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Republic of Ireland v Israel : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Gradski stadion, Backa Topola

Heimir Hallgrímsson welcomes Ran Ben Shimon to the Gradski stadion on Sunday evening, as their Republic of Ireland and Israel troops meet in the UEFA Nations League. Our predictions are based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across 17 of the biggest markets. The data and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across them all.

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The last International UEFA Nations League meeting between Ireland and Israel was on Sunday 4th October 2026
International UEFA Nations League
October 4th 2026
Ireland 1
1 Israel
 
T. Parrott 39'47' D. Peretz
 
ROI
ISR
Shots On
4
2
Shots Off
6
7
Corners
3
3
Possession
55%
45%
Fouls
13
15
Yellow/red cards
1/0
3/0
 
IrelandIsrael
 
C. Kelleher
J. Dunne
L. Scales
J. O´Brien
J. Molumby
J. Knight
T. Parrottfootball icon
A. Idah (R. Vata 69')
R. Manning (J. Bagan 84')
C. Coventry (M. Bosun Lawal 84')
J. Moylan (C. Ogbene 69')
R. Revivo
I. Nachmias
(Y. Shua 78') football iconD. Peretz
O. Gloukh
(E. Dasa 78') I. Feingold
E. Peretz
(Y. Levi 58') E. Azoulay
(O. Gandelman 58') D. Turgeman
(M. Solomon 72') L. Abada
A. Tzur
N. Stoioanov

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there isn't an obvious winner in this fixture, but good reason to think Ireland and Israel will score 2 or more goals between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Heimir Hallgrímsson or Ran Ben Shimon has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s lately either. The bookies predict over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.29 equating to about a 77% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Ireland are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ireland
52%
1/1
8%
-
Draw
24%
5/2-
Israel
24%
13/5
4%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
11/2
7%
-
Ireland 1-0
11%
13/2-
Ireland 2-1
10%
8/1
6%
-
Ireland 2-0
9%
17/2
6%
-
Israel 1-0
7%
10/1-
Draw 0-0
6%
17/2
14%
-
Israel 2-1
6%
12/1-
Ireland 3-1
5%
16/1
13%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1-
Ireland 3-0
5%
16/1
13%
-
Israel 2-0
4%
18/1
10%
-
Ireland 3-2
3%
28/1
12%
-
Ireland 4-1
2%
33/1-
Israel 3-1
2%
28/1
15%
-
Ireland 4-0
2%
40/1
21%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
9/10-
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
9/10-
Home 1st Goal
53%
8/11
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
11/8
1%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
17/2
14%
-
BTTS - Yes
54%
4/5-
BTTS - No
46%
10/11-
BTTS - Home Win
24%
10/3
8%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
12%
13/2-
Home/draw
76%
2/7
3%
-
Away/draw
48%
4/5
6%
-
Home/away
76%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
2/7-
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
5/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
9/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
1/3-
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
11/2
8%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/9
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/25-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1-
Home DNB
69%
4/9
3%
-
Away DNB
41%
13/8
4%
-
Ireland win to nil
28%
12/5
5%
-
Israel win to nil
12%
11/2-
Ireland / Ireland
27%
11/5
7%
-
Ireland / Israel
2%
33/1-
Ireland / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Ireland
17%
4/1-
Draw / Israel
10%
7/1
6%
-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Israel / Ireland
4%
22/1-
Israel / Israel
13%
5/1
8%
-
Israel / Draw
5%
14/1-
Win / draw / win form
Ireland 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
Israel 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
41
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
Goal Statistics

Republic of Ireland's defensive record is very strong, H. Hallgrímsson's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive UEFA Nations League matches. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Israel makes sense in this context.

Ireland 3rd Israel 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Ireland will score 1 or more goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Israel will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-15
Ireland have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted
-4
Israel’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
Ireland
PG (predicted goals)
Israel
1.7
1.1
Attack rating
6%
better
ROI
ISR
view stats
Games scored15
15
Failed to score5
5
Scored first9
5
Goals scored29
29
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.5
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
18
Avg. XG for1.3
1.2
KickOff rating
+6%
Defence rating
31%
better
ROI
ISR
view stats
Games conceded12
14
Clean sheets8
6
Conceded first9
13
Goals conceded21
41
Avg. goals conceded1.1
2.1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
5
Conversion rate against11%
19%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.8
KickOff rating
+31%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Ireland v Israel will show here when available.

Ireland UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4411
C KelleherT ParrottJ MoylanL Scales
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Kelleher GLK4
-
J O'Brien DEF4
-
J Dunne DEF1
-
L Scales DEF3
1
-
J Moylan MID411
-
J Knight MID3
-
J Molumby MID4
1
-
C Coventry MID4
1
-
R Manning MID4
1
-
A Idah FWD411
1
-
T Parrott FWD44
-
Subs
M O'Leary GLK
-
J Keeley GLK
-
M Lawal DEF1
-
L Kitching DEF2
-
J Bagan DEF2
-
J Egan DEF2
-
F Azaz MID2
-
K Phillips MID1
-
O Elding FWD1
-
C Ogbene FWD3
-
R Vata FWD2
-
T Cannon FWD2
-
Israel UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4102
N. StoioanovD PeretzS. Abu Farhi
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Tzur GLK2
-
I Feingold DEF3
-
I Nachmias DEF3
1
-
N. Stoioanov DEF4
-
R Revivo DEF3
-
E Peretz MID4
1
-
D Peretz MID41
1
-
E. Azoulay MID3
-
L Abada MID3
-
O Gloukh MID4
-
D Turgeman FWD4
-
Subs
N Eliasi GLK
-
O Glazer GLK
-
E Dasa DEF4
-
G Mizrahi DEF2
-
O Gendelman MID1
-
Y Levi MID2
1
-
G Kanichowsky MID2
-
Y Shua FWD1
-
T Baribo FWD1
-
M Solomon FWD4
-
S. Abu Farhi FWD11
1
1