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Greece v Germany : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 4th Oct, 19:45 BST, ,

The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with weighting assigned to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are tailored for the selected market. Head-to-head stats for this fixture are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Greece
39%
--
Draw
25%
--
Germany
36%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Greece 2-1
9%
--
Germany 2-1
8%
--
Greece 1-0
8%
--
Germany 1-0
8%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Greece 2-0
6%
--
Germany 2-0
5%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
--
Greece 3-1
4%
--
Germany 3-1
4%
--
Greece 3-2
3%
--
Greece 3-0
3%
--
Germany 3-2
3%
--
Germany 3-0
3%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
--
Home 1st Goal
49%
--
Away 1st Goal
48%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
59%
--
BTTS - No
41%
--
BTTS - Home Win
21%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
19%
--
Home/draw
64%
--
Away/draw
61%
--
Home/away
75%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
--
Home DNB
57%
--
Away DNB
53%
--
Greece win to nil
19%
--
Germany win to nil
17%
--
Win / draw / win form
Greece 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
Germany 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
Goal Statistics

Greece's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday evening, not least because Germany have conceded in each of their last 15 UEFA Nations League outings. A PG of 1.5 for I. Jovanović's side suggests that run should continue.

Greece's defensive record is very strong, I. Jovanović's men having conceded 1 or less in 14 consecutive UEFA Nations League outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.4 for Germany makes sense in this context.

Greece 1st Germany 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Greece will score 1 or more goals
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Germany will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+30
Greece have scored 30% more goals at home than predicted
-31
Germany have scored 31% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.1
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Greece
PG (predicted goals)
Germany
1.5
1.4
Attack rating
GRE
GER
28%
better
view stats
Games scored13
18
Failed to score7
2
Scored first11
14
Goals scored33
47
Avg. goals scored1.7
2.4
Avg. shots per game12
13
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for14
18
Avg. XG for1.7
2.1
KickOff rating
+28%
Defence rating
4%
better
GRE
GER
view stats
Games conceded13
15
Clean sheets7
5
Conceded first7
6
Goals conceded23
23
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
15%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.3
KickOff rating
+4%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Greece v Germany will show here when available.

Greece UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5311715
O VlachodimosG MasourasG MasourasD Kourbelis
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Masouras FWD60117
4
-
V Pavlidis FWD58105
6
-
D Kourbelis MID5522
15
-
O Vlachodimos GLK53
2
-
K Tsimikas DEF5224
6
-
K Mavropanos DEF432
4
1
C Tzolis FWD35103
2
-
P Retsos DEF24
5
-
A Douvikas FWD2333
-
K Koulierakis DEF222
7
-
F Ioannidis FWD2261
3
-
C Zafeiris MID181
5
-
G Vagiannidis DEF143
-
T Androutsos MID121
1
-
G Kyriakopoulos DEF11
1
-
C. Mouzakitis MID11
1
-
K. Karetsas MID1131
-
K Tzolakis GLK10
-
A. Tetteh FWD72
1
-
N Triantis MID5
-
C. Kostoulas FWD51
-
M Saliakas DEF4
-
C Mandas GLK3
-
A Ndoj DEF3
-
I Michailidis DEF3
1
-
A Kyziridis FWD1
-
Germany UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
112263111
J KimmichS GnabryJ KimmichJ Kimmich
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Kimmich MID1151031
11
-
K Havertz FWD632516
5
-
S Gnabry FWD602612
1
-
J Tah DEF521
9
-
J Musiala MID46107
2
-
F Wirtz MID451115
4
-
M Stegen GLK42
-
D Raum DEF3916
6
-
N Schlotterbeck DEF3014
9
-
W Anton DEF15
1
-
M Mittelstädt DEF1512
3
-
A Pavlović MID1511
1
-
N Amiri MID1411
2
-
F Nmecha MID1331
1
-
N Woltemade FWD1241
-
K Adeyemi  FWD1212
4
-
C Führich FWD10
-
N Brown DEF911
-
R Baku DEF821
-
M Thiaw DEF7
2
-
K Schade FWD61
-
J Burkardt  FWD5
-
A Stach MID4
-
A Nübel GLK3
-
L. Karl MID31
-
J Vagnoman DEF2
-
Y Bisseck DEF1
-
P Treu DEF1
-
T Bischof MID1
-
Y Engelhardt MID1
-
Y Ebnoutalib FWD1
-
International UEFA Nations League match betting previews, predictions and odds
Slovenia v Scotland
Sat 26th Sep, 14:00
San Marino v Finland
Sat 26th Sep, 17:00
Faroes v Kazakhstan
Sat 26th Sep, 17:00
Iceland v Estonia
Sat 26th Sep, 17:00
Bulgaria v Luxembourg
Sat 26th Sep, 17:00
Slovakia v Moldova
Sat 26th Sep, 19:45
Albania v Belarus
Sat 26th Sep, 19:45
Macedonia v Switzerland
Sat 26th Sep, 19:45
Czech Rep v Croatia
Sat 26th Sep, 19:45
England v Spain
Sat 26th Sep, 19:45
Lithuania v Azerbaijan
Sun 27th Sep, 14:00
Gibraltar v Andorra
Sun 27th Sep, 17:00
Austria v Kosovo
Sun 27th Sep, 17:00
Serbia v Netherlands
Sun 27th Sep, 17:00
Denmark v Wales
Sun 27th Sep, 17:00
Norway v Portugal
Sun 27th Sep, 19:45
Germany v Greece
Sun 27th Sep, 19:45
Israel v Ireland
Sun 27th Sep, 19:45
Latvia v Cyprus
Mon 28th Sep, 17:00
Armenia v Montenegro
Mon 28th Sep, 17:00
Georgia v Ukraine
Mon 28th Sep, 17:00
N Ireland v Hungary
Mon 28th Sep, 19:45
Sweden v Poland
Mon 28th Sep, 19:45
Romania v Bosnia
Mon 28th Sep, 19:45
Turkey v Italy
Mon 28th Sep, 19:45
Belgium v France
Mon 28th Sep, 19:45
Moldova v Faroes
Tue 29th Sep, 17:00
Finland v Belarus
Tue 29th Sep, 17:00
Luxembourg v Iceland
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Slovakia v Kazakhstan
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
San Marino v Albania
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Bulgaria v Estonia
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Slovenia v Macedonia
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Scotland v Switzerland
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Spain v Croatia
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Czech Rep v England
Tue 29th Sep, 19:45
Azerbaijan v Liechtenstein
Thu 1st Oct, 17:00
Israel v Kosovo
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Ireland v Austria
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Germany v Serbia
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Greece v Netherlands
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Denmark v Portugal
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Wales v Norway
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Malta v Gibraltar
Thu 1st Oct, 19:45
Kazakhstan v Moldova
Fri 2nd Oct, 15:00
Cyprus v Armenia
Fri 2nd Oct, 17:00
Latvia v Montenegro
Fri 2nd Oct, 17:00
Faroes v Slovakia
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Ukraine v N Ireland
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Bosnia v Sweden
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Hungary v Georgia
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Poland v Romania
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Belgium v Turkey
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
France v Italy
Fri 2nd Oct, 19:45
Finland v Albania
Sat 3rd Oct, 14:00
Belarus v San Marino
Sat 3rd Oct, 17:00
Iceland v Bulgaria
Sat 3rd Oct, 17:00
Estonia v Luxembourg
Sat 3rd Oct, 17:00
Croatia v England
Sat 3rd Oct, 17:00
Spain v Czech Rep
Sat 3rd Oct, 19:45
Switzerland v Slovenia
Sat 3rd Oct, 19:45
Macedonia v Scotland
Sat 3rd Oct, 19:45
Azerbaijan v Lithuania
Sun 4th Oct, 14:00
Kosovo v Austria
Sun 4th Oct, 17:00
Malta v Andorra
Sun 4th Oct, 17:00
Ireland v Israel
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Netherlands v Serbia
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Portugal v Norway
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Greece v Germany
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Wales v Denmark
Sun 4th Oct, 19:45
Cyprus v Latvia
Mon 5th Oct, 17:00
Bosnia v Poland
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
Ukraine v Hungary
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
N Ireland v Georgia
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
Romania v Sweden
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
Italy v Turkey
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
France v Belgium
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
Montenegro v Armenia
Mon 5th Oct, 19:45
Kazakhstan v Faroes
Tue 6th Oct, 15:00
Croatia v Spain
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
England v Czech Rep
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Scotland v Slovenia
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Switzerland v Macedonia
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Luxembourg v Bulgaria
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Estonia v Iceland
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Moldova v Slovakia
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Belarus v Finland
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45
Albania v San Marino
Tue 6th Oct, 19:45