to score	8		10
Scored first	6		3
Goals scored	16		16
Avg. goals scored	0.8		0.8
Avg. shots per game	9		7
Avg. shots per goal	11		8
Conversion rate for	9		12
Avg. XG for	1.1		0.7
KickOff rating		+8%

15%

better

LTU

AZE

view stats

Games conceded	15		17
Clean sheets	5		3
Conceded first	13		15
Goals conceded	33		42
Avg. goals conceded	1.7		2.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		12
Avg. shots/goal conceded	5		5
Conversion rate against	19%		18%
Avg. XG against	1.4		2.1
KickOff rating		+15%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Lithuania v Azerbaijan will show here when available.

Lithuania UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
57	6	7	18
V Slivka	A Kucys	J Lasickas	J Lasickas

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
V Slivka MID	65	3	2	11 -
J Lasickas DEF	61	3	7	17 1
M Vorobjovas MID	48	1	1	8 -
P Sirvys DEF	30	4	2	4 -
G Gineitis MID	30	5	4	11 -
E Utkus DEF	24			8 1
E Gertmonas GLK	23			-
A Tutyškinas DEF	23			6 -
A Dolznikov FWD	23	2	1	3 -
K Kazukolovas DEF	18			2 -
A Kucys FWD	17	6	1	3 -
R Lekiatas DEF	15			4 -
D Bartkus GLK	13			-
E Jankauskas FWD	13			3 -
T Švedkauskas GLK	12			-
D Barauskas DEF	11			2 -
V Armalas DEF	8		1	2 -
M Burba FWD	4			-
M. Ruzgis FWD	4			-
Z Baltrunas DEF	2			-
L. Michelbrink MID	2	1		-
F Steponavičius FWD	2			-
A. Lickūnas FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	14	7	8
A Kucys	G Gineitis	J Lasickas	J Lasickas

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Kucys FWD	6	11	1	3
G Gineitis MID	5	14	4	7
P Sirvys DEF	4	8	2	1
V Slivka MID	3	10	2	2
J Lasickas DEF	3	11	7	8
A Dolznikov FWD	2	5	1	2
M Vorobjovas MID	1	3	1	4
L. Michelbrink MID	1	1
E Utkus DEF		3		1
A Tutyškinas DEF		1
K Kazukolovas DEF				1
R Lekiatas DEF				1
E Jankauskas FWD		2
V Armalas DEF			1
M Burba FWD		2
A. Lickūnas FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1284	85	248
J Lasickas	J Lasickas	J Lasickas

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Lasickas DEF	1284	85	248
V Slivka MID	1201	41	160
G Gineitis MID	1075	39	110
M Vorobjovas MID	1046	65	113
E Utkus DEF	957	29	88
P Sirvys DEF	799	40	109
A Tutyškinas DEF	663	22	70
K Kazukolovas DEF	589	12	53
R Lekiatas DEF	520	19	37
E Gertmonas GLK	489	1	14
T Švedkauskas GLK	300		1
D Bartkus GLK	251		6
D Barauskas DEF	234	15	32
A Dolznikov FWD	170	14	50
A Kucys FWD	166	5	57
V Armalas DEF	160	10	17
E Jankauskas FWD	115	9	35
L. Michelbrink MID	82	3	6
M Burba FWD	33	3	5
M. Ruzgis FWD	13		5
A. Lickūnas FWD	12
Z Baltrunas DEF	4	1	1
F Steponavičius FWD	4

Azerbaijan UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
59	16	5	15
B Hüseynov	E Mahmudov	E Mahmudov	A Kryvotsyuk

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Hüseynov DEF	65	1		5 1
E Mahmudov MID	63	16	5	9 -
M Emreli FWD	58	6	2	8 1
A Kryvotsyuk DEF	46	1		15 -
R Dadashov FWD	42	7	1	5 -
A Isayev MID	30	1	2	2 -
M Qurbanly FWD	22	4		-
E Bədəlov DEF	18			1 -
A Nuriev MID	18	1		-
E Balayev GLK	16			-
R Sadikhov MID	11	1		-
J. Nuriyev MID	11		1	-
R Dashdamirov DEF	8	1	2	1 -
T Mutallimov DEF	7			1
J Huseynov MID	7			1 -
A. Xaybulayev MID	7			2 -
E Safarov MID	7			2 -
V İsgändärli FWD	6	1	1	-
M Xaçayev DEF	4			-
A Bayramov GLK	3			-
T Bayramov DEF	2			-
R Abbasov DEF	2			-
A Guseynov MID	1			-
M. Ahmadzada MID	1		1	-
F Yusifli MID	1			-
E. Adilxanov MID	1			1 -
R Abdullazada FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
16	17	5	4
E Mahmudov	E Mahmudov	E Mahmudov	E Mahmudov

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E Mahmudov MID	16	17	5	4
R Dadashov FWD	7	16	1	2
M Emreli FWD	6	14	2	3
M Qurbanly FWD	4	2		1
B Hüseynov DEF	1			1
A Kryvotsyuk DEF	1	2		1
A Isayev MID	1	1	2	4
A Nuriev MID	1	1
R Sadikhov MID	1	2		1
R Dashdamirov DEF	1	1	2	1
V İsgändärli FWD	1		1
J. Nuriyev MID			1	2
E Safarov MID				2
R Abbasov DEF		1
M. Ahmadzada MID			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1494	100	183
E Mahmudov	E Mahmudov	E Mahmudov

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Mahmudov MID	1494	100	183
A Kryvotsyuk DEF	1331	77	173
B Hüseynov DEF	1252	25	77
A Isayev MID	741	10	40
M Emreli FWD	532	24	122
E Bədəlov DEF	423	19	37
R Dadashov FWD	346	20	111
E Balayev GLK	251		6
J Huseynov MID	155	4	15
A. Xaybulayev MID	147	22	33
J. Nuriyev MID	137	15	28
A Nuriev MID	134	3	21
R Sadikhov MID	127	7	22
R Dashdamirov DEF	82	3	10
M Qurbanly FWD	77	6	19
T Mutallimov DEF	74	2	10
A Bayramov GLK	35		3
T Bayramov DEF	24		8
R Abbasov DEF	21		2
V İsgändärli FWD	16	4	9
E Safarov MID	15	2	3
M Xaçayev DEF	8	1	2
R Abdullazada FWD	7		1
M. Ahmadzada MID	4