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Bulgaria v Estonia : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 29th Sep, 19:45 BST, Nikola Shterev-Starika Complex, Plovdiv

Aleksandar Dimitrov and Jürgen Henn take on one another in the UEFA Nations League on Tuesday evening, as Bulgaria face Estonia at the Stadion Hristo Botev. You'll find statistics supporting our top of below, but be sure to take a look at the 16 other markets we're covering too. We aim to give you as full a picture as possible, with UEFA Nations League performances and head-to-heads included, so that you're able to make the smartest bet choices. Finally, be sure to get the best odds and bet smart.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Bulgaria 46%	-	-
Draw 24%	-	-
Estonia 30%	-	-
Draw 1-1 11%	-	-
Bulgaria 2-1 9%	-	-
Bulgaria 1-0 9%	-	-
Estonia 2-1 7%	-	-
Bulgaria 2-0 7%	-	-
Estonia 1-0 7%	-	-
Draw 2-2 6%	-	-
Draw 0-0 5%	-	-
Bulgaria 3-1 5%	-	-
Estonia 2-0 4%	-	-
Bulgaria 3-0 4%	-	-
Bulgaria 3-2 3%	-	-
Estonia 3-1 3%	-	-
Estonia 3-2 3%	-	-
Bulgaria 4-1 2%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 57%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 43%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 51%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 46%	-	-
No 1st Goal 3%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 59%	-	-
BTTS - No 41%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 24%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 16%	-	-
Home/draw 70%	-	-
Away/draw 54%	-	-
Home/away 76%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 79%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 21%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 34%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 66%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 18%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 82%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 8%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 92%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	-	-
Home DNB 63%	-	-
Away DNB 47%	-	-
Bulgaria win to nil 22%	-	-
Estonia win to nil 14%	-	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bulgaria	0 - 1	Montenegro
Bulgaria	2 - 1	Georgia
Bulgaria	1 - 6	Turkey
Bulgaria	0 - 3	Spain
Bulgaria	2 - 2	Cyprus
Bulgaria	1 - 2	Ireland
Bulgaria	1 - 1	Belarus
Bulgaria	0 - 0	Luxembourg
Bulgaria	1 - 0	N Ireland
Bulgaria	2 - 2	Hungary
Bulgaria	0 - 2	Lithuania
Bulgaria	0 - 1	Iran
Bulgaria	1 - 1	Serbia
Bulgaria	0 - 1	Montenegro
Bulgaria	5 - 1	Gibraltar
Bulgaria	2 - 5	Georgia
Bulgaria	1 - 1	Macedonia
Bulgaria	2 - 1	N Ireland
Bulgaria	4 - 1	Georgia
Bulgaria	1 - 0	Lithuania

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Bulgaria	2 - 2	Moldova
H	Bulgaria	0 - 1	Montenegro
A	Bulgaria	1 - 0	Indonesia
A	Bulgaria	10 - 2	Solomon Isl
H	Bulgaria	2 - 1	Georgia
A	Bulgaria	0 - 2	Turkey
A	Bulgaria	0 - 4	Spain
H	Bulgaria	1 - 6	Turkey
A	Bulgaria	0 - 3	Georgia
H	Bulgaria	0 - 3	Spain
A	Bulgaria	0 - 4	Greece
H	Bulgaria	2 - 2	Cyprus
A	Bulgaria	1 - 2	Ireland
H	Bulgaria	1 - 2	Ireland
H	Bulgaria	1 - 1	Belarus
A	Bulgaria	1 - 0	Luxembourg
A	Bulgaria	0 - 5	N Ireland
H	Bulgaria	0 - 0	Luxembourg
H	Bulgaria	1 - 0	N Ireland
A	Bulgaria	0 - 0	Belarus

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Rwanda	2 - 0	Estonia
Kenya	1 - 1	Estonia
Norway	4 - 1	Estonia
Italy	5 - 0	Estonia
Moldova	2 - 3	Estonia
Israel	2 - 1	Estonia
Slovakia	1 - 0	Estonia
Azerbaijan	0 - 0	Estonia
Sweden	3 - 0	Estonia
Switzerland	4 - 0	Estonia
Finland	2 - 1	Estonia
Poland	5 - 1	Estonia
Sweden	2 - 1	Estonia
Sweden	2 - 0	Estonia
Belgium	5 - 0	Estonia
Azerbaijan	1 - 1	Estonia
Austria	2 - 1	Estonia
Hungary	1 - 0	Estonia
Finland	0 - 1	Estonia
Iceland	1 - 1	Estonia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Estonia	0 - 2	Rwanda
A	Estonia	1 - 1	Kenya
A	Estonia	1 - 4	Norway
H	Estonia	1 - 1	Moldova
H	Estonia	1 - 3	Italy
H	Estonia	0 - 0	Andorra
A	Estonia	0 - 5	Italy
H	Estonia	0 - 1	Norway
H	Estonia	1 - 3	Israel
A	Estonia	3 - 2	Moldova
A	Estonia	1 - 2	Israel
A	Estonia	0 - 1	Slovakia
A	Estonia	0 - 0	Azerbaijan
H	Estonia	0 - 3	Sweden
H	Estonia	3 - 1	Azerbaijan
A	Estonia	0 - 3	Sweden
H	Estonia	0 - 1	Slovakia
A	Estonia	0 - 4	Switzerland
A	Estonia	1 - 2	Finland
A	Estonia	1 - 5	Poland

Goal Statistics

Bulgaria's fans will be hoping for goals on Tuesday evening, not least because Estonia have conceded in each of their last 5 UEFA Nations League games. A PG of 1.7 for A. Dimitrov's side suggests that run should continue.

Goals have been a problem for Estonia of late. It has been 9 UEFA Nations League matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Tuesday evening against Bulgaria.

	Bulgaria 1st	Estonia 2nd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 19% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 9% There is a 81% probability that Bulgaria will score 1 or more goals	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 62% probability that Estonia will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-19 Bulgaria have scored 19% fewer goals at home than predicted	-1 Estonia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.3 average goals scored	0.7 average goals scored
	1.6 conceded	2.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

25%

better

BUL

EST

view stats

Games scored	11		10
Failed to score	9		10
Scored first	10		6
Goals scored	23		14
Avg. goals scored	1.2		0.7
Avg. shots per game	7		5
Avg. shots per goal	6		8
Conversion rate for	17		13
Avg. XG for	0.5		0.7
KickOff rating		+25%

16%

better

BUL

EST

view stats

Games conceded	15		18
Clean sheets	5		2
Conceded first	8		12
Goals conceded	40		44
Avg. goals conceded	2		2.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		13
Avg. shots/goal conceded	5		6
Conversion rate against	20%		17%
Avg. XG against	1.7		2.5
KickOff rating		+16%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Bulgaria v Estonia will show here when available.

Bulgaria UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
26	7	2	5
I Gruev	M Petkov	Z Dimitrov	I Gruev

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Minchev FWD	29			1 -
I Gruev MID	27			5 -
M Petkov FWD	25	7	1	5 -
K Dimitrov DEF	23	1		3 -
I Turitsov DEF	23		1	3 -
G Rusev FWD	22	4		3 -
A Kraev MID	20	1		5 -
D Mitov GLK	15			1 -
A Hristov DEF	14	1		3 -
D Velkovski DEF	13			2 -
D Naumov GLK	12			-
H Petrov DEF	12			1 -
V Nikolov FWD	11	3		1 -
Z Dimitrov FWD	11		2	-
Y Stoyanov MID	9			-
L Petkov FWD	9			2 -
B Tsonev MID	6			2 -
S Ivanov FWD	6			-
E. Tsenov DEF	5			1 -
K. Stoyanov Stoyanov MID	4			-
T. Valentinov Ivanov DEF	3			-
S Velkov DEF	2			-
P. Hristov Panayotov MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	8	2	2
M Petkov	M Petkov	Z Dimitrov	M Petkov

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Petkov FWD	7	8	1	2
G Rusev FWD	4	5
V Nikolov FWD	3
K Dimitrov DEF	1	2
A Kraev MID	1	3		1
A Hristov DEF	1
M Minchev FWD		4
I Gruev MID		2
I Turitsov DEF			1
Z Dimitrov FWD		1	2	1
L Petkov FWD		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1054	30	75
I Gruev	I Gruev	M Petkov

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
I Gruev MID	1054	30	69
K Dimitrov DEF	807	10	50
A Kraev MID	433	15	67
M Petkov FWD	408	24	75
D Mitov GLK	325		4
H Petrov DEF	274	13	25
I Turitsov DEF	267	19	32
A Hristov DEF	229	6	21
D Velkovski DEF	206	6	21
D Naumov GLK	191		4
M Minchev FWD	153	15	51
G Rusev FWD	135	14	45
Y Stoyanov MID	121	7	8
E. Tsenov DEF	85	1	5
L Petkov FWD	84	3	14
Z Dimitrov FWD	58	4	14
V Nikolov FWD	46	2	15
K. Stoyanov Stoyanov MID	36	7	14
B Tsonev MID	24	2	3
S Velkov DEF	18
S Ivanov FWD	9	2	4

Estonia UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
76	28	28	24
K Mets	M Poom	M Poom	K Mets

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
K Mets DEF	80		2	24 -
H Anier FWD	78	18	3	13 -
M Käit MID	57	8	3	8 -
K Hein GLK	44			2 -
M Kuusk DEF	39			7 -
M Paskotsi DEF	39	1		8 -
M Miller MID	34	1	1	12 1
M Poom MID	33	28	28	2 -
R Peetson DEF	25	2	1	6 -
M Soomets MID	22		2	4 -
M Schjönning-Larsen DEF	19		2	2 -
M Ainsalu MID	19		2	1 -
K Palumets MID	18	1	3	5 -
A Tamm FWD	18	2	1	3 -
F Liivak DEF	17	2		2 -
M Igonen GLK	13			-
R Saarma FWD	13	1	1	1 -
P Kristal MID	12		1	2 -
E Tougjas DEF	9			-
J Saliste DEF	8			1 -
K Vallner GLK	5			1 -
T Tammik DEF	2	1		-
K. Mustmaa FWD	2			-
M Mannilaan FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
28	18	28	4
M Poom	H Anier	M Poom	M Käit

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Poom MID	28	4	28	4
H Anier FWD	18	18	3	2
M Käit MID	8	11	3	4
R Peetson DEF	2	5	1
A Tamm FWD	2	6	1	3
F Liivak DEF	2	2		1
M Paskotsi DEF	1	2
M Miller MID	1	1	1	1
K Palumets MID	1	2	3	3
R Saarma FWD	1	2	1
T Tammik DEF	1
K Mets DEF		2	2	1
M Kuusk DEF				1
M Soomets MID			2
M Schjönning-Larsen DEF		1	2	4
M Ainsalu MID		2	2	2
P Kristal MID			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1966	70	180
K Mets	M Käit	M Käit

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
K Mets DEF	1966	37	129
K Hein GLK	1280	1	16
M Paskotsi DEF	1140	34	94
M Käit MID	1102	70	180
M Kuusk DEF	974	35	116
R Peetson DEF	461	31	78
M Poom MID	393	20	40
M Schjönning-Larsen DEF	377	10	37
M Soomets MID	370	35	65
H Anier FWD	311	9	47
M Miller MID	311	23	53
M Ainsalu MID	299	11	37
K Palumets MID	267	17	38
M Igonen GLK	197		2
J Saliste DEF	137	13	21
E Tougjas DEF	103	4	10
A Tamm FWD	90	7	46
P Kristal MID	80	7	22
F Liivak DEF	72	8	28
R Saarma FWD	52	6	13
K Vallner GLK	50
K. Mustmaa FWD	8	1	1