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Greece v Germany : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki

the Toumba Stadium is the stage on Sunday evening, as Ivan Jovanović's Greece host Jürgen Klopp's Germany in the UEFA Nations League. All stats, including 20-game form for both teams and head-to-head records, will update as you click through each of the seventeen betting markets via the tabs below. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers and, of course, our algorithmic predictions will too.

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The last International UEFA Nations League meeting between Greece and Germany was on Sunday 4th October 2026
International UEFA Nations League
October 4th 2026
Greece 0
0 Germany
 
GRE
GER
Shots On
2
4
Shots Off
3
10
Corners
2
3
Possession
30%
70%
Fouls
8
17
Yellow/red cards
3/0
3/0
 
GreeceGermany
 
K. Koulierakis
K. Mavropanos (P. Retsos 78')
D. Kourmpelis (C. Mouzakitis 68')
G. Masouras
F. Ioannidis (C. Kostoulas 88')
K. Tzolakis
M. Saliakas
K. Tsimikas
C. Zafeiris
V. Pavlidis (K. Karetsas 46')
A. Kiziridis (T. Androutsos 46')
J. Urbig
M. Thiaw
W. Anton
A. Pavlović
(M. Baur 83') T. Bischof
(B. Conté 83') D. Scherhant
(N. Woltemade 63') J. Burkardt
P. Treu
D. Raum
(S. El Mala 63') L. Karl
F. Wirtz

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Greece or Germany are in a rich vein of form that would leave us feeling very confident in tipping a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The statistics tell us that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 81% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Greece are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 0.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Greece
24%
3/1-
Draw
22%
3/1-
Germany
53%
4/5-
Draw 1-1
10%
13/2-
Germany 2-1
10%
15/2-
Germany 1-0
9%
8/1
10%
-
Germany 2-0
8%
17/2
14%
-
Greece 2-1
6%
12/1
8%
-
Germany 3-1
6%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
8%
-
Greece 1-0
5%
14/1-
Germany 3-0
5%
14/1
12%
-
Draw 0-0
5%
14/1-
Germany 3-2
4%
20/1-
Greece 2-0
3%
22/1
10%
-
Germany 4-1
3%
25/1
12%
-
Greece 3-1
3%
28/1
12%
-
Germany 4-0
2%
28/1
15%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
13/20-
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
6/5-
Home 1st Goal
44%
7/5
7%
-
Away 1st Goal
53%
4/7
6%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
14/1-
BTTS - Yes
60%
8/13
6%
-
BTTS - No
41%
6/5
8%
-
BTTS - Home Win
14%
6/1
17%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4
6%
-
BTTS - Away Win
28%
9/4
4%
-
Home/draw
47%
19/20
7%
-
Away/draw
76%
2/9
5%
-
Home/away
78%
2/9
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1/5-
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
10/3-
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
13/8-
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
4/9-
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
7/2
4%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
2/11
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
9/1
11%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/16
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/33-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
14/1-
Home DNB
40%
9/4
24%
-
Away DNB
69%
1/3
8%
-
Greece win to nil
11%
8/1
13%
-
Germany win to nil
25%
12/5
9%
-
Greece / Greece
13%
6/1
17%
-
Greece / Germany
4%
20/1-
Greece / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Greece
9%
17/2
12%
-
Draw / Germany
17%
4/1
9%
-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2-
Germany / Greece
3%
28/1-
Germany / Germany
30%
7/4
8%
-
Germany / Draw
6%
12/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Greece 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Greece2 - 2Netherlands
Greece0 - 1Italy
Greece0 - 1Paraguay
Greece3 - 2Scotland
Greece0 - 3Denmark
Greece5 - 1Belarus
Greece4 - 0Bulgaria
Greece4 - 1Slovakia
Greece0 - 1Scotland
Greece0 - 3England
Greece2 - 0Ireland
Greece3 - 0Finland
Greece5 - 0Kazakhstan
Greece2 - 2France
Greece2 - 0New Zealand
Greece0 - 1Netherlands
Greece5 - 0Gibraltar
Greece2 - 1Ireland
Greece0 - 0Lithuania
Greece3 - 1N Ireland
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HGreece2 - 2Netherlands
AGreece1 - 0Germany
AGreece2 - 1Serbia
HGreece0 - 1Italy
AGreece2 - 2Sweden
AGreece0 - 0Hungary
HGreece0 - 1Paraguay
AGreece0 - 0Belarus
HGreece3 - 2Scotland
AGreece1 - 3Denmark
AGreece1 - 3Scotland
HGreece0 - 3Denmark
HGreece5 - 1Belarus
HGreece4 - 0Bulgaria
HGreece4 - 1Slovakia
AGreece3 - 0Scotland
HGreece0 - 1Scotland
AGreece2 - 0Finland
HGreece0 - 3England
HGreece2 - 0Ireland
Germany 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Netherlands1 - 1Germany
Ecuador2 - 1Germany
USA1 - 2Germany
Switzerland3 - 4Germany
Luxembourg0 - 2Germany
N Ireland0 - 1Germany
Slovakia2 - 0Germany
Italy1 - 2Germany
Hungary1 - 1Germany
Bosnia1 - 2Germany
Netherlands2 - 2Germany
Spain1 - 1Germany
Switzerland1 - 1Germany
France0 - 2Germany
Austria2 - 0Germany
Mexico2 - 2Germany
USA1 - 3Germany
Poland1 - 0Germany
Costa Rica2 - 4Germany
Spain1 - 1Germany
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HGermany2 - 0Serbia
HGermany0 - 1Greece
AGermany1 - 1Netherlands
HGermany1 - 1Paraguay
AGermany1 - 2Ecuador
HGermany2 - 1Cote d'Ivoire
HGermany7 - 1Curacao
AGermany2 - 1USA
HGermany4 - 0Finland
HGermany2 - 1Ghana
AGermany4 - 3Switzerland
HGermany6 - 0Slovakia
AGermany2 - 0Luxembourg
AGermany1 - 0N Ireland
HGermany4 - 0Luxembourg
HGermany3 - 1N Ireland
AGermany0 - 2Slovakia
HGermany0 - 2France
HGermany1 - 2Portugal
HGermany3 - 3Italy
Goal Statistics

Germany have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 14 consecutive UEFA Nations League matches. Their PG of 1.9 against Greece on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Greece 2nd Germany 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Greece will score no more than 1 goal
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 85% probability that Germany will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+31
Greece have scored 31% more goals at home than predicted
-31
Germany have scored 31% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.1
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Greece
PG (predicted goals)
Germany
1.2
1.9
Attack rating
GRE
GER
27%
better
view stats
Games scored13
17
Failed to score7
3
Scored first11
14
Goals scored32
46
Avg. goals scored1.6
2.3
Avg. shots per game12
14
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for13
16
Avg. XG for1.6
2.3
KickOff rating
+27%
Defence rating
GRE
GER
2%
better
view stats
Games conceded13
14
Clean sheets7
6
Conceded first7
6
Goals conceded24
22
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
15%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.1
KickOff rating
+2%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Greece v Germany will show here when available.

Greece UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4112
K TzolakisG MasourasK TsimikasM Saliakas
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Tzolakis GLK4
1
-
M Saliakas DEF3
2
-
K Mavropanos DEF4
-
K Koulierakis DEF1
-
K Tsimikas DEF41
1
-
G Masouras MID311
-
D Kourbelis MID41
1
-
C Zafeiris MID4
2
-
A Kyziridis MID1
-
V Pavlidis FWD41
-
F Ioannidis FWD411
-
Subs
O Vlachodimos GLK
-
C Mandas GLK
-
P Retsos DEF4
1
-
I Michailidis DEF3
-
G Kyriakopoulos DEF
-
D Pelkas MID
-
T Androutsos MID4
-
C. Mouzakitis MID1
-
K. Karetsas MID4
1
-
T Tsapras MID
-
A Douvikas FWD21
-
C. Kostoulas FWD2
-
Germany UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3111
P TreuT BischofF WirtzP Treu
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Urbig GLK2
-
P Treu DEF3
1
-
M Thiaw DEF2
1
-
W Anton DEF2
1
-
D Raum DEF1
-
L. Karl MID1
-
A Pavlović MID2
-
T Bischof MID21
-
D Scherhant  MID2
-
F Wirtz FWD311
-
J Burkardt  FWD3
-
Subs
F Dahmen GLK
-
N Atubolu GLK
-
F. Jeltsch DEF
-
R Baku DEF
-
M Mittelstädt DEF11
-
F Keidel DEF
-
Y Engelhardt MID1
-
S. El Mala MID2
-
M. Baur MID2
-
B Conté MID3
-
V Janelt MID1
-
N Woltemade FWD2
-
International UEFA Nations League match betting previews, predictions and odds